Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>BigBear.ai is a specialized provider of AI-powered decision intelligence solutions, with a primary focus on the U.S. defense, intelligence, and homeland security sectors. Its established relationships and expertise in these niche markets provide a competitive advantage.</li>
  <li>The company is in a high-growth industry but faces significant financial headwinds. It has a history of substantial net losses and negative operating cash flow, indicating a high-risk profile. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with recent quarterly performance showing a year-over-year decline.</li>
  <li>Future success is heavily dependent on securing large-scale government contracts and successfully expanding into the commercial sector to diversify revenue. The company's strong balance sheet, with a significant cash position, is intended to fund investments to capture these opportunities, but execution remains a key uncertainty.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  BigBear.ai is a specialized provider of AI-powered decision intelligence solutions, with a primary focus on the U.S. defense, intelligence, and homeland security sectors. Its established relationships and expertise in these niche markets provide a competitive advantage.
  The company is in a high-growth industry but faces significant financial headwinds. It has a history of substantial net losses and negative operating cash flow, indicating a high-risk profile. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with recent quarterly performance showing a year-over-year decline.
  Future success is heavily dependent on securing large-scale government contracts and successfully expanding into the commercial sector to diversify revenue. The company's strong balance sheet, with a significant cash position, is intended to fund investments to capture these opportunities, but execution remains a key uncertainty.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: BigBear.ai Holdings  (BBAI US) - Oct 2025

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

NextVision Stabilized Systems / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs for the MV Global Defense Index for the December 2025 rebal. </li>
<li>We expect one-way flow of US$391mn for December 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.
There will be four ADDs for the MV Global Defense Index for the December 2025 rebal. 
We expect one-way flow of US$391mn for December 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigbear-ai-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36863:1" rel="noopener">BigBear.ai Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/next-vision-stabilized-systems-ltd-nextvision" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44223:1" rel="noopener">NextVision Stabilized Systems</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ondas-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33321:1" rel="noopener">Ondas Holdings Inc</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/planet-labs-pbc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35253:1" rel="noopener">Planet Labs</a> will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.</li>
<li>The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.</li>
<li>The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



BigBear.ai Holdings, NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ondas Holdings Inc and Planet Labs will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.
The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.
The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Methodology. We reviewed 50 under-covered, AI-involved public companies (~$2.7 billion average market cap; about five analysts each) and their respective one-year market-cap changes.</li><li>We then mapped them to one or more of 11 AI application areas.</li><li>We also assigned each company a subjective “AI Centricity” score (1 to 10 scale) based on each company’s level of focus on AI. </li></ul>

Methodology. We reviewed 50 under-covered, AI-involved public companies (~$2.7 billion average market cap; about five analysts each) and their respective one-year market-cap changes.We then mapped them to one or more of 11 AI application areas.We also assigned each company a subjective “AI Centricity” score (1 to 10 scale) based on each company’s level of focus on AI. 

AI Industry Primer A Survey of 50 Under-Covered Companies in Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks</li>
<li>The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks
The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin


High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

United States

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. operates as a software company. The Company develops artificial intelligence and machine learning technology to support its customer's decision-making processes and deliver practical solutions that work in complex, realistic, and imperfect data environments.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI US)

Primer: BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI US) - Oct 2025

BigBear.ai is a specialized provider of AI-powered decision intelligence solutions, with a primary focus on the U.S. defense, intelligence, and...

αSK

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Four ADDs and $800mm to trade in the MV Global Defense rebal to be executed on 19 December. There is one name with about 4x ADV to buy. The rest...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

There are 4 adds for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m. The adds have run up a lot...

Brian Freitas

AI Industry Primer A Survey of 50 Under-Covered Companies in Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Methodology. We reviewed 50 under-covered, AI-involved public companies (~$2.7 billion average market cap; about five analysts each) and their...

Water Tower Research

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)