IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>’s 180-day lock-up period on its 89.75% <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> shareholding expires on 12 March. SoftBank’s stake is worth US$124 billion.</li>
<li>SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual settlement through shares. </li>
<li>ARM is currently trading 2.6x its IPO price on AI-driven hype. ARM trades at a premium multiple to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>, despite forecasted lower growth and margin.  </li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP)’s 180-day lock-up period on its 89.75% ARM Holdings (ARM US) shareholding expires on 12 March. SoftBank’s stake is worth US$124 billion.
SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual settlement through shares. 
ARM is currently trading 2.6x its IPO price on AI-driven hype. ARM trades at a premium multiple to NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), despite forecasted lower growth and margin.  


ARM Holdings (ARM US): Lock up Expiry on 12 March

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SNPS reported Q2FY26 revenues of $2.276 billion, above prior guidance; quarterly GAAP earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $0.09, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.35</li>
<li>SNPS raised expectations for FY26 revenue to $9.665 billion, driven by strong performance across the business. Share price crashed ~9% the following day.</li>
<li>On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott,  including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board as an independent director. Yikes!</li>
</ul>


SNPS reported Q2FY26 revenues of $2.276 billion, above prior guidance; quarterly GAAP earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $0.09, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.35
SNPS raised expectations for FY26 revenue to $9.665 billion, driven by strong performance across the business. Share price crashed ~9% the following day.
On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott,  including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board as an independent director. Yikes!


Synopsys Q2 FY26. Beat, Raise, Crash & Hello There Elliott

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of last week's 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). We discussed last week to add exposure to growth/Technology.</li>
<li>RS on the cap-weighted XLK is now breaking above its 2025 highs and we are upgrading Technology to overweight</li>
<li>We have remained overweight semiconductors (SMH, NVDA, TSM, CIEN, etc.) and memory (SNDK, WDC, STX, MU) ever since our 6/17/25 Compass, and these remain our favorite areas within Tech.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of last week's 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). We discussed last week to add exposure to growth/Technology.
RS on the cap-weighted XLK is now breaking above its 2025 highs and we are upgrading Technology to overweight
We have remained overweight semiconductors (SMH, NVDA, TSM, CIEN, etc.) and memory (SNDK, WDC, STX, MU) ever since our 6/17/25 Compass, and these remain our favorite areas within Tech.


Upgrading Technology to Overweight; Adding on Any Pullbacks

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Cadence Design Systems delivered strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, showcasing robust financial results across all business segments and geographies.</li><li>The company reported total revenue of $1.339 billion, surpassing expectations, with a GAAP operating margin of 31.8% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 47.6%.</li><li>Additionally, the quarter reflected a GAAP EPS of $1.05 and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.93.</li></ul>

Cadence Design Systems delivered strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, showcasing robust financial results across all business segments and geographies.The company reported total revenue of $1.339 billion, surpassing expectations, with a GAAP operating margin of 31.8% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 47.6%.Additionally, the quarter reflected a GAAP EPS of $1.05 and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.93.

Cadence Design Systems Rides AI Wave: Why 2026 Could Be Its Biggest Year Yet!

<ul><li>Cadence Design Systems has turned heads with a definitive agreement to acquire Hexagon AB’s Design & Engineering unit—including the storied MSC Software—for €2.7 billion, paid 70% in cash and 30% in CDNS stock, with closing targeted for Q1’26.</li><li>The incoming business generated ~$280 million of 2024 revenue, brings ~1,100 employees, and serves blue-chip aerospace and auto names such as Volkswagen Group, BMW, Toyota, Lockheed Martin, BAE, and Boeing.</li><li>Strategically, the deal extends Cadence’s “Intelligent System Design” vision beyond chips and boards into the full palette of multiphysics—structures, motion, fluids, and electromagnetics—precisely where AI-era systems are converging.</li></ul>

Cadence Design Systems has turned heads with a definitive agreement to acquire Hexagon AB’s Design & Engineering unit—including the storied MSC Software—for €2.7 billion, paid 70% in cash and 30% in CDNS stock, with closing targeted for Q1’26.The incoming business generated ~$280 million of 2024 revenue, brings ~1,100 employees, and serves blue-chip aerospace and auto names such as Volkswagen Group, BMW, Toyota, Lockheed Martin, BAE, and Boeing.Strategically, the deal extends Cadence’s “Intelligent System Design” vision beyond chips and boards into the full palette of multiphysics—structures, motion, fluids, and electromagnetics—precisely where AI-era systems are converging.

Cadence Strikes Big: What The €2.7 Billion Hexagon Acquisition Means For The Future Of System Design!

United States

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. provides software technology, design and consulting services and technology.  The Company licenses its electronic design automation software technology and provides a variety of professional services.  Cadence's design realization solutions are used to design and develop complex chips and electronic systems, including semiconductors.

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Cadence Design Sys (CDNS US)

ARM Holdings (ARM US): Lock up Expiry on 12 March

SoftBank will likely monetise its ARM stake using the Alibaba playbook. This playbook uses prepaid forward contracts to raise capital with eventual...

Arun George

Synopsys Q2 FY26. Beat, Raise, Crash & Hello There Elliott

On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott, including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board...

William Keating

Upgrading Technology to Overweight; Adding on Any Pullbacks

Upgrading Technology $XLK to Overweight; Adding on Pullbacks. $NVDA $MU $CRWD $CDNS $CRML $UAMY $MP $LAC $SLB $BKR $HAL $ANDE $REX $GPRE $ALTO

Vermilion Research

Cadence Design Systems Rides AI Wave: Why 2026 Could Be Its Biggest Year Yet!

Cadence Design Systems delivered strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, showcasing robust financial results across all business segments...

Baptista Research

Cadence Strikes Big: What The €2.7 Billion Hexagon Acquisition Means For The Future Of System Design!

Cadence Design Systems has turned heads with a definitive agreement to acquire Hexagon AB’s Design & Engineering unit—including the storied...

Baptista Research

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