Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Cerebras Systems / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cerebras Systems, founder-led AI infrastructure decacorn that designs and manufactures AI compute platform, has once again filed their S-1 to go public on the Nasdaq.</li>
<li>The AI chipmaker will likely begin trading sometime in May and will be one of the most anticipated IPOs in recent memory given its focus on “red-hot” AI inference market.</li>
<li>Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS are the lead bankers on the IPO. In February, Cerebras closed a $1B Series H financing at a ~$23B post-money valuation, according to Pitchbook.</li>
</ul>


Cerebras Systems, founder-led AI infrastructure decacorn that designs and manufactures AI compute platform, has once again filed their S-1 to go public on the Nasdaq.
The AI chipmaker will likely begin trading sometime in May and will be one of the most anticipated IPOs in recent memory given its focus on “red-hot” AI inference market.
Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS are the lead bankers on the IPO. In February, Cerebras closed a $1B Series H financing at a ~$23B post-money valuation, according to Pitchbook.


Cerebras IPO Valuation Update: OpenAI Deal Powers AI Decacorn Toward ~$2.5B Revenue in 2027.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

MetaX Integrated Circuits / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.</li>
<li>Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.
Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the outflows in 1Q2026 were US$1,441 million and holdings were US$379 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, ZHEJIANG CENTURY HUATONG, Luxshare Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the outflows in 1Q2026 were US$1,441 million and holdings were US$379 billion.
We highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, ZHEJIANG CENTURY HUATONG, Luxshare Precision.


Northbound Flows (1Q2026): CATL, CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, TIANNENG BATTERY, Biwin Storage, TRANSSION, CSI SOLAR, CAMBRICON, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, TIANNENG BATTERY, Biwin Storage, TRANSSION, CSI SOLAR, CAMBRICON, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Mar): Xinjiang Daqo, TIANNENG BATTERY, Biwin Storage, TRANSSION

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ALIBABA, TENCENT, PDD, JIANGSU EASTERN SHENGHONG, TRINA SOLAR, GDS, China Life, PING AN INSURANCE.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ALIBABA, TENCENT, PDD, JIANGSU EASTERN SHENGHONG, TRINA SOLAR, GDS, China Life, PING AN INSURANCE.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Feb): ALIBABA, TENCENT, PDD

China

Cambricon Technologies Corporation Limited develops and distributes software products. The Company produces terminal intelligent processors, cloud intelligent chips, accelerator cards, intelligent computing cluster systems, and other products. Cambricon Technologies also produces computer peripheral products.

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Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH)

Cerebras IPO Valuation Update: OpenAI Deal Powers AI Decacorn Toward ~$2.5B Revenue in 2027.

Cerebras Systems has once again filed their S-1 to go public. Given their $20B contract with OpenAI, hyper-growth profile and solid balance sheet,...

Andrei Zakharov

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

There could be 4 changes for the STAR50 and 10 for the STAR100 in June. Fast Entry inclusions depend on the index committee. ETF redemptions...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (1Q2026): CATL, CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2026 and highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Mar): Xinjiang Daqo, TIANNENG BATTERY, Biwin Storage, TRANSSION

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Mar 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xinjiang Daqo, TIANNENG BATTERY, Biwin Storage, TRANSSION, CSI SOLAR,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Feb): ALIBABA, TENCENT, PDD

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Feb 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ALIBABA (9988 HK), TENCENT (700 HK), PDD Holdings (PDD US).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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