Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> is up 220% on a total return basis since we first published our insight in August 2023.</li>
<li>The company paid a special dividend in April this year and will pay a large special dividend of HK$4.3/share going ex-div on 3 July.</li>
<li>The resultant drop in market cap will result in deletion of the stock from large global passive portfolios at the close on 3 July.</li>
</ul>



Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) is up 220% on a total return basis since we first published our insight in August 2023.
The company paid a special dividend in April this year and will pay a large special dividend of HK$4.3/share going ex-div on 3 July.
The resultant drop in market cap will result in deletion of the stock from large global passive portfolios at the close on 3 July.


Brilliance China (1114 HK): Reversing Out of Passive Portfolios

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.</li>
<li>This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.</li>
<li>Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China (1114 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech (2158 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-smart-city-services-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Smart City (3319 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.
This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> was deleted from local and global indices following its prolonged trading suspension from April 2021 to September 2022.</li>
<li>Following the resumption of trading, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> was added to the HSCI in March and subsequently to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>The stock should be bought by global passive trackers over the next few months and there should be substantial passive inflows.</li>
</ul>



Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) was deleted from local and global indices following its prolonged trading suspension from April 2021 to September 2022.
Following the resumption of trading, Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) was added to the HSCI in March and subsequently to Southbound Stock Connect.
The stock should be bought by global passive trackers over the next few months and there should be substantial passive inflows.


Brilliance China (1114 HK): Driving Back Into Passive Portfolios

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgages</li><li>Floods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to 33</li><li>Wanda /Exclusive: Three Wanda executives under police investigation</li></ul>

Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgagesFloods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to 33Wanda /Exclusive: Three Wanda executives under police investigation

CX Daily: Chinese Banks Balk at Regulatory Support for Rate Cuts to Existing Mortgages

Hong Kong

Brilliance China Automotive is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacture and sale of BMW vehicles, non-BMW vehicles (such as minibuses and sedans), and automotive components. The company also offers auto-financing services. It was incorporated on June 9, 1992, and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)

Brilliance China (1114 HK): Reversing Out of Passive Portfolios

Brilliance China is up 220% in total return terms over the last year. The large special div next week will result in a huge drop in market cap....

Brian Freitas

More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

This note looks at Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract debt not included in current liabilities. Benjamin Graham...

David Blennerhassett

Brilliance China (1114 HK): Driving Back Into Passive Portfolios

The stock is up 27% over the last 3 months and could be added to passive portfolios at the end of the month. There will be positioning on the stock...

Brian Freitas

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

CX Daily: Chinese Banks Balk at Regulatory Support for Rate Cuts to Existing Mortgages

Mortgages /In Depth: Chinese banks balk at regulatory support for rate cuts to existing mortgages Floods /: Beijing floods’ death toll rises to...

Caixin Global

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52-week Range

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