Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.</li>
<li>But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.</li>
<li>It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.</li>
</ul>


The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.
But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.
It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.


A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

US-EU Index & Corporate Actions Analyst, ORTEX

Harry Kalfas

US-EU Index & Corporate Actions Analyst

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amcor-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36919:1" rel="noopener">Amcor (AMCR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berry-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9428:1" rel="noopener">Berry Global Group (BERY US)</a> all-stock merger creates a $24B packaging leader with $650M in synergies by year three.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berry-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9428:1" rel="noopener">Berry Global Group (BERY US)</a> shareholders to receive 7.25 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amcor-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36919:1" rel="noopener">Amcor (AMCR US)</a> shares per share held, with the deal expected to close soon.</li>
<li>The merger's impact on major U.S. indices expected on an intra-quarter basis.</li>
</ul>



Amcor (AMCR US) and Berry Global Group (BERY US) all-stock merger creates a $24B packaging leader with $650M in synergies by year three.

Berry Global Group (BERY US) shareholders to receive 7.25 Amcor (AMCR US) shares per share held, with the deal expected to close soon.
The merger's impact on major U.S. indices expected on an intra-quarter basis.


Amcor’s $8B+ Berry Pick: A Juicy Shake-Up for the US Index

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

<ul>
<li>At equal price to ACT, Ito-san wins because of certainty/immediacy, but provided his price is above the bottom of the range and adequately compensates 7&amp;i for "additional actionable avenues."</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amcor-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:674:1" rel="noopener">Amcor Limited (AMC AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berry-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9428:1" rel="noopener">Berry Global Group (BERY US)</a> merger looks clean. However, Berry's % of earnings (revs, EBITDA, and profit), are higher than the % under the share split</li>
<li>This Temasek-led development will have a marginal impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuya-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32158:1" rel="noopener">Tuya Inc (TUYA US)</a>. Creating supply and demand is hard. And Temasek-held/backed vehicles on the SGX are already abundant.</li>
</ul>


At equal price to ACT, Ito-san wins because of certainty/immediacy, but provided his price is above the bottom of the range and adequately compensates 7&amp;i for "additional actionable avenues."
The Amcor Limited (AMC AU)/Berry Global Group (BERY US) merger looks clean. However, Berry's % of earnings (revs, EBITDA, and profit), are higher than the % under the share split
This Temasek-led development will have a marginal impact on Tuya Inc (TUYA US). Creating supply and demand is hard. And Temasek-held/backed vehicles on the SGX are already abundant.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Amcor/Berry, WH Group/Smithfield, Tuya

<ul>
<li>I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amcor-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:674:1" rel="noopener">Amcor (AMC AU)</a> takes out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berry-global-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9428:1" rel="noopener">Berry Global (BERY US)</a>;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona (SYA AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piedmont-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17619:1" rel="noopener">Piedmont (PLL AU)</a> merge; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integrated-design-engineering-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44096:1" rel="noopener">Integrated Design &amp; Engineering  (9161 JP)</a>'s TOB. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xingda-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17836:1" rel="noopener">Xingda International (1899 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals this week: Amcor (AMC AU) takes out Berry Global (BERY US);Sayona (SYA AU) and Piedmont (PLL AU) merge; and Integrated Design &amp; Engineering  (9161 JP)'s TOB. 
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), HKBN (1310 HK), Xingda International (1899 HK), and Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Sayona/Piedmont, I D & E Holdings, Arcadium, Pacific Smiles, HKBN, MAHB

United States

Berry Global Group Inc. manufactures plastic products and containers. The Company produces agricultural film, moisture control products for buildings, closures, disposable cutlery, drop cloths, flexible packaging, overcaps, tapes, tubes, bottles, drink cups, lids, and trash bags. Berry Plastics markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Berry Global Group (BERY US)

A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

The top 10% account for around 50% of consumer spending in the US. This insight looks at the sectors and companies that could win and lose from the...

Finimize Research

Amcor’s $8B+ Berry Pick: A Juicy Shake-Up for the US Index

Amcor and Berry’s all-stock merger forms a $24B packaging leader with $650M in synergies. Berry shareholders get 7.25 Amcor shares per Berry share....

Harry Kalfas

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

For Nov 2024, 14 new transactions were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$15bn. The ave. premium for these new transactions...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Amcor/Berry, WH Group/Smithfield, Tuya

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Sayona/Piedmont, I D & E Holdings, Arcadium, Pacific Smiles, HKBN, MAHB

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)