Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>US economic growth has shown exceptional resilience, with a strong payrolls report and other positive macroeconomic factors</li><li>Higher US yields may put pressure on dollar shorts and lead to a potential capitulation in those positions</li><li>Canadian dollar baskets may outperform in this environment, with higher US yields benefiting the CAD</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US economic growth has shown exceptional resilience, with a strong payrolls report and other positive macroeconomic factorsHigher US yields may put pressure on dollar shorts and lead to a potential capitulation in those positionsCanadian dollar baskets may outperform in this environment, with higher US yields benefiting the CADThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: It was hard enough in the first place

<ul><li>Market pricing suggests nearly a 50% chance of a 50 basis point cut by the Fed, leading to uncertainty in the market.</li><li>The direction of the Fed's policy is clear regardless of the cut amount, with aggressive easing likely to continue throughout the year.</li><li>Concerns about labor market weakness in Canada have prompted the Bank of Canada to shift its focus from inflation to potential weakening in economic activity.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Market pricing suggests nearly a 50% chance of a 50 basis point cut by the Fed, leading to uncertainty in the market.The direction of the Fed's policy is clear regardless of the cut amount, with aggressive easing likely to continue throughout the year.Concerns about labor market weakness in Canada have prompted the Bank of Canada to shift its focus from inflation to potential weakening in economic activity.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: Implications from FOMC and other G10 central banks

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>US-Dollar Reversal Incoming? The signs become more that the USD is topping out. This is the result of our latest currency-assessment.</li><li>Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over the last months.</li><li>Both pairs trade at multi-year support and are heavily oversold across all metrics.</li></ul>

US-Dollar Reversal Incoming? The signs become more that the USD is topping out. This is the result of our latest currency-assessment.Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over the last months.Both pairs trade at multi-year support and are heavily oversold across all metrics.

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.</li><li>As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.</li><li>And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.</li></ul>

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioning themselves in the current market.As with every other rally, retail investors end up blindly following the big players, and long risk might very well be the play to make as flows from ETFs and retail investors continue to lift markets.And with that in mind, we have spiced up today’s version, moving away from the CFTC report and instead trying to have a look at what various surveys are telling us about the current market.

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

<ul><li>Over the weekend, oil traders dusted off their Strait of Hormuz crisis playbooks—and once again, they overplayed their hand.</li><li>Saturday’s U.S. strike inside Iran sparked a sharp wave of geopolitical anxiety, turbocharged by Iran’s retaliatory missile barrage and the familiar threat from Tehran’s Parliament to shut down the Strait.</li><li>Add a few “Hormuz closed?” headlines and prediction markets went into meltdown, briefly treating a full blockade as the base case.</li></ul>

Over the weekend, oil traders dusted off their Strait of Hormuz crisis playbooks—and once again, they overplayed their hand.Saturday’s U.S. strike inside Iran sparked a sharp wave of geopolitical anxiety, turbocharged by Iran’s retaliatory missile barrage and the familiar threat from Tehran’s Parliament to shut down the Strait.Add a few “Hormuz closed?” headlines and prediction markets went into meltdown, briefly treating a full blockade as the base case.

Steno Signals #202 – Peak WW3 Fears Return!

Canada

The Canadian dollar is the official currency of Canada. 

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CAD (USDCAD CURNCY)

Global FX: It was hard enough in the first place

The US economy is experiencing strong growth, with blockbuster payrolls reports exceeding expectations, while markets grapple with interest rate...

At Any Rate

Global FX: Implications from FOMC and other G10 central banks

Market pricing and economist forecasts indicate a significant chance of a 50 basis point cut by the Fed, while Canada's labor market weakness is...

At Any Rate

US-Dollar Reversal Incoming?

Particular interesting could be setups in AUDUSD as well as CADUSD - two currency pairs that have been hit the hardest by the strong USD-cycle over...

The Commodity Report

Positioning Watch – The Goldilocks Scenario is Intensifying

Happy Saturday everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch, where we dissect how traders and investors are positioned

Steno Research

Steno Signals #202 – Peak WW3 Fears Return!

Over the weekend, oil traders dusted off their Strait of Hormuz crisis playbooks—and once again, they overplayed their hand. Saturday’s U.S....

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)