European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HAL increased the offer price by 3.1%, to €33.00, as final price, which represent a premium of c. 32%. A surprising move, as guidance provided no reason for doing so.</li>
<li>HAL and Stichting Hyacinth own c.55.6% (27 July), vs. 46.2% upon offer announcement. Boskalis and HAL agreed that if HAL holds at least 95%, HAL will initiate a squeeze-out and delisting.</li>
<li>The offer is now recommended by Boskalis' Boards and the acceptance period has been extended until 6 September (inclusive). Tender.</li>
</ul>


HAL increased the offer price by 3.1%, to €33.00, as final price, which represent a premium of c. 32%. A surprising move, as guidance provided no reason for doing so.
HAL and Stichting Hyacinth own c.55.6% (27 July), vs. 46.2% upon offer announcement. Boskalis and HAL agreed that if HAL holds at least 95%, HAL will initiate a squeeze-out and delisting.
The offer is now recommended by Boskalis' Boards and the acceptance period has been extended until 6 September (inclusive). Tender.


HAL Holding/​​Royal Boskalis Westminster: Sweetened Offer

<ul>
<li>The acceptance period runs until 2 September. HAL now controls 52.9% of Boskalis (Stichting Hyacinth will presumably keep buying at €32 or less). HAL will consolidate Boskalis from H2 2022.</li>
<li>The Boards of Boskalis have concluded that the offer price is not sufficiently convincing to recommend it to Boskalis' shareholders. Good try, but twisting HAL's arm seems difficult. Premium is 0.06%.</li>
<li>Considering the precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium, I would only open a position below the offer price. HAL will now consolidate Boskalis and does not need to sweeten the offer.</li>
</ul>


The acceptance period runs until 2 September. HAL now controls 52.9% of Boskalis (Stichting Hyacinth will presumably keep buying at €32 or less). HAL will consolidate Boskalis from H2 2022.
The Boards of Boskalis have concluded that the offer price is not sufficiently convincing to recommend it to Boskalis' shareholders. Good try, but twisting HAL's arm seems difficult. Premium is 0.06%.
Considering the precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium, I would only open a position below the offer price. HAL will now consolidate Boskalis and does not need to sweeten the offer.


HAL Holding/​Royal Boskalis Westminster: Offer Launch & Precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region.</li>
<li>The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for the widely-tracked EURO STOXX 50 Index.</li>
<li>This is a follow-up insight to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/stoxx-europe-indices-quiddity-leaderboard-for-june-2022-rebalance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68708" rel="noopener">STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance</a> with an updated look at potential index changes in June 2022.</li>
</ul>


The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region.
The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for the widely-tracked EURO STOXX 50 Index.
This is a follow-up insight to STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance with an updated look at potential index changes in June 2022.


STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 2.0

<ul>
<li>The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region.</li>
<li>The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for the widely-tracked EURO STOXX 50 Index.</li>
<li>Below is a look at the Potential Adds and Deletes for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index in the upcoming index review in June 2022.</li>
</ul>


The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region.
The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for the widely-tracked EURO STOXX 50 Index.
Below is a look at the Potential Adds and Deletes for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index in the upcoming index review in June 2022.


STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu (2319 HK)</a> is in discussions regarding its holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili (1230 HK)</a> which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.</li>
</ul>



Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)'s comments and answers about the SPH REIT Chain Offer may be misleading. 

China Mengniu (2319 HK) is in discussions regarding its holdings in Yashili (1230 HK) which may result in a number of "Potential Transactions", and may include a pre-conditional privatisation offer.

WH Group (288 HK) is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

Netherlands

Royal Boskalis Westminster NV is an international group that constructs and maintains ports, waterways, coastlines, and riverbanks. The Company provides dredging services and also engages in land reclamation activities. Boskalis has positions in strategic partnerships in the Middle East (Archirodon) and in offshore services (Lamnalco). The Company operates its own fleet of vessels.

Boskalis Westminster (BOKA NA)

HAL Holding/Royal Boskalis Westminster: Sweetened Offer

The offer price increase came as a surprise, as guidance provided no reason for doing so and interloper risk was nil from the outset. Shareholders...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

HAL Holding/Royal Boskalis Westminster: Offer Launch & Precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium

This situation is similar to that of Orange/Orange Belgium, and there are grounds to believe that HAL will not sweeten the offer price. I would...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 2.0

A look at the potential ADDs and potential DELETEs for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index during the June 2022 Review.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance

A look at the Potential Adds and Deletes for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index in the upcoming index review in June 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

HAL Holding/​​Royal Boskalis Westminster: Sweetened Offer

The offer price increase came as a surprise, as guidance provided no reason for doing so and interloper risk was nil from the outset. Shareholders...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

HAL Holding/​Royal Boskalis Westminster: Offer Launch & Precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium

This situation is similar to that of Orange/Orange Belgium, and there are grounds to believe that HAL will not sweeten the offer price. I would...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 2.0

A look at the potential ADDs and potential DELETEs for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index during the June 2022 Review.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance

A look at the Potential Adds and Deletes for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index in the upcoming index review in June 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Yashili, WH Group, Uniti Group, Toshiba, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

HAL Holding/Royal Boskalis Westminster: Sweetened Offer

HAL Holding/Royal Boskalis Westminster: Offer Launch & Precedent of Orange/Orange Belgium