Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

Commodities

<h3>This Week's Key Take Aways</h3>
<ul>
<li>Lithium stock run may already be out of steam</li>
<li>Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.</li>
<li>No love for North American lumber</li>
<li>Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.</li>
<li>Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.</li>
</ul>

This Week's Key Take Aways

Lithium stock run may already be out of steam
Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.
No love for North American lumber
Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.
Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.


Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 18th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe Insurance, EQ Resources.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 18th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe Insurance, EQ Resources.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe Insurance

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Diesel costs are close to the highs seen in April, when the US-Iran war began. If prices stay at these levels, the cost curve will rise by 5- 10 USD/ton.</li>
<li>Shipping costs have also increased by 30-40%, squeezing miners by a further 8-10 USD/ton over the last year on the 95-100 USD/ton base. </li>
<li>We see a scenario in which miners will continue to face downgrades as the supply-demand situation and steel mill profitability remain subdued. </li>
</ul>


Diesel costs are close to the highs seen in April, when the US-Iran war began. If prices stay at these levels, the cost curve will rise by 5- 10 USD/ton.
Shipping costs have also increased by 30-40%, squeezing miners by a further 8-10 USD/ton over the last year on the 95-100 USD/ton base. 
We see a scenario in which miners will continue to face downgrades as the supply-demand situation and steel mill profitability remain subdued. 


Iron Ore: Diesel And Shipping Cost Plague Miners

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

Australia

BHP is an Australian multinational mining and metals company that extracts, processes, and markets iron ore, copper, and metallurgical coal, and is developing a potash business. It is one of the world's largest mining companies by market capitalization. The company was founded in August 1885 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Price Gauge
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BHP (BHP LN)

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe Insurance

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Iron Ore: Diesel And Shipping Cost Plague Miners

We summarize how shipping and diesel costs affect iron ore miners. We also provide a brief update on iron ore imports from China and inventories.

Sameer Taneja

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe Insurance

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Codan, Sunrise Energy Metals, TPG Telecom, Qbe...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Iron Ore: Diesel And Shipping Cost Plague Miners

We summarize how shipping and diesel costs affect iron ore miners. We also provide a brief update on iron ore imports from China and inventories.

Sameer Taneja

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

​Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.