Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CBA, BHP, Westpac, Wesfarmers, CSL, South32, Fortescue, IGO, OZ Minerals, Washington  H. SO. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CBA, BHP, Westpac, Wesfarmers, CSL, South32, Fortescue, IGO, OZ Minerals, Washington  H. SO. 


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 7th): CBA, BHP, Westpac, Wesfarmers, CSL

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, an Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play, may be subject to an acquisition from its controlling shoulder, the Widjaja Family.</li>
<li>GEAR reported 1H22 (to June) earnings of US$279mn, an 859% gain yoy, as contributions from the newly acquired stake in an Australian coal mine from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> kicked in.</li>
<li>The family is potentially betting on one to two more years of outsized cashflow as the world's coal habit remains healthy.</li>
</ul>



Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), an Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play, may be subject to an acquisition from its controlling shoulder, the Widjaja Family.
GEAR reported 1H22 (to June) earnings of US$279mn, an 859% gain yoy, as contributions from the newly acquired stake in an Australian coal mine from BHP (BHP AU) kicked in.
The family is potentially betting on one to two more years of outsized cashflow as the world's coal habit remains healthy.


Golden Energy & Resources: Widjaja Family Betting Ridiculous Cashflow Continues

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Lifestyle International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), O2Micro International (OIIM US).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU), OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Singapore Medical (SMG SP), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK).


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Oct) - Lifestyle, Yashili, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, DTAC/True, Nearmap, PTB

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), 111 Inc (YI US), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), Pendal Group (PDL AU).
Lowest spreads  OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB).


Merger Arb Mondays (03 Oct) - Genex, Pendal, Alliance Aviation, Fengxiang, Lifestyle Intl, VNET, 111

<ul>
<li>For the month of September, 11 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was ~40%, and a year-to-date average of 39%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September, 11 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was ~40%, and a year-to-date average of 39%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A: September 2022 Roundup

Australia

BHP Group Limited operates as a mining company.  The Companyengages in the exploration, development, production and processing of iron ore, metallurgical coal, and copper. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP LN)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 7th): CBA, BHP, Westpac, Wesfarmers, CSL

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CBA, BHP, Westpac, Wesfarmers, CSL, South32,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Golden Energy & Resources: Widjaja Family Betting Ridiculous Cashflow Continues

The Widjaja family may envisage one to two years of bumper times ahead. From a longer-term analysis, GEAR is not expensive, especially taking into...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Oct) - Lifestyle, Yashili, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, DTAC/True, Nearmap, PTB

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (55.9%), Shandong Fengxiang (54.8%), Alliance Aviation (48.4%), 111 (36.6%), Genex (16.3%), O2Micro...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Oct) - Genex, Pendal, Alliance Aviation, Fengxiang, Lifestyle Intl, VNET, 111

This week, the highest gross spreads are Fengxiang (62.8%), Alliance Aviation (53.2%), VNET (45.5%), 111 (36.6%), Genex Power (16.3%), Pendal...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A: September 2022 Roundup

The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was ~31%, and a year-to-date average of 37%.

David Blennerhassett

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