Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tencent's game performance was mixed. &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continued to perform well, with popularity increasing after the summer update. &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; saw a natural decline due to the game's lifespan.</li>
<li>NetEase's &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; launched on July 25 and showed an impressive performance with a large influx of players. It is expected to be a blockbuster with billions in annual grossing</li>
<li>Bilibili's &lt;FGO&gt; surged to fifth place on the grossing chart after its anniversary event, demonstrating the strong spending enthusiasm and loyalties of players for this nearly decade-old game.</li>
</ul>


Tencent's game performance was mixed. &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; continued to perform well, with popularity increasing after the summer update. &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; saw a natural decline due to the game's lifespan.
NetEase's &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; launched on July 25 and showed an impressive performance with a large influx of players. It is expected to be a blockbuster with billions in annual grossing
Bilibili's &lt;FGO&gt; surged to fifth place on the grossing chart after its anniversary event, demonstrating the strong spending enthusiasm and loyalties of players for this nearly decade-old game.


<ul>
<li>The popularity of &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; and &lt;Arena Breakout&gt; continues to rise. As a result, we are increasing the gross billings estimation for these games by 10% and 15% respectively.</li>
<li>
&lt;Need For Speed Mobile&gt; had an impressive first day, topping the iOS download charts and ranking  15th on the grossing chart. We are raising the expected gross billings by 25%.</li>
<li>Due to the game's lifecycle, &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has experienced a slight decline in revenue. Therefore, we are adjusting the forecast down by 10%. Conversely, &lt;Identity V&gt; continues to perform strongly.</li>
</ul>


The popularity of &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; and &lt;Arena Breakout&gt; continues to rise. As a result, we are increasing the gross billings estimation for these games by 10% and 15% respectively.

&lt;Need For Speed Mobile&gt; had an impressive first day, topping the iOS download charts and ranking  15th on the grossing chart. We are raising the expected gross billings by 25%.
Due to the game's lifecycle, &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has experienced a slight decline in revenue. Therefore, we are adjusting the forecast down by 10%. Conversely, &lt;Identity V&gt; continues to perform strongly.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS US/3690 HK: NBS publishes social retail consumption data for June 2024 (-/+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou Releases First Fully AI-Generated Micro-Drama, Receives Positive Reviews.（+）
BABA US/PDD US/1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume shows 26% y-o-y growth (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Onshore Equity ETF flows in China continued to be positive for 8th week. Southbound Connect flows in July are lower than June.</li>
<li>Baidu, Bilibili and GDS have had positive share price moves on the back of news flow.</li>
<li>The container shipping segment has had a sharp pullback on positive Middle East news and cement maker CNBM flags a loss in the first half.</li>
</ul>


Onshore Equity ETF flows in China continued to be positive for 8th week. Southbound Connect flows in July are lower than June.
Baidu, Bilibili and GDS have had positive share price moves on the back of news flow.
The container shipping segment has had a sharp pullback on positive Middle East news and cement maker CNBM flags a loss in the first half.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment China/Hong Kong (July 12)

<ul>
<li>3690 HK:Kuaigou Dache (ride hailing) Lowers Commission Rate for Drivers in Tianjin to 10% (-)</li>
<li>TCOM US:Ctrip Introduces Family Card, Allowing Users to Book Trips for Their Elderly Parents (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; to Launch Ranked System Optimization: Points for Wins and Losses (+)</li>
</ul>


3690 HK:Kuaigou Dache (ride hailing) Lowers Commission Rate for Drivers in Tianjin to 10% (-)
TCOM US:Ctrip Introduces Family Card, Allowing Users to Book Trips for Their Elderly Parents (+)
700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; to Launch Ranked System Optimization: Points for Wins and Losses (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

Online Game Monitor: July 15-29, 2024

Tencent's games have mixed performance, NetEase's <naraka mobile> shows performance and Bilibili's climbed the grossing chart after the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Online Game Monitor: July 2-15, 2024

Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment China/Hong Kong (July 12)

ETF flows in China have continued to support the overall A share market while Southbound Connect flows support Hong Kong shares. Positive news for...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Online Game Monitor: July 15-29, 2024

​Tencent's games have mixed performance, NetEase's <naraka mobile> shows performance and Bilibili's climbed the grossing chart after the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Online Game Monitor: July 2-15, 2024

​Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/BABA US/JD US/VIPS/3690HK/1024 HK/1519HK/ZTO/TCOM/NTES/BILI/

​NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment China/Hong Kong (July 12)

ETF flows in China have continued to support the overall A share market while Southbound Connect flows support Hong Kong shares. Positive news for...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/TCOM US/700 HK/JD US/BABA US/PDD US/1519HK/ZTOUS/NTESUS/BILIUS

​Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent's games have mixed performance, NetEase's <naraka mobile> shows performance and Bilibili's climbed the grossing chart after the...

Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...

NBS releases social retail consumption data for June 2024, Kuaishou's AI-generated micro-drama receives positive reviews, and weekly parcel volume...

Kuaigou Dache lowers commission rate for drivers, Ctrip introduces Family Card for booking trips for elderly parents, Honor of Kings to launch...