Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As you know, lately we have maintained a constructive view on  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> identifying a potential bottoming process. Recent price action is supported by a significant new fundamental catalyst.</li>
<li>BYD shares surged ~8% on March 16, 2026, following news that its Brazil plant (Camaçari) secured 100,000 export orders from Argentina and Mexico.</li>
<li>This insight utilizes our proprietary model to quantify the extent of the current price extension and evaluate if the current trajectory supports further appreciation before a tactical consolidation.</li>
</ul>


As you know, lately we have maintained a constructive view on  BYD (1211 HK) identifying a potential bottoming process. Recent price action is supported by a significant new fundamental catalyst.
BYD shares surged ~8% on March 16, 2026, following news that its Brazil plant (Camaçari) secured 100,000 export orders from Argentina and Mexico.
This insight utilizes our proprietary model to quantify the extent of the current price extension and evaluate if the current trajectory supports further appreciation before a tactical consolidation.


BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Assessing Current Trend Acceleration and Momentum Sustainability

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus., Carbon Tracker Initiative

Carbon Tracker Initiative

Focused on the Climate–Nature Nexus.

Carbon Tracker and Planet Tracker - part of the Tracker Group - are award-winning, non-profit financial think tanks focused on the climate–nature nexus.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.</li>
<li>Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.</li>
<li>Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.</li>
</ul>


This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and estimated real-world lifecycle emissions.
Across the sector, Carbon Tracker estimates a median reporting gap of 33%, driven by differences between corporate reporting assumptions and real-world vehicle emissions.
Adjusted emissions estimates suggest several automakers are as carbon intensive as traditional oil and gas companies.


Energy Transition: Oil Companies in Disguise

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> closed up +4.37% on Monday, some analyst attribute the performance to the news that the company is about to deliver an innovative ultra-fast car charger.</li>
<li>Another factor may be a projected increased interest in EV vehicles, due to potentially higher fuel prices caused by the Iran War and Hormutz Strait blockade.</li>
<li>From a pure quantitative standpoint, our model flagged the stock as 'mildly oversold' last Friday at Close. We <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/byd-1211-hk-tactical-outlook-taking-off-not-yet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previously</a> said that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> may be ready to rally again.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) closed up +4.37% on Monday, some analyst attribute the performance to the news that the company is about to deliver an innovative ultra-fast car charger.
Another factor may be a projected increased interest in EV vehicles, due to potentially higher fuel prices caused by the Iran War and Hormutz Strait blockade.
From a pure quantitative standpoint, our model flagged the stock as 'mildly oversold' last Friday at Close. We previously said that BYD (1211 HK) may be ready to rally again.


BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Higher Oil Prices Could Boost EV Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> had a difficult week last week, dropped nearly 10%, but a recovery rally this week is bringing the stock back to previous price levels (last close=99.15).</li>
<li>We insist that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> may be in the process of bottoming and possibly restart rallying.</li>
<li>This insight will update profit targets for this rally just before the start of the holidays in China, next week.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) had a difficult week last week, dropped nearly 10%, but a recovery rally this week is bringing the stock back to previous price levels (last close=99.15).
We insist that BYD (1211 HK) may be in the process of bottoming and possibly restart rallying.
This insight will update profit targets for this rally just before the start of the holidays in China, next week.


BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Taking Off? NOT YET!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia dropped slightly in the week to 30 Jan on average for liquid pairs. Then rose sharply las week. Energy and Communications Services saw Hs outperform.</li>
<li>The Quiddity Portfolio is +0.54% in 5 weeks on 10% H/A beta.</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia dropped slightly in the week to 30 Jan on average for liquid pairs. Then rose sharply las week. Energy and Communications Services saw Hs outperform.
The Quiddity Portfolio is +0.54% in 5 weeks on 10% H/A beta.
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.


A/H Premium Tracker (2 Weeks to 6 Feb 2026):  Slight H/A Under-Perf

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Assessing Current Trend Acceleration and Momentum Sustainability

BYD surged to 104.3 on Monday, the company just secured a 100,000 vehicle export order from Latin America. Quant-model based tactical view xamines...

Nico Rosti

Energy Transition: Oil Companies in Disguise

This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and...

Carbon Tracker Initiative

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Higher Oil Prices Could Boost EV Demand

BYD (1211 HK) stock surged +4.37% on Monday after news of an innovative ultra-fast car charger, plus a potential rise in EV interest due to...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Taking Off? NOT YET!

BYD (1211 HK) faced a tough week last week, nearly a -10% drop, but a recovery rally is bringing the stock back to previous levels, possibly...

Nico Rosti

A/H Premium Tracker (2 Weeks to 6 Feb 2026): Slight H/A Under-Perf

AH premia were down two weeks ago, and back up last week. Hs have underperformed ytd but the Quiddity Portfolio is up. I suggest staying long...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Assessing Current Trend Acceleration and Momentum Sustainability

BYD surged to 104.3 on Monday, the company just secured a 100,000 vehicle export order from Latin America. Quant-model based tactical view xamines...

Nico Rosti

Energy Transition: Oil Companies in Disguise

This report analyses 17 of the world’s largest automakers and identifies a systemic “Carbon Gap” between reported Scope 3 Category 11 emissions and...

Carbon Tracker Initiative

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Higher Oil Prices Could Boost EV Demand

​BYD (1211 HK) stock surged +4.37% on Monday after news of an innovative ultra-fast car charger, plus a potential rise in EV interest due to...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Taking Off? NOT YET!

​BYD (1211 HK) faced a tough week last week, nearly a -10% drop, but a recovery rally is bringing the stock back to previous levels, possibly...

Nico Rosti

A/H Premium Tracker (2 Weeks to 6 Feb 2026): Slight H/A Under-Perf

AH premia were down two weeks ago, and back up last week. Hs have underperformed ytd but the Quiddity Portfolio is up. I suggest staying long...

Travis Lundy

BYD (1211 HK) stock surged +4.37% on Monday after news of an innovative ultra-fast car charger, plus a potential rise in EV interest due to...

BYD (1211 HK) faced a tough week last week, nearly a -10% drop, but a recovery rally is bringing the stock back to previous levels, possibly...