Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Multiple new agencies have been reporting that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. </li>
<li>The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.</li>
</ul>


Multiple new agencies have been reporting that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. 
The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.
In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.


Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bilibili (BILI) reported C3Q24 revenue and GAAP net income 2.1%, 18% vs. our estimates and 2.5%, 24% vs. consensus. </li>
<li>We believe the market oversold on BILI because its traffic was rebounding in accelerating fashion, which shall benefit from a consumption recovery now visible into C1Q25. </li>
<li>We maintained our BUY rating and raised our TP to US$22. BILI is our mid-cap TOP PICK.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili (BILI) reported C3Q24 revenue and GAAP net income 2.1%, 18% vs. our estimates and 2.5%, 24% vs. consensus. 
We believe the market oversold on BILI because its traffic was rebounding in accelerating fashion, which shall benefit from a consumption recovery now visible into C1Q25. 
We maintained our BUY rating and raised our TP to US$22. BILI is our mid-cap TOP PICK.


[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$22) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: Traffic Growth Bodes Well for Future

<ul>
<li>Bilibili (BILI) reported C2Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit, and GAAP net income in-line, 7.9%, 9.9% vs. our estimates and in-line, 12%, 18% vs. consensus. </li>
<li>BILI’s unique, urban user base and video format give it strong competitive advantage. Further, revenue from &lt;Three Kingdom&gt; game will be significant.</li>
<li>We raise our TP to US$20 and reiterate BUY .  </li>
</ul>


Bilibili (BILI) reported C2Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit, and GAAP net income in-line, 7.9%, 9.9% vs. our estimates and in-line, 12%, 18% vs. consensus. 
BILI’s unique, urban user base and video format give it strong competitive advantage. Further, revenue from &lt;Three Kingdom&gt; game will be significant.
We raise our TP to US$20 and reiterate BUY .  


[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$20) TP Change]: User Demographics&AI Drive China’s Video Instagram

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With consumption in the doldrums, one would expect none growing at double digits. This is actually not the case; </li>
<li>Further, how many Chinese Growth Equity names are accelerating in growth in the second half? Quite a lot;</li>
<li>We reiterate our view that Chinese Internet names are took-all winners with strong pricing power, which are showing when they need to. The weak market sentiment is self-fulfilling.</li>
</ul>


With consumption in the doldrums, one would expect none growing at double digits. This is actually not the case; 
Further, how many Chinese Growth Equity names are accelerating in growth in the second half? Quite a lot;
We reiterate our view that Chinese Internet names are took-all winners with strong pricing power, which are showing when they need to. The weak market sentiment is self-fulfilling.


How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent also declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
The share distribution follows the template of the US$16bn worth of JD.com shares that Tencent paid out after its dividend announcement at the end of 2021.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$22) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: Traffic Growth Bodes Well for Future

Bilibili (BILI) exceeds revenue and net income estimates, market oversold, BUY rating maintained with raised target price to US$22.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$20) TP Change]: User Demographics&AI Drive China’s Video Instagram

Bilibili's strong performance in Q2 and unique user base position it for continued success, with revenue from game expected to drive growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

More Chinese growth equity names growing at double digit than single and more are accelerating in growth in C2H24. Pessimism can turn into self...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. In this note, we look...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$22) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: Traffic Growth Bodes Well for Future

​Bilibili (BILI) exceeds revenue and net income estimates, market oversold, BUY rating maintained with raised target price to US$22.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Bilibili (BILI US, BUY, TP US$20) TP Change]: User Demographics&AI Drive China’s Video Instagram

​Bilibili's strong performance in Q2 and unique user base position it for continued success, with revenue from game expected to drive growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How Many Chinese Growth Equity Names Are Growing at Double Digits?

More Chinese growth equity names growing at double digit than single and more are accelerating in growth in C2H24. Pessimism can turn into self...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$20bn Overhang - Impact, Placement, Index, Other Investees

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. In this note, we look...

Sumeet Singh

Bilibili (BILI) exceeds revenue and net income estimates, market oversold, BUY rating maintained with raised target price to US$22.

Bilibili's strong performance in Q2 and unique user base position it for continued success, with revenue from game expected to drive growth....