Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OpenAI, Anthropic and Google released frontier models, while OpenAI cancelled GPT-6.1 Astra after safety tests and the FTC opened a probe into AI-agent safety.</li>
<li>Anthropic's IPO prospectus showed Q2 revenue of USD 11.5bn, OpenAI sought at least USD 30bn at a USD 1.4tn valuation, and Meta launched an enterprise AI platform.</li>
<li>Amazon explored moving USD 8bn of Nvidia chips into a leaseback vehicle, AMD agreed to buy World Labs for USD 8.2bn, and Firmus priced its ASX IPO.</li>
</ul>


OpenAI, Anthropic and Google released frontier models, while OpenAI cancelled GPT-6.1 Astra after safety tests and the FTC opened a probe into AI-agent safety.
Anthropic's IPO prospectus showed Q2 revenue of USD 11.5bn, OpenAI sought at least USD 30bn at a USD 1.4tn valuation, and Meta launched an enterprise AI platform.
Amazon explored moving USD 8bn of Nvidia chips into a leaseback vehicle, AMD agreed to buy World Labs for USD 8.2bn, and Firmus priced its ASX IPO.


This Week in AI (Sep 27-Oct 3): OpenAI Drops Astra for Sol; Sonnet 5.5 Nears Opus at 1/2 the Price

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/planet-labs-pbc">Planet Labs</a> operates the world's largest constellation of Earth observation satellites, providing a unique and powerful dataset by imaging the entire landmass of the Earth on a daily basis.</li>
  <li>The company is strategically shifting from a data provider to an analytics and insights-as-a-service platform, integrating AI to deliver actionable intelligence, which is expected to drive margin expansion and customer stickiness.</li>
  <li>While experiencing strong revenue growth, particularly from government and defense contracts, the company faces challenges in achieving consistent profitability, high operating costs, and increasing competition in the commercial satellite imagery market.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  
Planet Labs operates the world's largest constellation of Earth observation satellites, providing a unique and powerful dataset by imaging the entire landmass of the Earth on a daily basis.
  The company is strategically shifting from a data provider to an analytics and insights-as-a-service platform, integrating AI to deliver actionable intelligence, which is expected to drive margin expansion and customer stickiness.
  While experiencing strong revenue growth, particularly from government and defense contracts, the company faces challenges in achieving consistent profitability, high operating costs, and increasing competition in the commercial satellite imagery market.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigbear-ai-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36863:1" rel="noopener">BigBear.ai Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/next-vision-stabilized-systems-ltd-nextvision" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44223:1" rel="noopener">NextVision Stabilized Systems</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ondas-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33321:1" rel="noopener">Ondas Holdings Inc</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/planet-labs-pbc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35253:1" rel="noopener">Planet Labs</a> will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.</li>
<li>The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.</li>
<li>The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



BigBear.ai Holdings, NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ondas Holdings Inc and Planet Labs will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.
The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.
The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>Water Tower AI Flow Index. We monitor ~400 public companies across tech and AI for performance and AI-related news flow.</li><li>Last month (ending 12/31), the WTR AI Index was up 0.5% M/M, which was a significant improvement compared with the 7% decline in November.</li><li>This also compares favorably with the performance of the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.7%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.7%). </li></ul>

Water Tower AI Flow Index. We monitor ~400 public companies across tech and AI for performance and AI-related news flow.Last month (ending 12/31), the WTR AI Index was up 0.5% M/M, which was a significant improvement compared with the 7% decline in November.This also compares favorably with the performance of the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.7%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.7%). 

AI Flow Index : Sailing a Sea of Companies in AI - January 6, 2026

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).</li>
<li>Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold</li>
<li>The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).
Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold
The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS


Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

United States

Planet Labs PBC operates as a public Earth imaging company. The Company provides daily satellite data that helps businesses, governments, researchers, and journalists understand the physical world and take action. Planet Labs designs and manufactures triple-cubsat miniature satellites called Doves that are then delivered into orbit as secondary payloads on other rocket launch missions.

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Planet Labs (PL US)

This Week in AI (Sep 27-Oct 3): OpenAI Drops Astra for Sol; Sonnet 5.5 Nears Opus at 1/2 the Price

This week in AI: OpenAI scrapped GPT-6.1 Astra and shipped Sol, Anthropic released Sonnet 5.5 at half Opus's price, and Google launched Gemini 4...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Primer: Planet Labs (PL US) - Aug 2026

Planet Labs operates the world's largest constellation of Earth observation satellites, providing a unique and powerful dataset by imaging the...

αSK Primers

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

There are 4 adds for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m. The adds have run up a lot...

Brian Freitas

AI Flow Index : Sailing a Sea of Companies in AI - January 6, 2026

Water Tower AI Flow Index. We monitor ~400 public companies across tech and AI for performance and AI-related news flow.

Water Tower Research

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

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