IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloud-village-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33412:1" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (CLV HK)</a> is the second-largest online music platform after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27255:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music (TME US)</a> in China. It has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloud-village-netease-music-ipo-not-yet-a-sound-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61441" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Not yet a Sound Investment</a>, we stated that the 9M21 update is underwhelming with slowing growth and a marginal decline in losses. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



Cloud Village (CLV HK) is the second-largest online music platform after Tencent Music (TME US) in China. It has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point.
In Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Not yet a Sound Investment, we stated that the 9M21 update is underwhelming with slowing growth and a marginal decline in losses. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass. 


Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Weibo plans to raise around US$500-700m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>The company won listing approval and filed its PHIP on last week and will look to launch its secondary offering soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the impact of the raising.</li>
</ul>


Weibo plans to raise around US$500-700m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
The company won listing approval and filed its PHIP on last week and will look to launch its secondary offering soon.
In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the impact of the raising.


Weibo Secondary Listing - Needs to Come at a Discount

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a> reported 3Q2021 results which saw revenues increase 61.4% YoY to RMB5.2bn while operating losses for the quarter increased to 36.1% of revenues vs 33.6% in 3Q2020. </li>
<li>Mobile games revenue declined YoY for the first time in 2Q2021, however, the segment has resumed growth with a 9.1% YoY increase in third quarter.</li>
<li>Except for mobile games, the other three segments saw strong growth in top line with advertising revenues growing more than 100% during the quarter</li>
</ul>



Bilibili Inc (BILI US) reported 3Q2021 results which saw revenues increase 61.4% YoY to RMB5.2bn while operating losses for the quarter increased to 36.1% of revenues vs 33.6% in 3Q2020. 
Mobile games revenue declined YoY for the first time in 2Q2021, however, the segment has resumed growth with a 9.1% YoY increase in third quarter.
Except for mobile games, the other three segments saw strong growth in top line with advertising revenues growing more than 100% during the quarter


Bilibili: Mobile Games Resumes Growth; Losses Widening in 3Q Is in Line with Peers

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Value added service and advertising revenue grew rapidly in 3Q21.</li>
<li>However, we believe there are problems in the way BILI loses money.</li>
<li>We also believe BILI is overvalued based on other internet companies’ price / sales ratios.</li>
</ul>


Value added service and advertising revenue grew rapidly in 3Q21.
However, we believe there are problems in the way BILI loses money.
We also believe BILI is overvalued based on other internet companies’ price / sales ratios.


Bilibili: (BILI): 3Q21, Revenue and Users Growing Fast, Loss Problem Larger than It Looks

Event-Driven

It was reported by Reuters and several other news media outlets that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> top two shareholders: David Li - Chairman and Lei Jun – founder of Xiaomi, plan to take the Nasdaq-listed company private. David Li and Lei Jun respectively owned 23.2% and 7.8% of JOYY with David Li having 76% of voting power. Li and Len are said to be planning to offer about US$75-100 per JOYY’s share which will value the company at US$5.8-8bn and is aimed to be finalised by the end of 2021. As at the end of Friday (27th August), JOYY’s shares closed at US$61.97 per share at a market capitalisation of US$4.9bn and an EV of US$1.3bn.Tightening audit requirements and higher regulatory scrutiny have led to a number of New-York listed Chinese companies to opt out of the US through either going private or carrying out secondary listings in markets closer to China.

It was reported by Reuters and several other news media outlets that JOYY (YY US) top two shareholders: David Li - Chairman and Lei Jun – founder of Xiaomi, plan to take the Nasdaq-listed company private. David Li and Lei Jun respectively owned 23.2% and 7.8% of JOYY with David Li having 76% of voting power. Li and Len are said to be planning to offer about US$75-100 per JOYY’s share which will value the company at US$5.8-8bn and is aimed to be finalised by the end of 2021. As at the end of Friday (27th August), JOYY’s shares closed at US$61.97 per share at a market capitalisation of US$4.9bn and an EV of US$1.3bn.Tightening audit requirements and higher regulatory scrutiny have led to a number of New-York listed Chinese companies to opt out of the US through either going private or carrying out secondary listings in markets closer to China.

JOYY Inc Privatisation: Our Thoughts on Valuation

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

Cloud Village (NetEase Music) IPO: Valuation Insights

Cloud Village has launched its IPO to raise $400 million at the IPO mid-point. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive....

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing - Needs to Come at a Discount

Weibo plans to raise around US$500-700m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we talk about the deal and its impact.

Sumeet Singh

Bilibili: Mobile Games Resumes Growth; Losses Widening in 3Q Is in Line with Peers

Bilibili's operating losses widened during 3Q2021. We have observed that Huya's profit margins declined during the quarter while Douyu's paying...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Bilibili: (BILI): 3Q21, Revenue and Users Growing Fast, Loss Problem Larger than It Looks

Value added service and advertising grew rapidly in 3Q21, but we believe there are problems in the way BILI loses money. BILI is overvalued based...

Ming Lu

JOYY Inc Privatisation: Our Thoughts on Valuation

The rumoured deal price of US$75-100 per share offers a good upside to our SOTP price of US$74.27 per share. Assigning a target EV/Revenue of 1.0x...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

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