Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After a challenging last decade, Broadcom is back on track with positive earnings results and a new customer for their custom ASIC business</li><li>CEO Hawk Tan's confident and clear communication during the earnings call led to a significant stock price increase</li><li>AMD's stock was down as investors may view Broadcom's success as a potential threat to their position as a second source alternative to Nvidia in the market</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

After a challenging last decade, Broadcom is back on track with positive earnings results and a new customer for their custom ASIC businessCEO Hawk Tan's confident and clear communication during the earnings call led to a significant stock price increaseAMD's stock was down as investors may view Broadcom's success as a potential threat to their position as a second source alternative to Nvidia in the marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EP 133: Broadcom Earnings, More on ASICS vs. GPUs, Google Selling TPUs?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">Robinhood Markets (HOOD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trade-desk-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26467:1" rel="noopener">Trade Desk (TTD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOGL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft (MSFT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil (XOM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron (CVX)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.
The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) and Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US). 
The largest flows are expected in AppLovin (APP), Robinhood Markets (HOOD), Trade Desk (TTD), NVIDIA (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT US), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Netskope Inc., a VC-backed cybersecurity leader and provider of enterprise network security platform that helps customers apply zero trust principles to protect sensitive data, filed to go public.</li>
<li>The Santa Clara-based Netskope has raised a significant amount of equity and debt. According to Crunchbase, the company has raised ~$1B in equity across many rounds of funding.</li>
<li>With 30%+ ARR growth, improving profitability and leadership position, I expect a strong interest around high-profile Netskope IPO.</li>
</ul>


Netskope Inc., a VC-backed cybersecurity leader and provider of enterprise network security platform that helps customers apply zero trust principles to protect sensitive data, filed to go public.
The Santa Clara-based Netskope has raised a significant amount of equity and debt. According to Crunchbase, the company has raised ~$1B in equity across many rounds of funding.
With 30%+ ARR growth, improving profitability and leadership position, I expect a strong interest around high-profile Netskope IPO.


Netskope IPO Preview: A Hot Cybersecurity Play Is On Deck

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei previously emphasized that customer demand for 2nm technology surpasses that for 3nm, and the company is actively working to expand production capacity. </li>
<li>For 2nm technology, we expect production to take place at the Tainan fab, ahead of the U.S. Arizona fab and earlier than the previously anticipated 2028 timeline.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)'</a>s next generation 2nm development is actively progressing.</li>
</ul>


TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei previously emphasized that customer demand for 2nm technology surpasses that for 3nm, and the company is actively working to expand production capacity. 
For 2nm technology, we expect production to take place at the Tainan fab, ahead of the U.S. Arizona fab and earlier than the previously anticipated 2028 timeline.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)'s next generation 2nm development is actively progressing.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Political scrutiny and perception issues form a tense backdrop ahead of Tan’s Oval Office meeting.</li>
<li>Strategic rifts over investment pace, 14A development, and fab build-outs are at the heart of the discussion.</li>
<li>The meeting’s outcome may hinge on whether Tan can align Intel’s roadmap with Trump’s manufacturing agenda.</li>
</ul>


Political scrutiny and perception issues form a tense backdrop ahead of Tan’s Oval Office meeting.
Strategic rifts over investment pace, 14A development, and fab build-outs are at the heart of the discussion.
The meeting’s outcome may hinge on whether Tan can align Intel’s roadmap with Trump’s manufacturing agenda.


What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

EP 133: Broadcom Earnings, More on ASICS vs. GPUs, Google Selling TPUs?

Broadcom had a strong quarter, beating revenue and EPS expectations, with CEO Hawk Tan's announcement of a new customer causing the stock to rise...

The Circuit

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

Netskope IPO Preview: A Hot Cybersecurity Play Is On Deck

VC-backed cybersecurity company Netskope Inc. is expected to IPO in September. I have a positive view of upcoming offering and expect a strong...

Andrei Zakharov

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.

Patrick Liao

What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EP 133: Broadcom Earnings, More on ASICS vs. GPUs, Google Selling TPUs?

Broadcom had a strong quarter, beating revenue and EPS expectations, with CEO Hawk Tan's announcement of a new customer causing the stock to rise...

The Circuit

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

Netskope IPO Preview: A Hot Cybersecurity Play Is On Deck

​VC-backed cybersecurity company Netskope Inc. is expected to IPO in September. I have a positive view of upcoming offering and expect a strong...

Andrei Zakharov

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

​TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.

Patrick Liao

What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

​Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.

Mint Finance

VC-backed cybersecurity company Netskope Inc. is expected to IPO in September. I have a positive view of upcoming offering and expect a strong...

TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.

Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.