HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China approved the first self-developed COVID-19 oral drug (Azivudine), but there are controversies about efficacy and safety profile on it, which could increase the unpredictability of domestic innovative drugs approval.</li>
<li>Due to the VBP, fierce competition, uncertainties in the COVID-19 prevention/control policies and decreasing demand, the commercialization performance and outlook of Azivudine could be lower-then-expected in China and overseas markets.</li>
<li>The approval of Azivudine wouldn’t change the zero-COVID policy. Until President Xi’s third term appointment is confirmed, there’s no reason to expect China to deviate from this policy.</li>
</ul>


China approved the first self-developed COVID-19 oral drug (Azivudine), but there are controversies about efficacy and safety profile on it, which could increase the unpredictability of domestic innovative drugs approval.
Due to the VBP, fierce competition, uncertainties in the COVID-19 prevention/control policies and decreasing demand, the commercialization performance and outlook of Azivudine could be lower-then-expected in China and overseas markets.
The approval of Azivudine wouldn’t change the zero-COVID policy. Until President Xi’s third term appointment is confirmed, there’s no reason to expect China to deviate from this policy.


Will the Approval of Genuine Biotech's COVID-19 Oral Drug Change China's Zero-COVID Policy?

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a> is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.</li>
<li>For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.</li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.

CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.
For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly flows of Tencent, Geely, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly flows of Tencent, Geely, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, Geely, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is going</li><li>Hong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firms</li><li>Knife-wielding attacker injures five people at Shanghai hospital</li></ul>

Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is goingHong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firmsKnife-wielding attacker injures five people at Shanghai hospital

CX Daily: Where Covid Vaccine Development Is Going

<ul>
<li>There could be investment opportunities for influenza vaccines due to supply-demand mismatch this year, but there is no long-term logic in this industry.</li>
<li>The NRDL adjustment in 2022 has been officially launched. We need to point out a change in favor of the primary drugs (or original drugs).</li>
<li>CXO's prosperity may have problems in the next few years. The point is that it is difficult to predict how long this “low momentum” would last if it comes.</li>
</ul>


There could be investment opportunities for influenza vaccines due to supply-demand mismatch this year, but there is no long-term logic in this industry.
The NRDL adjustment in 2022 has been officially launched. We need to point out a change in favor of the primary drugs (or original drugs).
CXO's prosperity may have problems in the next few years. The point is that it is difficult to predict how long this “low momentum” would last if it comes.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.8)- CXO Outlook, 2022 NRDL Adjustment, Logic of Influenza Vaccine

China

Brii Biosciences operates as a biotechnology company. The Company discovers and develops therapeutics and medicines for the treatment of diseases. Brii Biosciences serves customers in the United States and China.

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Brii Biosciences (2137 HK)

Will the Approval of Genuine Biotech's COVID-19 Oral Drug Change China's Zero-COVID Policy?

Due to VBP/fierce competition/weak demand, Azivudine's outlook is challenging.Until President Xi’s 3rd term appointment is confirmed,there’s no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Jiangsu Province released VBP results on medical consumables. CStone proposed a potential sale of the business.We analyzed the logic behind. Maybe...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, Geely, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics

We highlight southbound weekly Hong Kong inflows into Tencent, Geely, as well as outflows from Meituan, and Wuxi Biologics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Where Covid Vaccine Development Is Going

Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is going. Hong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firms

Caixin Global

China Healthcare Weekly (July.8)- CXO Outlook, 2022 NRDL Adjustment, Logic of Influenza Vaccine

CXO's prosperity may have problems in the next few years. We analyzed the logic. There is no long-term logic for influenza vaccine. A change in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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