Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 22nd November 2024.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2024.
The index changes for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 22nd November 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec 24: Special Focus on IT, Healthcare, and SOEs

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.</li><li>We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.</li><li>For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BYDE‘s 3Q24 revenue/NP growth of 21%/1% YoY was largely in-line, while GPM improved 1.7ppts QoQ to 8.5%, slightly ahead of expectations, given higher UTR in iPhone casing, stable Android demand and NEV growth.</li><li>For 4Q24, we expect stronger revenue/NP growth driven by iPhone/iPad seasonality, Huawei/Xiaomi flagship model launches and AI server biz ramp-up.</li><li>Looking into 2025, we remain positive on iPhone AI cycle, stable Android flagship demand, high-end NEV products and AI server momentum. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE‘s 3Q24 revenue/NP growth of 21%/1% YoY was largely in-line, while GPM improved 1.7ppts QoQ to 8.5%, slightly ahead of expectations, given higher UTR in iPhone casing, stable Android demand and NEV growth.For 4Q24, we expect stronger revenue/NP growth driven by iPhone/iPad seasonality, Huawei/Xiaomi flagship model launches and AI server biz ramp-up.Looking into 2025, we remain positive on iPhone AI cycle, stable Android flagship demand, high-end NEV products and AI server momentum. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - 3Q24 In-Line; Eyes on Jabil/NEV/AI Server Ramp-Up

<ul><li>Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI server demand and broad-based general server recovery.</li><li>Based on Counterpoint data, 2Q24 global server revenue climbed 35% YoY to US$45.4mn, with AI server reaching 30% of the sales mix.</li><li>For 4Q24E, we expect most AI server names will continue to benefit from improved CoWoS supply and Hopper H200 ramp, while Blackwell (B200/GB200) AI servers will see shipments in small volume in late 4Q24 and bigger ramp in 1Q25E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI server demand and broad-based general server recovery.Based on Counterpoint data, 2Q24 global server revenue climbed 35% YoY to US$45.4mn, with AI server reaching 30% of the sales mix.For 4Q24E, we expect most AI server names will continue to benefit from improved CoWoS supply and Hopper H200 ramp, while Blackwell (B200/GB200) AI servers will see shipments in small volume in late 4Q24 and bigger ramp in 1Q25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - ODM/Brands Driven by H200/GB200 AI Server Ramp and General Sever Recovery

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec 24: Special Focus on IT, Healthcare, and SOEs

The HIGH conviction basket has been outperforming the Hang Seng index over the last few weeks. If you have not already initiated the trade...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market...

CMB International

BYDE (285 HK) - 3Q24 In-Line; Eyes on Jabil/NEV/AI Server Ramp-Up

BYDE‘s 3Q24 revenue/NP growth of 21%/1% YoY was largely in-line, while GPM improved 1.7ppts QoQ to 8.5%, slightly ahead of expectations

CMB International

Technology - ODM/Brands Driven by H200/GB200 AI Server Ramp and General Sever Recovery

Major global server brands/ODMs delivered strong 2Q/3Q24 sales and guided server revenue momentum will continue into 2H24E thanks to robust AI...

CMB International

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