Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Uttarakhand, a state in northern India, is known for its stunning landscapes, pilgrimage sites, and the title "Land of the Gods."</li>
<li>Despite the potential for tourism development, there are challenges in infrastructure, including transportation networks, accommodations, and bureaucratic processes.</li>
<li>The holiday trip, including being stuck in a landslide with limited connectivity, transformed us, enhancing personal growth, analytical skills, and commitment to serving investor clients.</li>
</ul>


Uttarakhand, a state in northern India, is known for its stunning landscapes, pilgrimage sites, and the title "Land of the Gods."
Despite the potential for tourism development, there are challenges in infrastructure, including transportation networks, accommodations, and bureaucratic processes.
The holiday trip, including being stuck in a landslide with limited connectivity, transformed us, enhancing personal growth, analytical skills, and commitment to serving investor clients.


Postcard from Uttarakhand | The Landslide Edition

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters</li><li>On a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The HSIE consumer index sales grew by 12% YoY in Q4FY23 (+11% in Q4FY22, +11% in Q3FY23)On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quartersOn a four-year CAGR basis, Paints/QSR/F&amp;B/Home Care have grown ahead of our index average (14/13/12/11%) in Q4FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range.</li>
<li>At the same time, we cannot get too bearish until there is a break below $90.50 short-term support.</li>
<li>EURO STOXX 50 pulling back to 4100-4200 buy area. TOPIX holding above 2120 support. Buy ideas within Technology, Construction Materials, gold miners, Utilities, other defensives.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range.
At the same time, we cannot get too bearish until there is a break below $90.50 short-term support.
EURO STOXX 50 pulling back to 4100-4200 buy area. TOPIX holding above 2120 support. Buy ideas within Technology, Construction Materials, gold miners, Utilities, other defensives.


Japan Remains Leadership; Actionable Pullback in Europe; Downgrading China/Hong Kong

<ul><li>Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%</li><li>Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)</li><li>BRIT continued to strengthen its market leadership, led by (1) distribution and marketing initiatives (2) portfolio innovation and (3) cost efficiencies</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)BRIT continued to strengthen its market leadership, led by (1) distribution and marketing initiatives (2) portfolio innovation and (3) cost efficienciesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Marico, Bharat Forge, DCB Bank

<ul><li>Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)</li><li>Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recovery</li><li>Urban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain muted</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improvement in volume CAGR, revenue to grow by 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)Companies have started seeing a gradual recovery in demand, however, it still falls short of a full recoveryUrban markets returned to positive volume growth while rural markets still remain mutedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

India

Britannia Industries Ltd is an Indian multinational food products company, primarily manufacturing and selling biscuits, bread, and dairy products. Approximately 80% of its revenue comes from biscuit products, with popular brands like Good Day, Marie Gold, and Tiger. The company is headquartered in Kolkata, India, and was founded in 1892.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)

Postcard from Uttarakhand | The Landslide Edition

India's tourism infrastructure challenges, life-changing trip despite setbacks like landslides. It fostered personal growth, analytical skills,...

Pranav Bhavsar

FMCG: Demand recovery lags margins

On a four-year CAGR basis, the universe clocked 9% growth in Q4FY23, a trend similar to that witnessed in the previous few quarters

HDFC Securities

Japan Remains Leadership; Actionable Pullback in Europe; Downgrading China/Hong Kong

#Japan #Nikkei 225 and #TOPIX above base supports at 30,800 and 2120, respectively. We've discussed buying pullbacks to 1950-2000 on TOPIX, but it...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Marico, Bharat Forge, DCB Bank

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY23 net revenue grew by 11% YoY vs our expectation of 14%. Volume growth was c.3% (four-year CAGR at 4%)

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev: Respite in demand and margins pressure

Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 10/9% on YoY/four-year CAGR in revenue in Q4FY23 (vs 12/8% in Q4FY22 and 8/10% in Q3FY23)

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)