Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SNPS &amp; CDNS currently trade at the same levels they were at three years and two years ago respectively. </li>
<li>Both companies were namechecked twice by Jensen Huang last week as example of companies whose products are needed now more than ever. NVIDIA recently invested $2 billion in SNPS</li>
<li>The WSJ is now reporting that Elliott has taken a multi-billion dollar stake in SNPS. We all know what that means!</li>
</ul>


SNPS &amp; CDNS currently trade at the same levels they were at three years and two years ago respectively. 
Both companies were namechecked twice by Jensen Huang last week as example of companies whose products are needed now more than ever. NVIDIA recently invested $2 billion in SNPS
The WSJ is now reporting that Elliott has taken a multi-billion dollar stake in SNPS. We all know what that means!


SNPS, CDNS. Babies Out With SaaSpocalypse Bathwater Or Fair Game?

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Greece government is running out of time and money. 320 billion euros is the size of their&nbsp;debt mountain. Money enough to carry out 15 Apollo moon landings!It owes 6.74 B euros in June (IMF and short-term bills), 5.95 B euros in July (IMF, ECB and short-term bills) and 4.38 B euros in August (IMF, ECB and short-term bills).They may default on their loans and reach the much dreaded&nbsp;<a href="http://lexicon.ft.com/Term?term=Grexit" target="_blank">Grexit</a>&nbsp;from Euro. Unless they find saviours and implement serious reforms&nbsp;quickly, the&nbsp;Greeks&nbsp;will come back to drachma, face inflation, unemployment and an abysmal fall in their GDP.While most industries are swimming against the tide to survive, the tourism industry is a proud exception. Greece is witnessing a summer flooded&nbsp;with tourists. Flights&nbsp;are full, beaches are bustling and hotels are&nbsp;full capacity. Will the inevitable debt storm&nbsp;end the vacation for the tourism industry? Let us deep dive.

The Greece government is running out of time and money. 320 billion euros is the size of their&nbsp;debt mountain. Money enough to carry out 15 Apollo moon landings!It owes 6.74 B euros in June (IMF and short-term bills), 5.95 B euros in July (IMF, ECB and short-term bills) and 4.38 B euros in August (IMF, ECB and short-term bills).They may default on their loans and reach the much dreaded&nbsp;Grexit&nbsp;from Euro. Unless they find saviours and implement serious reforms&nbsp;quickly, the&nbsp;Greeks&nbsp;will come back to drachma, face inflation, unemployment and an abysmal fall in their GDP.While most industries are swimming against the tide to survive, the tourism industry is a proud exception. Greece is witnessing a summer flooded&nbsp;with tourists. Flights&nbsp;are full, beaches are bustling and hotels are&nbsp;full capacity. Will the inevitable debt storm&nbsp;end the vacation for the tourism industry? Let us deep dive.

Greece's Travel & Tourism industry shines amidst crisis

The shared economy companies&nbsp;are threatened by laws and regulation. But then, which <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation" target="_blank">disruptive</a> businesses are not? Uber and Airbnb are likely to be darlings of Wall Street if they decide to go public. But will they live up to the hype? Possibly in the long run, some things could go downhill. But with access to capital, low debts and high reach, these companies are likely to cover their tracks and stay on top in the near future. But skeptics would compare these possible high profile IPOs to <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/joanlappin/2013/11/11/two-years-after-its-busted-ipo-groupon-still-cant-turn-a-profit/" target="_blank">Groupon</a> and <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/102020026" target="_blank">Alibaba</a> which saw decline in shares after going public. Time will tell.

The shared economy companies&nbsp;are threatened by laws and regulation. But then, which disruptive businesses are not? Uber and Airbnb are likely to be darlings of Wall Street if they decide to go public. But will they live up to the hype? Possibly in the long run, some things could go downhill. But with access to capital, low debts and high reach, these companies are likely to cover their tracks and stay on top in the near future. But skeptics would compare these possible high profile IPOs to Groupon and Alibaba which saw decline in shares after going public. Time will tell.

Will the 'shared economy' pioneers be the next Twitter or Facebook?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> in March, plus a bunch of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$4.9bn. There are 2 stocks with over half a yard to trade.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lam-research-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1116:1" rel="noopener">Lam Research</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) in March, plus a bunch of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$4.9bn. There are 2 stocks with over half a yard to trade.
The largest flows will be in Micron Technology, NVIDIA, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Applied Materials, TSMC, ASML Holding, Broadcom and ARM Holdings.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: 2 Changes & US$4.9bn Trade

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Nvidia takes a $5B stake in Intel and will co-develop custom x86 CPUs for data centers and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs.</li>
<li>The phrasing of “fusion of two world-class platforms” signals ambitions beyond just product collaboration. </li>
<li>Intel shares surged +30% on the news, while AMD and Arm slumped; toolmakers like ASML and Synopsys rallied on expectations of fresh CapEx.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia takes a $5B stake in Intel and will co-develop custom x86 CPUs for data centers and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs.
The phrasing of “fusion of two world-class platforms” signals ambitions beyond just product collaboration. 
Intel shares surged +30% on the news, while AMD and Arm slumped; toolmakers like ASML and Synopsys rallied on expectations of fresh CapEx.


What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

United States

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. provides software technology, design and consulting services and technology.  The Company licenses its electronic design automation software technology and provides a variety of professional services.  Cadence's design realization solutions are used to design and develop complex chips and electronic systems, including semiconductors.

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Cadence Design Sys (CDNS US)

SNPS, CDNS. Babies Out With SaaSpocalypse Bathwater Or Fair Game?

Following on from NVIDIA's $2 billion investment in SNPS in December 2025, the WSJ is now reporting that Elliott has taken a multi-billion dollar...

William Keating

Greece's Travel & Tourism industry shines amidst crisis

The Greece government is running out of time and money. 320 billion euros is the size of their debt mountain. Money enough to carry out 15 Apollo...

Ishita Jain

Will the 'shared economy' pioneers be the next Twitter or Facebook?

The shared economy companies are threatened by laws and regulation. But then, which disruptive businesses are not? Uber and Airbnb are likely to be...

Ishita Jain

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: 2 Changes & US$4.9bn Trade

ARM Holdings and Astera Labs replace Universal Display and Qorvo in March. Plenty of float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way...

Brian Freitas

What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...

Mint Finance

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Market Cap (USDm)

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SNPS, CDNS. Babies Out With SaaSpocalypse Bathwater Or Fair Game?

Following on from NVIDIA's $2 billion investment in SNPS in December 2025, the WSJ is now reporting that Elliott has taken a multi-billion dollar...

William Keating

Greece's Travel & Tourism industry shines amidst crisis

The Greece government is running out of time and money. 320 billion euros is the size of their debt mountain. Money enough to carry out 15 Apollo...

Ishita Jain

Will the 'shared economy' pioneers be the next Twitter or Facebook?

The shared economy companies are threatened by laws and regulation. But then, which disruptive businesses are not? Uber and Airbnb are likely to be...

Ishita Jain

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: 2 Changes & US$4.9bn Trade

ARM Holdings and Astera Labs replace Universal Display and Qorvo in March. Plenty of float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way...

Brian Freitas

What Is the Real Prize in Nvidia’s $5B Intel Bet?

​Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...

Mint Finance

Nvidia's $5B stake in Intel signals a partnership to develop custom x86 CPUs for data centres and RTX-integrated SoCs for PCs; Intel shares...