ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also bottom-up insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aneka-tambang-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15991:1" rel="noopener">Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alam-sutera-realty-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2312:1" rel="noopener">Alam Sutera Realty (ASRI IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia
The past week saw insights on Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ), Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ), Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), Lian Beng, and Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ).
There were also bottom-up insights on Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ), Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), and Alam Sutera Realty (ASRI IJ). 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - ASSA's Mobility Edge, Alfamart's Convenience, and ITMG.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essential-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9645:1" rel="noopener">Essential Metals (ESS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) and Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Lian Beng (LBG SP), Arcland Service (3085 JP), Essential Metals (ESS AU), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Healius (HLS AU), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>/LBG has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.62 per share, an 8.8% premium to the undisturbed price (6 April).</li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise LBG, a bump is likely. </li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a> playbook, where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14843:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Singapore Limited (BOCS SP)</a> tabled a take-it-or-leave-it derisory 5.6% bump to its low-balled offer.   </li>
</ul>



Lian Beng (LBG SP)/LBG has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from the Ong family at S$0.62 per share, an 8.8% premium to the undisturbed price (6 April).
The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise LBG, a bump is likely. 
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP) playbook, where Boustead Singapore Limited (BOCS SP) tabled a take-it-or-leave-it derisory 5.6% bump to its low-balled offer.   


Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Derisory Unconditional Offer at S$0.62

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Best World International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>STI constituents that booked the highest net institutional inflow proportionate to quarter-end market cap included Sembcorp Industries, Genting Singapore and Keppel DC REIT, while Keppel Corp and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and City Developments booked the highest net institutional outflow proportionate to quarter-end market cap.</li><li>In 1Q23 Singapore’s 100 most traded stocks averaged 3% total returns, following on from the same 100 stocks averaging 10% average total returns in 2022.</li><li>Among the 100 most traded stocks in 1Q23, the 10 that booked the highest net institutional inflow proportionate to quarter-end market capitalisation averaged 19% total returns in 1Q23, compared to a 13% decline for the 10 stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow proportionate to quarter-end market capitalisation.</li></ul>

STI constituents that booked the highest net institutional inflow proportionate to quarter-end market cap included Sembcorp Industries, Genting Singapore and Keppel DC REIT, while Keppel Corp and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and City Developments booked the highest net institutional outflow proportionate to quarter-end market cap.In 1Q23 Singapore’s 100 most traded stocks averaged 3% total returns, following on from the same 100 stocks averaging 10% average total returns in 2022.Among the 100 most traded stocks in 1Q23, the 10 that booked the highest net institutional inflow proportionate to quarter-end market capitalisation averaged 19% total returns in 1Q23, compared to a 13% decline for the 10 stocks that booked the highest net institutional outflow proportionate to quarter-end market capitalisation.

Singapore’s Most Traded Stocks, Flows & Performances in 1Q23  

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle (ALB US)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> tilt; Malteries Soufflet's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt (UMG AU)</a> Offer; Bain Capital's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia (EHE AU)</a> Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Albemarle (ALB US)'s Liontown Resources (LTR AU) tilt; Malteries Soufflet's United Malt (UMG AU) Offer; Bain Capital's Estia (EHE AU) Offer. 
Key updates took place for Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), andGolden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

Singapore

Boustead Projects Limited is a leading provider of innovative real estate solutions with core engineering expertise in the design-and-build and development of smart eco-sustainable business park and industrial developments, and has an international presence across Singapore, China, Malaysia and Vietnam.

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Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - ASSA's Mobility Edge, Alfamart's Convenience, and ITMG.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Apr) - Lian Beng, Arcland, Essential, Genesis, Newcrest, Rakuten Bank, ZJLD

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Essential, Genesis, Healius, Newcrest, Arcland, Toyo, Lian Beng) and ECM (Rakuten Bank,...

Arun George

Lian Beng (LBG SP): Ong Family’s Derisory Unconditional Offer at S$0.62

The offer price is unattractive in comparison to peer multiples and precedent transactions. The price is not final. As the family aims to privatise...

Arun George

Singapore’s Most Traded Stocks, Flows & Performances in 1Q23

STI constituents that booked the highest net institutional inflow proportionate to quarter-end market cap included Sembcorp Industries, Genting...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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