External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.</li><li>Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.</li><li>Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI</li>
<li>We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations</li>
</ul>


2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside
We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI
We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations


Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

<ul><li>IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.</li><li>For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.</li><li>By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

<ul><li>Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.</li><li>While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.</li><li>We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.</li><li>We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.</li><li>In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

China

BYD Electronic (International) Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells handset components and modules, and provides assembly services for mobile phones. The company offers one-stop product solutions leveraging electronic information, AI, 5G, and IoT technologies, with its business spanning smartphones, computers, new energy vehicles, smart home solutions, and communication equipment. It was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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BYD Electronic (285 HK)

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus

CMB International

Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

The $DXY broke below 5-year support at $103, signaling a major top in place. This is bullish for risk assets, and is another sign suggesting the...

Vermilion Research

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local...

CMB International

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