Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/burning-rock-biotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28970:1" rel="noopener">Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US)</a> shares plunged 35% since I published bearish insight on the company in November. Weak Q3 results, slower recovery, and the U.S.-China conflict remained major overhangs.</li>
<li>However, the shares are now trading at two-week high, as the company received approval for its second NGS kit in China and reported slightly better-than-expected Q4 results.</li>
<li>Investors should continue to avoid Burning Rock shares for near-term and wait for COVID cases to subside in China and resolution of the U.S.-China conflict.</li>
</ul>



Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) shares plunged 35% since I published bearish insight on the company in November. Weak Q3 results, slower recovery, and the U.S.-China conflict remained major overhangs.
However, the shares are now trading at two-week high, as the company received approval for its second NGS kit in China and reported slightly better-than-expected Q4 results.
Investors should continue to avoid Burning Rock shares for near-term and wait for COVID cases to subside in China and resolution of the U.S.-China conflict.


Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US): Attractive Growth Story Outshined by Surging COVID Cases in China

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/burning-rock-biotech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28970:1" rel="noopener">Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) </a>is China’s leading NGS-based therapy selection testing company for late-stage cancer patients. Thus far, the company has completed more than 300,000 tissue and liquid-based tests.</li>
<li>The company is in a structural transition towards in-hospital business model, which is negatively impacting the blended ASP and profitability. Due to upcoming new product launch in next year and ongoing clinical studies, opex is now accounting for more than 230% of revenue, which is expected to continue.</li>
<li>Amid the recent spread of delta variant in China, this insight has analyzed near-term growth prospect of Burning Rock ahead of its Q3 results announcement on November 16.  </li>
</ul>



Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) is China’s leading NGS-based therapy selection testing company for late-stage cancer patients. Thus far, the company has completed more than 300,000 tissue and liquid-based tests.
The company is in a structural transition towards in-hospital business model, which is negatively impacting the blended ASP and profitability. Due to upcoming new product launch in next year and ongoing clinical studies, opex is now accounting for more than 230% of revenue, which is expected to continue.
Amid the recent spread of delta variant in China, this insight has analyzed near-term growth prospect of Burning Rock ahead of its Q3 results announcement on November 16.  


Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US): Muted Near-Term Outlook on Resurgence of COVID-19 in China

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kindstar Globalgene Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kindstar-globalgene-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32175:1" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK)</a> is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p></div><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). </p></div><div><p>Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kindstar-globalgene-ipo-initiation-testing-testing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53731" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing</a>, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div></div>

Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK) is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.In Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Kindstar Globalgene IPO: Valuation Insights

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

New Horizon Health  / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-horizon-health-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31039:1" rel="noopener">New Horizon Health (NHH HK)</a> has announced terms of its US$263MM IPO with a pre-money valuation of US$960 million to US$1.17 billion. The updated filings show a strong recovery in volumes from COVID-19 disruptions. We think the valuation is reasonable using undemanding assumptions and would participate in the offering. </p>

New Horizon Health (NHH HK) has announced terms of its US$263MM IPO with a pre-money valuation of US$960 million to US$1.17 billion. The updated filings show a strong recovery in volumes from COVID-19 disruptions. We think the valuation is reasonable using undemanding assumptions and would participate in the offering. 

New Horizon IPO: Only Undemanding Assumptions Needed

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Compared with developed countries, China's IVD industry started relatively late, and the overall technical level still lags far behind that of developed countries in Europe and America. However, in recent years, with the acceleration of the aging problem and the continuous growth of residents' income, the IVD has become one of the most active and fastest growing industries in China. </p>

Compared with developed countries, China's IVD industry started relatively late, and the overall technical level still lags far behind that of developed countries in Europe and America. However, in recent years, with the acceleration of the aging problem and the continuous growth of residents' income, the IVD has become one of the most active and fastest growing industries in China. 

Industry Report - Insights on China IVD Industry

China

Burning Rock Biotech Limited operates as a biotech company. The Company discovers and develops diagnositcs solutions for precision medicine in oncology. Burning Rock Biotech serves customers in China.

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Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US)