Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Country Garden Services / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in June 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the June 2024 index rebal will be announced on 17th May 2024.</li>
<li>The HSI selection process is highly subjective and does not follow clear-cut rules. This insight is simply an attempt to provide readers with an overall understanding of the possible scenarios.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in June 2024.
The index changes for the June 2024 index rebal will be announced on 17th May 2024.
The HSI selection process is highly subjective and does not follow clear-cut rules. This insight is simply an attempt to provide readers with an overall understanding of the possible scenarios.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex.


HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the May batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening, though the number of approvals appears to be slower than March.</li>
<li>None of the listed companies that we followed received approval for mobile games.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the May batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening, though the number of approvals appears to be slower than March.
None of the listed companies that we followed received approval for mobile games.


Tencent/Netease: Major Names Get Zeroed in May, Smells of Common Prosperity?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.</li>
<li>Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.</li>
<li>No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.
Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.
No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.</li>
<li>This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. </li>
<li>Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.
This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. 
Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.


HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

China

Bilibili Inc. is a leading online entertainment and video-sharing platform in China, primarily offering professional user-generated videos (PUGV), mobile games, live broadcasting, and value-added services. The company provides diverse digital content including anime, comics, and gaming (ACG), as well as pan-entertainment and pan-knowledge content. Bilibili is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2009.

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Bilibili (9626 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

Country Garden Services (6098 HK) will be deleted from the Hang Seng Index and BYD Electronics (285 HK) will be added to the index in June 2024....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th and highlight short interest changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: Major Names Get Zeroed in May, Smells of Common Prosperity?

China approves May batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, but slower than March. We observed that there is no mobile game approval for...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows continue to be strong. This week saw nearly HK$8bn bought on Banks and banks were top inflows. Some of this may be National Team...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Quiddity did not expect any name changes to the HSTECH index in June 2024 but we expected big flows because of significant capping impact, mostly...

Travis Lundy

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Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 24: Could Country Garden Services Get Deleted?

Country Garden Services (6098 HK) will be deleted from the Hang Seng Index and BYD Electronics (285 HK) will be added to the index in June 2024....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th and highlight short interest changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: Major Names Get Zeroed in May, Smells of Common Prosperity?

​China approves May batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, but slower than March. We observed that there is no mobile game approval for...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

SOUTHBOUND flows continue to be strong. This week saw nearly HK$8bn bought on Banks and banks were top inflows. Some of this may be National Team...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Quiddity did not expect any name changes to the HSTECH index in June 2024 but we expected big flows because of significant capping impact, mostly...

Travis Lundy

China approves May batch of games at a higher rate than in 2023, but slower than March. We observed that there is no mobile game approval for...