Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mac-copper-limited-6dcb19d0-2c56-496c-817a-5d64e48b3c5d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45237:1" rel="noopener">MAC Copper (MAC AU)</a>and  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15154:1" rel="noopener">Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP)</a> possibly in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Offers for MAC Copper (MAC AU)and  SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP). Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP) possibly in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news took place on: HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)/Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP), and Amara Holdings (AMA SP). 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: MAC Copper, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Taiyo, HKBN, Welcia/Tsuruha, Amara

<ul>
<li>I tally  46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Just one new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Bastion's off-market Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xanadu-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1270:1" rel="noopener">Xanadu Mines (XAM AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reject-shop-ltd-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:272:1" rel="noopener">Reject Shop (TRS AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jamco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14741:1" rel="noopener">Jamco Corp (7408 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally  46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Just one new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Bastion's off-market Offer for Xanadu Mines (XAM AU).
Key updates/news took place on: Reject Shop (TRS AU),ESR Group (1821 HK), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP),Jamco Corp (7408 JP), and Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)/Welcia Holdings (3141 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Xanadu Mines, Reject Shop, ESR Group, Shibaura Elect., Jamco, Tsuruha/Welcia

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 16th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB, BOC, CMB, China Shenhua Energy, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Cosco Shipping.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 16th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB, BOC, CMB, China Shenhua Energy, CNOOC, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, Cosco Shipping.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 16th): Biggest Weekly Outflows in a Year

<ul>
<li>Glass Lewis has now joined ISS in recommending holders vote against the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a> merger, presumably as it relates to the ratio.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, ASIC AND Cosette have effectively signed off on the Scheme Booklet's veracity. That should be assuring to investors. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>'s Scheme comfortable got up - despite a last minute hiccup - and poor governance - to adjourn the meeting.</li>
</ul>


Glass Lewis has now joined ISS in recommending holders vote against the Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)/Welcia Holdings (3141 JP) merger, presumably as it relates to the ratio.

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), ASIC AND Cosette have effectively signed off on the Scheme Booklet's veracity. That should be assuring to investors. 

Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)'s Scheme comfortable got up - despite a last minute hiccup - and poor governance - to adjourn the meeting.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tsuruha/Welcia Merger, Mayne Pharma, Canvst, Insignia Financial

Hong Kong

Canvest Environment Protection Group Company Limited focuses on the development, management, and operation of waste-to-energy plants. The Company's plants are located in China.

Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)

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Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

For the month of May, 13 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$27bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: MAC Copper, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Taiyo, HKBN, Welcia/Tsuruha, Amara

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Xanadu Mines, Reject Shop, ESR Group, Shibaura Elect., Jamco, Tsuruha/Welcia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 16th): Biggest Weekly Outflows in a Year

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CCB, BOC, CMB, China Shenhua Energy, CNOOC, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tsuruha/Welcia Merger, Mayne Pharma, Canvst, Insignia Financial

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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