Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bigbear-ai-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36863:1" rel="noopener">BigBear.ai Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/next-vision-stabilized-systems-ltd-nextvision" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44223:1" rel="noopener">NextVision Stabilized Systems</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ondas-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33321:1" rel="noopener">Ondas Holdings Inc</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/planet-labs-pbc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35253:1" rel="noopener">Planet Labs</a> will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.</li>
<li>The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.</li>
<li>The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



BigBear.ai Holdings, NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ondas Holdings Inc and Planet Labs will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 19 December.
The 4 adds, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m.
The adds have all run up over the last year and the passive buying could give the stocks another leg up in the short-term.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

NextVision Stabilized Systems / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs for the MV Global Defense Index for the December 2025 rebal. </li>
<li>We expect one-way flow of US$391mn for December 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.
There will be four ADDs for the MV Global Defense Index for the December 2025 rebal. 
We expect one-way flow of US$391mn for December 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).</li>
<li>Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold</li>
<li>The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).
Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold
The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS


Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>’s litigation and trading update resulted in the spread to Thoma Bravo’s A$2.10 offer widening to 7.7%. The scheme meeting is on 25 November.</li>
<li>There is no chance that the MAC clause will be triggered due to the downbeat trading update. However, the update is softening the stance of some of the retail dissenters.</li>
<li>There is a small chance of a bump as peers have re-rated. Nevertheless, the low spread prior to the update suggested that the risk of the NO vote was minimal.</li>
</ul>



Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)’s litigation and trading update resulted in the spread to Thoma Bravo’s A$2.10 offer widening to 7.7%. The scheme meeting is on 25 November.
There is no chance that the MAC clause will be triggered due to the downbeat trading update. However, the update is softening the stance of some of the retail dissenters.
There is a small chance of a bump as peers have re-rated. Nevertheless, the low spread prior to the update suggested that the risk of the NO vote was minimal.


Nearmap (NEA AU)’s Update Results in an Unwarranted Increase in the Spread

<ul>
<li>The IE considers Thoma Bravo’s A$2.10 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its valuation range of A$1.94 to A$2.45 per share (but the below the midpoint of A$2.20). </li>
<li>The spread has risen due to suggestions that some investors aim to block the scheme. These investors aim for a bump but will likely settle for the offer if unsuccessful. </li>
<li>At <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>'s last close price and for the 15 December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.8% and 44.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The IE considers Thoma Bravo’s A$2.10 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its valuation range of A$1.94 to A$2.45 per share (but the below the midpoint of A$2.20). 
The spread has risen due to suggestions that some investors aim to block the scheme. These investors aim for a bump but will likely settle for the offer if unsuccessful. 
At Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)'s last close price and for the 15 December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.8% and 44.5%, respectively.


Nearmap’s Spread Widens, Scheme Meeting on 25 November

United States

Planet Labs PBC operates as a public Earth imaging company. The Company provides daily satellite data that helps businesses, governments, researchers, and journalists understand the physical world and take action. Planet Labs designs and manufactures triple-cubsat miniature satellites called Doves that are then delivered into orbit as secondary payloads on other rocket launch missions.

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Planet Labs (PL US)

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 5.8% Turnover; US$850m Trade

There are 4 adds for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$846m. The adds have run up a lot...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

Four ADDs and $800mm to trade in the MV Global Defense rebal to be executed on 19 December. There is one name with about 4x ADV to buy. The rest...

Travis Lundy

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

Nearmap (NEA AU)’s Update Results in an Unwarranted Increase in the Spread

There is no chance that the MAC clause will be triggered due to the downbeat trading update. On the other hand, the update is softening the stance...

Arun George

Nearmap’s Spread Widens, Scheme Meeting on 25 November

The spread has risen due to suggestions that some investors aim to block the scheme. These investors aim for a bump but will likely settle for the...

Arun George

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