Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand could be more muted amid expectations of rise in domestic supply over coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance work.</li><li>Sufficient availability of supply in recent weeks, even during plant-shutdown, points to signs of already-slower demand during that period.</li><li>Expected rise in supply would coincide with time of year when domestic consumption typically slows anyway.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could be more muted amid expectations of rise in domestic supply over coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance work.Sufficient availability of supply in recent weeks, even during plant-shutdown, points to signs of already-slower demand during that period.Expected rise in supply would coincide with time of year when domestic consumption typically slows anyway.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices.</li><li>Weaker outright prices compound the drop.</li><li>Sliding price-differentials, combined with increasingly firm diesel premium to crude oil, increase pressure on refiners to adjust output in response.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices.Weaker outright prices compound the drop.Sliding price-differentials, combined with increasingly firm diesel premium to crude oil, increase pressure on refiners to adjust output in response.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock in additional volumes.</li><li>Seasonal slowdown could limit immediate impact of any adjustment in base oils output because of lower margins.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted.Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock in additional volumes.Seasonal slowdown could limit immediate impact of any adjustment in base oils output because of lower margins.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.


Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Major Western oil giants posted strong Q3 2025 profits as surging refining margins and trading gains offset volatility and sustained production strength.</li>
<li>Ukrainian strikes and escalating Western sanctions on Russia tightened global product supply, pushing refining margins higher and supporting downstream earnings.</li>
<li>Refining margins are likely to stay elevated as prolonged sanctions, supply disruptions, and seasonal maintenance sustain tightness despite potential demand headwinds.</li>
</ul>


Major Western oil giants posted strong Q3 2025 profits as surging refining margins and trading gains offset volatility and sustained production strength.
Ukrainian strikes and escalating Western sanctions on Russia tightened global product supply, pushing refining margins higher and supporting downstream earnings.
Refining margins are likely to stay elevated as prolonged sanctions, supply disruptions, and seasonal maintenance sustain tightness despite potential demand headwinds.


Big Oil Gained in Q3 as Sanctions and Strikes on Russia Drove Refining Margins Higher

United Kingdom

BP p.l.c. is a British multinational integrated energy company. It engages in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, distribution, and marketing, as well as renewable energy activities including solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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BP (BP US)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

US base oils demand could be more muted amid expectations of rise in domestic supply over coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices. Weaker outright prices compound the drop. Sliding price-differentials, combined with...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted. Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock...

Base Oil News

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Big Oil Gained in Q3 as Sanctions and Strikes on Russia Drove Refining Margins Higher

Western oil giants saw healthy profits in Q3 due to high refining margins and trading gains, driven by Ukrainian strikes and sanctions on Russia....

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

US base oils demand could be more muted amid expectations of rise in domestic supply over coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices. Weaker outright prices compound the drop. Sliding price-differentials, combined with...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted. Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock...

Base Oil News

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Big Oil Gained in Q3 as Sanctions and Strikes on Russia Drove Refining Margins Higher

​Western oil giants saw healthy profits in Q3 due to high refining margins and trading gains, driven by Ukrainian strikes and sanctions on Russia....

Mint Finance

Western oil giants saw healthy profits in Q3 due to high refining margins and trading gains, driven by Ukrainian strikes and sanctions on Russia....