Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since 4/22/25, we continue to believe SPX and ACWI-US likely bottomed at 4800-4820 and $101-$102 (May 13, 2025 report), and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish also.</li>
<li>We'll maintain our bullish view as long as dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115, but we do not expect these levels to be tested.</li>
<li>We expect 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US to hold as support; considering the historic run up, don't be surprised to see another week or two of consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since 4/22/25, we continue to believe SPX and ACWI-US likely bottomed at 4800-4820 and $101-$102 (May 13, 2025 report), and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish also.
We'll maintain our bullish view as long as dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115, but we do not expect these levels to be tested.
We expect 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US to hold as support; considering the historic run up, don't be surprised to see another week or two of consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge 2.7 times by 2031, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. </li>
<li>This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walchandnagar-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9114:1" rel="noopener">Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-construction-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6446:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN)</a> in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. </li>
<li>The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.</li>
</ul>


India's nuclear power capacity is projected to surge 2.7 times by 2031, reaching 22.3 GW and creating a lucrative investment landscape. 
This expansion will unlock opportunities for companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN), Walchandnagar Industries (WI IN), and Hindustan Construction Co (HCC IN) in manufacturing, construction, and auxiliary services. 
The rollout of 50 Bharat Small Reactors (BSRs) presents a particularly enticing prospect with a projected investment of Rs. 2,00,000 Crore.


Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities</li><li>So far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectively</li><li>These performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilitiesSo far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectivelyThese performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>What will be implication in case of weaker Modi &amp; BJP mandate?</li>
<li>Public Sector and State-Owned Bank Shares Plunge whole day after poor BJP tally during counting.</li>
<li>Improvement in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a>'s credit profile by FY25 and Higher RoCE for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


What will be implication in case of weaker Modi &amp; BJP mandate?
Public Sector and State-Owned Bank Shares Plunge whole day after poor BJP tally during counting.
Improvement in Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)'s credit profile by FY25 and Higher RoCE for Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) and Reliance Industries (RIL IN) 


#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

<ul>
<li>RIL signs deal with Russian major to source crude at discounted price</li>
<li>Adani Promoters buys stake in group companies ahead of fund raising</li>
<li>Paytm denies Adani's hand; Coal India going beyond Coal to diversify</li>
</ul>


RIL signs deal with Russian major to source crude at discounted price
Adani Promoters buys stake in group companies ahead of fund raising
Paytm denies Adani's hand; Coal India going beyond Coal to diversify


#3 India Insights : RIL-Rosneft Oil Deal, Paytm Denies Adani Acquisition, Adani Promoters Buys Stake

India

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited manufactures power plant equipment. The Company's products include gas turbines, generators, thermal sets, diesel shunters, turbo sets, hydro sets, power transformers, switch gears, circuit breakers and boilers. The Company also manufactures compressors, valves, rectifiers, pumps, capacitors, oil rigs, as well as castings and forgings.

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Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL IN)

MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

MSCI $ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade; Buying Korean Financials $WF $SHG $KB and Hana. Still Bullish, expecting...

Vermilion Research

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#3 India Insights : RIL-Rosneft Oil Deal, Paytm Denies Adani Acquisition, Adani Promoters Buys Stake

India Insight : RIL secures discounted crude, Adani buys stake, Paytm denies Adani link, Coal India diversifying beyond coal.

Sudarshan Bhandari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

MSCI $ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade; Buying Korean Financials $WF $SHG $KB and Hana. Still Bullish, expecting...

Vermilion Research

Thematic Report: India's Nuclear Power Boom: A 2.7x Growth Story

​India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Nimish Maheshwari

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

#7 India Insights: Weaker Modi Mandate, Plunging PSUs, Tata Steel Credit Profile, Reliance, Airtel

​Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#3 India Insights : RIL-Rosneft Oil Deal, Paytm Denies Adani Acquisition, Adani Promoters Buys Stake

​India Insight : RIL secures discounted crude, Adani buys stake, Paytm denies Adani link, Coal India diversifying beyond coal.

Sudarshan Bhandari

India's nuclear power capacity set to surge 2.7 times by 2031, creating investment opportunities for companies like BHEL, Walchandnagar & HCC .

Weaker Modi & BJP mandate leads to plunge in PSUs and state-owned bank shares, while Tata Steel, Bharti Airtel, and Reliance Industries see credit...

India Insight : RIL secures discounted crude, Adani buys stake, Paytm denies Adani link, Coal India diversifying beyond coal.