Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> 's Birla Opus rolled out “Birla Opus Assurance”— India's first 1-year free repainting program covering various defects.</li>
<li>This is just another marketing technique, aimed at capturing market share from existing players. Because of the cut throat competition, other players are expected to launch similar programs.</li>
<li>Ultimately, this would lead to higher warranty provisioning as well as higher A&amp;P spends, thereby impacting the margins. But in long run, we expect warranty claims to be modest.</li>
</ul>



Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) 's Birla Opus rolled out “Birla Opus Assurance”— India's first 1-year free repainting program covering various defects.
This is just another marketing technique, aimed at capturing market share from existing players. Because of the cut throat competition, other players are expected to launch similar programs.
Ultimately, this would lead to higher warranty provisioning as well as higher A&amp;P spends, thereby impacting the margins. But in long run, we expect warranty claims to be modest.


Birla Opus Assurance: Marketing Wars at Play

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JSW Cement Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-cement-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43870:1" rel="noopener">JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN)</a> raised about US$410m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN) raised about US$410m in its India IPO.
JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


JSW Cement IPO Trading - Overall Demand Lags Recent Listings

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-cement-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43870:1" rel="noopener">JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. The IPO has been downsized from US$480m with primary component cut to US$160m from US$180m.</li>
<li>JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN) is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. The IPO has been downsized from US$480m with primary component cut to US$160m from US$180m.
JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.


JSW Cement IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: The company continues to face headwinds in its key export market, Nigeria</li><li>While currency tailwinds should aid the rest of the exports, we believe that it is a double-edged sword, which is likely to cause higher currency inflation in Nigeria, leading to lower purchasing power</li><li>The heavy rare earth magnet shortage has compelled the company to look at alternatives, which could lead to a temporary fix post Q2, though it would take 6-9 months to completely de-risk from the supply risk</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Auto: The company continues to face headwinds in its key export market, NigeriaWhile currency tailwinds should aid the rest of the exports, we believe that it is a double-edged sword, which is likely to cause higher currency inflation in Nigeria, leading to lower purchasing powerThe heavy rare earth magnet shortage has compelled the company to look at alternatives, which could lead to a temporary fix post Q2, though it would take 6-9 months to completely de-risk from the supply riskContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Trent, Lupin, Prestige Estates, Berger Paints...

India

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

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Berger Paints India (BRGR IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in November. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

Birla Opus Assurance: Marketing Wars at Play

Birla Opus Assurance is just another marketing technique, aimed at capturing market share. Eventually other players are following same marketing....

Nitin Mangal

JSW Cement IPO Trading - Overall Demand Lags Recent Listings

JSW Cement raised about US$410m in its India IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk...

Akshat Shah

JSW Cement IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

JSW Cement is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the...

Akshat Shah

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Trent, Lupin, Prestige Estates, Berger Paints...

Bajaj Auto: The company continues to face headwinds in its key export market, NigeriaWhile currency tailwinds should aid the rest of the exports,...

HDFC Securities

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