HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The NDRC issued the “14th Five-Year Plan For Bioeconomy”. This marks bio-economy has become a new economic form. With diversified resources and capital, a trillion-level market would develop rapidly.</li>
<li>The third centralized procurement in Fujian Province officially opened, involving five medical consumables. The bidding rule is milder than drugs VBP. Investors could pay more attention to medical device sector.</li>
<li>Akeso's 2021 PD-1 sales enlightened us that innovative drugs could still achieve good sales performance even without entering NRDL. So, companies could choose to give up NRDL negotiation strategically.</li>
</ul>


The NDRC issued the “14th Five-Year Plan For Bioeconomy”. This marks bio-economy has become a new economic form. With diversified resources and capital, a trillion-level market would develop rapidly.
The third centralized procurement in Fujian Province officially opened, involving five medical consumables. The bidding rule is milder than drugs VBP. Investors could pay more attention to medical device sector.
Akeso's 2021 PD-1 sales enlightened us that innovative drugs could still achieve good sales performance even without entering NRDL. So, companies could choose to give up NRDL negotiation strategically.


China Healthcare Weekly (May13)-New Bioeconomy Plan,Rational Withdrawal from NRDL,Medical Device VBP

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The National Health Commission of the PRC(NHC) published the revised covid treatment guideline yesterday which we think is a key step toward the adjustment of its  "zero covid" policy.</li>
<li>We believe the revised guideline is a significant step toward further easing China's covid strategy.</li>
<li>However we think China will not change its dynamic zero-covid policy any time soon.</li>
</ul>


The National Health Commission of the PRC(NHC) published the revised covid treatment guideline yesterday which we think is a key step toward the adjustment of its  "zero covid" policy.
We believe the revised guideline is a significant step toward further easing China's covid strategy.
However we think China will not change its dynamic zero-covid policy any time soon.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Benefiting from the opportunities brought to the healthcare industry by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunkang-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35631:1" rel="noopener">Yunkang Group (YK HK)</a> took a ride and ushered in a turning point in performance.</li>
<li>As the pandemic stabilizes and gets gradually under control, the revenue generated from COVID-19 tests may significantly decrease, which means Yunkang may return to net loss again in the future.</li>
<li>We currently haven’t seen any new growth point with high certainty. Therefore, we are conservative about Yunkang’s outlook.</li>
</ul>


Benefiting from the opportunities brought to the healthcare industry by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, Yunkang Group (YK HK) took a ride and ushered in a turning point in performance.
As the pandemic stabilizes and gets gradually under control, the revenue generated from COVID-19 tests may significantly decrease, which means Yunkang may return to net loss again in the future.
We currently haven’t seen any new growth point with high certainty. Therefore, we are conservative about Yunkang’s outlook.


Pre-IPO Yunkang Group - Lack of New Growth Point

<ul>
<li>For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.</li>
<li>The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.</li>
<li>If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.</li>
</ul>


For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.
The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.
If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.


Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.</li>
<li>We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.</li>
<li>Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?</li>
</ul>


We analyzed Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.
We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.
Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

China

Brii Biosciences operates as a biotechnology company. The Company discovers and develops therapeutics and medicines for the treatment of diseases. Brii Biosciences serves customers in the United States and China.

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Brii Biosciences (2137 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (May13)-New Bioeconomy Plan,Rational Withdrawal from NRDL,Medical Device VBP

The 14th Five-Year Bioeconomy plan indicates a new economic form and a trillion-level market.Medical device will be a better investment if...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Eases Covid Treatment Guidelines

The NHC published the revised covid treatment guideline yesterday which we think is a key step toward the adjustment of its "zero covid" policy.

Li Tang

Pre-IPO Yunkang Group - Lack of New Growth Point

The COVID-19 business isn't enough to support Yunkang's future development. It also lacks new growth points. It is recommended to calculate its...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

This insight analyzed Pfizer's Paxlovid and Merck’s Molnupiravir after FDA EUA, the global market potential, the impact on China market and related...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

The article mainly analyzed Junshi in terms of the pipeline, commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook, the related concerns, as well as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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