Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexus Select Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. 
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Nexus Select Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Forecasting Robust Growth

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<figure>
 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-06/share%20buyback_1.PNG' alt='Share Buybacks' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>Share Buybacks</div>
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FOR the 5 trading sessions that spanned Jun 17 to 23, the Straits Times Index (STI) declined 0.2 per cent, with the FTSE China A50 Index gaining 2.8 per cent, the Hang Seng Index adding 2.5 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI falling 2.7 per cent. 

Overall, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the 5 sessions with S$116 million of net inflow, following S$166 million of net outflow for the preceding 5 sessions. DBS, Singtel, CapitaLand Investment, Digital Core Reit and Hongkong Land led the net institutional inflows for the 5 sessions through to Jun 23.

 

Share buybacks

There were 27 primary-listed stocks conducting share buybacks over the 5 sessions ended Jun 23, with a total consideration of S$64.6 million, approximately half the previous week’s consideration tally. Wilmar International and Keppel Corporation again led the consideration tally, buying back shares at average prices of S$4.02, and S$6.59 respectively.

 

Director and substantial shareholder transactions

The 5 trading sessions saw 70 changes to director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for 35 primary-listed stocks. This included 15 company director acquisitions with 3 disposals filed, while substantial shareholders filed 11 acquisitions and 3 disposals.

 United Hampshire US Reit

On Jun 20 and 22, United Hampshire US Reit Management non-independent non-executive director David Tuvia Goss acquired 500,000 units of United Hampshire US Reit (UHReit) at an average price of 60.9 US cents per unit. With a consideration of US$304,650 this took his direct interest in UHReit to 0.09 per cent. 
UHReit is the first US grocery-anchored shopping centre and self-storage Reit to list in Singapore, and back in May reported Q1 2022 (ended Mar 31) distributable income of US$8.1 million, 7.9 per cent higher than Q1 2021.

Goss is the managing director of UOB Global Capital since September 1998. Prior to co-founding UOB Global Capital, he was president and CEO of AIG Asset Management Services in New York from March 1995, with global responsibility for AIG’s third-party asset management activities. UHReit completed its inaugural acquisitions of Colonial Square on Nov 12, 2021 and Penrose Plaza on Nov 24, 2021, with both acquisitions contributing positively to Q1 2022 distributable income.

 

Oiltek International

On Jun 20, Koh Brothers Eco Engineering acquired 1 million shares of Oiltek International at 23.0 cents per share. The married deal increased non-executive director Koh Keng Siang’s total interest in the integrated process and renewable energy solutions provider from 67.44 per cent to 68.14 per cent. Koh has been a non-executive director of the subsidiaries, Oiltek Sdn Bhd and Oiltek Global Energy Sdn Bhd since February 2013. He is the managing director and group CEO of Koh Brothers Group, which is the ultimate controlling shareholder of Oiltek International through its shareholding interest in Koh Brothers Eco Engineering. 
Listed on Catalist, Oiltek International operates 3 key businesses – the edible &amp; non-edible oil refinery segment, renewable energy segment, and product sales and trading segment. Oiltek International’s revenue for FY21 (ended Dec 31) grew 15.0 per cent to RM100.63 million from FY20, mainly due to new projects secured in FY21 for the group’s edible &amp; non-edible oil refinery segment.

 

Hong Fok Corporation

On Jun 17, Hong Fok Corporation executive director and joint CEO Cheong Pin Chuan acquired 201,800 shares of the company, for a consideration of S$187,665 at 93.0 cents per share. This increased his total interest in the property developer from 20.64 per cent to 20.66 per cent. He is principally involved in the group’s overall operations and management with greater emphasis in Hong Kong and has over 50 years of experience in property development at both management and board levels in Singapore and Hong Kong.

 

PropNex

Between Jun 16 and 17, PropNex executive director Kelvin Fong Keng Seong acquired 101,100 shares of the company, at an average price of S$1.63 per share. This took his deemed interest in PropNex from 8.71 per cent to 8.73 per cent. His preceding acquisitions were between May 24 and 26, with 300,000 shares acquired at S$1.70 per share. Fong has gradually increased his deemed interest in PropNex from 7.63 per cent in February 2019.

Fong oversees the group’s training development curriculum and also administers the development of IT strategies and technology innovations to improve the group’s competitive edge in the industry. For its Q1 FY22 (ended Mar 31), PropNex reported that revenue grew 9.5 per cent year on year to S$241.6 million, with net profit declining 8.1 per cent year on year to S$14.9 million.

The company, which is Singapore’s largest listed real estate agency noted that its Q1 FY22 was impacted by the government’s new cooling measures, growing uncertainties arising from the Russian-Ukraine war, concerns over rising inflation and interest rates dampening sentiment, while limited new launches and the seasonal lull reined in sales volumes.

Looking forward, PropNex noted in May that it expects the private housing market to remain fairly resilient this year and prices could grow by 3 per cent to 5 per cent in 2022, as reflected in the 0.7 per cent price increase in Q1 2022 and higher new launch prices expected in subsequent quarters. The company also highlighted that it is well on its way to attaining its goal of having 12,000 salespersons by end 2022. It has already achieved a growth of 26.4 per cent in the number of salespersons from 8,918 as at Jan 1, 2021 to 11,268 as at Apr 11, 2022.

 Singapore Shipping Corporation

Between Jun 16 and 21, Singapore Shipping Corporation executive chairman Ow Chio Kiat acquired 225,400 shares at an average price of 28.4 cents per share. With a consideration of S$63,948, this increased his total stake in the company from 41.92 per cent to 41.97 per cent. With a career spanning 60 years, Ow also serves as the executive chairman of Stamford Land Corporation. Singapore Shipping Corporation is a spin-off from Stamford Land Corporation (formerly known as Hai Sun Hup Group) when the latter de-merged its shipping and logistics businesses in 2000 to concentrate on its hotel and property businesses. 
On May 26, Singapore Shipping Corporation reported that its revenue for FY22 (ended Mar 31) increased 8.6 per cent from FY21, with attributable profit down 4.3 per cent from FY21.

 

Centurion Corporation

Between Jun 17 and 23, Centurion Corporation : OU8 0% executive director and joint chairman David Loh Kim Kang acquired 200,000 shares of the purpose-built accommodation developer and manager for a consideration of S$70,000. At 35.0 cents per share, this took his total interest from 55.40 per cent to 55.43 per cent. His preceding acquisitions were between May 20 and 26, with 1,860,400 shares also acquired at 35.0 cents per share.

 Uni-Asia Group

On Jun 23, Uni-Asia Group executive chairman Michio Tanamoto acquired 50,000 shares at S$1.00 per share. This increased his total interest in the company from 3.44 per cent to 3.50 per cent. This closely followed his acquisition of 150,000 shares at S$1.04 per share on Jun 13 and 50,000 shares at S$S$1.09 per share on Jun 9. Tanamoto was appointed the executive chairman of Uni-Asia Group in April 2020.

 Sasseur Reit

On Jun 17, Sasseur Asset Management CEO Cecilia Tan Hong Lye acquired 22,000 units of Sasseur Reit at an average price of 73.8 cents per unit. This increased her direct interest in the first outlet mall Reit to be listed in Asia to 40,000 units. Tan has been the CEO of the manager of Sasseur Reit since Aug 1, 2021. She has more than 20 years of professional career experience spanning across a wide spectrum of real estate expertise in real estate investment banking, real estate direct investment, Reit management, real estate fund management and property development.

Prior to joining Sasseur Asset Management, she was the senior strategic adviser to Vito Xu, the chairman of Sasseur Group from July 2019 to June 2021.

Back on May 12, Sasseur Reit reported a record high Q1 (ended Mar 31) distributable income of S$24.7 million, which was up 4.7 per cent from Q1 2021.

 

Inside Insights is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/koh-brothers-group-ceo-koh-keng-siang-adds-to-his-oiltek-stake"> read </a>the original version.
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    Share Buybacks


FOR the 5 trading sessions that spanned Jun 17 to 23, the Straits Times Index (STI) declined 0.2 per cent, with the FTSE China A50 Index gaining 2.8 per cent, the Hang Seng Index adding 2.5 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI falling 2.7 per cent. 

Overall, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the 5 sessions with S$116 million of net inflow, following S$166 million of net outflow for the preceding 5 sessions. DBS, Singtel, CapitaLand Investment, Digital Core Reit and Hongkong Land led the net institutional inflows for the 5 sessions through to Jun 23.

 

Share buybacks

There were 27 primary-listed stocks conducting share buybacks over the 5 sessions ended Jun 23, with a total consideration of S$64.6 million, approximately half the previous week’s consideration tally. Wilmar International and Keppel Corporation again led the consideration tally, buying back shares at average prices of S$4.02, and S$6.59 respectively.

 

Director and substantial shareholder transactions

The 5 trading sessions saw 70 changes to director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for 35 primary-listed stocks. This included 15 company director acquisitions with 3 disposals filed, while substantial shareholders filed 11 acquisitions and 3 disposals.

 United Hampshire US Reit

On Jun 20 and 22, United Hampshire US Reit Management non-independent non-executive director David Tuvia Goss acquired 500,000 units of United Hampshire US Reit (UHReit) at an average price of 60.9 US cents per unit. With a consideration of US$304,650 this took his direct interest in UHReit to 0.09 per cent. 
UHReit is the first US grocery-anchored shopping centre and self-storage Reit to list in Singapore, and back in May reported Q1 2022 (ended Mar 31) distributable income of US$8.1 million, 7.9 per cent higher than Q1 2021.

Goss is the managing director of UOB Global Capital since September 1998. Prior to co-founding UOB Global Capital, he was president and CEO of AIG Asset Management Services in New York from March 1995, with global responsibility for AIG’s third-party asset management activities. UHReit completed its inaugural acquisitions of Colonial Square on Nov 12, 2021 and Penrose Plaza on Nov 24, 2021, with both acquisitions contributing positively to Q1 2022 distributable income.

 

Oiltek International

On Jun 20, Koh Brothers Eco Engineering acquired 1 million shares of Oiltek International at 23.0 cents per share. The married deal increased non-executive director Koh Keng Siang’s total interest in the integrated process and renewable energy solutions provider from 67.44 per cent to 68.14 per cent. Koh has been a non-executive director of the subsidiaries, Oiltek Sdn Bhd and Oiltek Global Energy Sdn Bhd since February 2013. He is the managing director and group CEO of Koh Brothers Group, which is the ultimate controlling shareholder of Oiltek International through its shareholding interest in Koh Brothers Eco Engineering. 
Listed on Catalist, Oiltek International operates 3 key businesses – the edible &amp; non-edible oil refinery segment, renewable energy segment, and product sales and trading segment. Oiltek International’s revenue for FY21 (ended Dec 31) grew 15.0 per cent to RM100.63 million from FY20, mainly due to new projects secured in FY21 for the group’s edible &amp; non-edible oil refinery segment.

 

Hong Fok Corporation

On Jun 17, Hong Fok Corporation executive director and joint CEO Cheong Pin Chuan acquired 201,800 shares of the company, for a consideration of S$187,665 at 93.0 cents per share. This increased his total interest in the property developer from 20.64 per cent to 20.66 per cent. He is principally involved in the group’s overall operations and management with greater emphasis in Hong Kong and has over 50 years of experience in property development at both management and board levels in Singapore and Hong Kong.

 

PropNex

Between Jun 16 and 17, PropNex executive director Kelvin Fong Keng Seong acquired 101,100 shares of the company, at an average price of S$1.63 per share. This took his deemed interest in PropNex from 8.71 per cent to 8.73 per cent. His preceding acquisitions were between May 24 and 26, with 300,000 shares acquired at S$1.70 per share. Fong has gradually increased his deemed interest in PropNex from 7.63 per cent in February 2019.

Fong oversees the group’s training development curriculum and also administers the development of IT strategies and technology innovations to improve the group’s competitive edge in the industry. For its Q1 FY22 (ended Mar 31), PropNex reported that revenue grew 9.5 per cent year on year to S$241.6 million, with net profit declining 8.1 per cent year on year to S$14.9 million.

The company, which is Singapore’s largest listed real estate agency noted that its Q1 FY22 was impacted by the government’s new cooling measures, growing uncertainties arising from the Russian-Ukraine war, concerns over rising inflation and interest rates dampening sentiment, while limited new launches and the seasonal lull reined in sales volumes.

Looking forward, PropNex noted in May that it expects the private housing market to remain fairly resilient this year and prices could grow by 3 per cent to 5 per cent in 2022, as reflected in the 0.7 per cent price increase in Q1 2022 and higher new launch prices expected in subsequent quarters. The company also highlighted that it is well on its way to attaining its goal of having 12,000 salespersons by end 2022. It has already achieved a growth of 26.4 per cent in the number of salespersons from 8,918 as at Jan 1, 2021 to 11,268 as at Apr 11, 2022.

 Singapore Shipping Corporation

Between Jun 16 and 21, Singapore Shipping Corporation executive chairman Ow Chio Kiat acquired 225,400 shares at an average price of 28.4 cents per share. With a consideration of S$63,948, this increased his total stake in the company from 41.92 per cent to 41.97 per cent. With a career spanning 60 years, Ow also serves as the executive chairman of Stamford Land Corporation. Singapore Shipping Corporation is a spin-off from Stamford Land Corporation (formerly known as Hai Sun Hup Group) when the latter de-merged its shipping and logistics businesses in 2000 to concentrate on its hotel and property businesses. 
On May 26, Singapore Shipping Corporation reported that its revenue for FY22 (ended Mar 31) increased 8.6 per cent from FY21, with attributable profit down 4.3 per cent from FY21.

 

Centurion Corporation

Between Jun 17 and 23, Centurion Corporation : OU8 0% executive director and joint chairman David Loh Kim Kang acquired 200,000 shares of the purpose-built accommodation developer and manager for a consideration of S$70,000. At 35.0 cents per share, this took his total interest from 55.40 per cent to 55.43 per cent. His preceding acquisitions were between May 20 and 26, with 1,860,400 shares also acquired at 35.0 cents per share.

 Uni-Asia Group

On Jun 23, Uni-Asia Group executive chairman Michio Tanamoto acquired 50,000 shares at S$1.00 per share. This increased his total interest in the company from 3.44 per cent to 3.50 per cent. This closely followed his acquisition of 150,000 shares at S$1.04 per share on Jun 13 and 50,000 shares at S$S$1.09 per share on Jun 9. Tanamoto was appointed the executive chairman of Uni-Asia Group in April 2020.

 Sasseur Reit

On Jun 17, Sasseur Asset Management CEO Cecilia Tan Hong Lye acquired 22,000 units of Sasseur Reit at an average price of 73.8 cents per unit. This increased her direct interest in the first outlet mall Reit to be listed in Asia to 40,000 units. Tan has been the CEO of the manager of Sasseur Reit since Aug 1, 2021. She has more than 20 years of professional career experience spanning across a wide spectrum of real estate expertise in real estate investment banking, real estate direct investment, Reit management, real estate fund management and property development.

Prior to joining Sasseur Asset Management, she was the senior strategic adviser to Vito Xu, the chairman of Sasseur Group from July 2019 to June 2021.

Back on May 12, Sasseur Reit reported a record high Q1 (ended Mar 31) distributable income of S$24.7 million, which was up 4.7 per cent from Q1 2021.

 

Inside Insights is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



Koh Brothers group CEO, Koh Keng Siang adds to his Oiltek stake

<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd">
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<ul>
<li>Singapore’s 1Q22 GDP expanded 3.7% YoY, continuing the above trend momentum seen in 2021 with 7.6% growth. The GDP forecast for the full 2022 year is currently 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range. Manufacturing was again a key driver, expanding 7.1% YoY in 1Q22, extending 15.5% growth in 4Q21.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The STI has gained 3.4% in the 2022 YTD, with reinvested dividends boosting the total return to 5.5%. This has coincided with 30 constituents booking S$538 million of net institutional inflow. Singtel which reported FY22 results on Friday led the net institutional inflows of all SGX-listed stocks in the 2022 YTD, with S$666 million of net buying. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>As many as 11 of the STI stocks have generated double digit percentage gains in the 2022 YTD. These stocks are Sembcorp Industries (44%), Jardine C&amp;C (43%), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (40%), Keppel Corp (37%), City Dev (25%), CapitaLand Invest (19%), Singtel (16%), SATS (16%), ST Engineering (11%), UOB (11%) and Singapore Airlines (10%).</li>
</ul>
 

 

The STI has generated a 5.5% total return in the 2022 YTD, outpacing the FTSE Developed Index which has generated an 11.0% decline in total return in SGD terms. With average total returns of 4.6%, the trio of DBS Group Holdings, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and United Overseas Bank have had the most impact on the STI performance due to their leading, heavy weightage. United Overseas Bank has led the trio in the 2022 YTD, with double-digit total returns of 11.4%. Globally, banks have seen just one-third of the declines of the technology sector, with index performances significantly influenced by their technology stock weights.

Asides from United Overseas Bank, there have been another 10 STI constituents that have generated double-digit total returns over the first 21 weeks of 2022. These 10 stocks, represent as many as seven sectors and are tabled below.
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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-05/table%201.PNG' alt='10 STI constituents that have generated double-digit total returns over the first 21 weeks of 2022' />
 </figure>
 <div class='content-caption'>10 STI constituents that have generated double-digit total returns over the first 21 weeks of 2022</div>
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Globally, Energy and Utilities stocks have been the strongest sectors for the 2022 YTD, while Indonesia has been among the strongest emerging stock markets in the 2022 YTD. This has coincided with Sembcorp Industries and Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage leading the STI over the past 21 weeks. Meanwhile the regional re-openings, have also coincided with City Developments, CapitaLand Investment, SATS and Singapore Airlines posting double digit percentage total returns in the 2022 YTD. 

On Friday, Singapore Telecommunications reported its FY22 (ended 31 Mar) underlying net profit improved 11% YoY to S$1.92 billion, mainly lifted by Bharti Airtel’s resilient turnaround. Singapore Telecommunications is pursuing an ongoing strategic reset to develop new growth engines in ICT and digital services aiming transform NCS into an Asian B2B digital services champion, and NCS-originated revenue was up a record 9% in FY22 as NCS has continued to diversify its revenue streams, with Digital, Cloud, Platforms and Cyber revenue now contributing 49% of total operating revenue, up from 41% last year.

 

Singapore GDP forecast to grow 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range.

Last week, Singapore’s 1Q22 GDP was <a href="https://www.singstat.gov.sg/gdp?force_isolation=true">reported</a> to grow 3.7% YoY, continuing the above trend momentum of 2021 at 7.6% YoY growth.

<ul>
<li>The GDP forecast for 2022 is currently 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range. The manufacturing sector expanded 7.1% YoY in 1Q22, extending the 15.5% growth in 4Q21, while construction grew 2.1% YoY, easing from the 2.9% YoY growth in 4Q21. Services Producing industries expanded 4.2% YoY, similar to the 4Q21 pace of 4.4% YoY growth, and led by growth in the real estate, information and communications and professional services segments.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>For professional services the GDP report noted that “the rollout of the Vaccinated Travel Framework, alongside the easing of border restrictions in regional economies, is likely to boost the growth of the professional services sector as firms in segments like consultancy and legal can now better engage their overseas clients. Similarly, air travel and visitor arrivals are expected to pick up more quickly than earlier projected, thereby accelerating the recovery of aviation- and tourism-related sectors like air transport and arts, entertainment &amp; recreation”.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>On a cautionary note, the report also maintained the external environment continues to be a challenge with the Russia-Ukraine conflict, global supply disruptions, monetary policy tightening and continued impact of COVID, and thus the growth outlook for some outward-oriented sectors in the Singapore economy has weakened. For instance the report noted that “as China is a key market for petroleum and chemicals products from Singapore, its economic slowdown is likely to adversely affect the growth prospects of Singapore’s chemicals cluster and the fuel &amp; chemicals segment of the wholesale trade sector”.</li>
</ul>
 

Singapore’s April Industrial Production Up 6.2% YoY

The Singapore 1Q22 GDP report noted last week that “the electronics cluster is expected to expand more strongly than earlier projected, bolstered by robust global demand for semiconductors from the 5G and automotive markets, as well as cloud services and data centres”. Last week, Singapore’s April Industrial Production was <a href="https://www.edb.gov.sg/en/about-edb/media-releases-publications/monthly-manufacturing-performance.html">reported</a> to grow 6.2% YoY, with transport engineering and electronics growing 17.2% YoY and 10.4% respectively. This means Singapore’s industrial production has gained ~7% in the first four months of 2022, following the ~13% growth of 2021.  

 

The STI includes two Singapore-based manufacturers – Venture Corporation and ST Engineering.

<ul>
<li>
Venture Corporation has declined 2.0% in the 2022 YTD, after a similar 1.9% decline in total return 2021. On 29 April, Venture reported its growth momentum continued from 2021, with a 30% YoY increase in 1Q22 revenue to S$889M on robust demand from customers in the Lifestyle &amp; Wellness, Advanced Payment Systems, Advanced Industrial and Instrumentation, Test and Measurement technology domains. Additionally, the company highlighted that several iniatives from its R&amp;D Labs have enabled it to mitigate supply chain disruptions and expand its capabilities to fulfil more orders.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
ST Engineering has generated an 11.5% total return in the 2022 YTD after a 2.3% gain in 2021. On 13 May, ST Engineering highlighted it had secured S$2.4B in new contracts in 1Q22, with an overall robust order book of S$21.3B, incl. $1.6B from TransCore and S$5.8B expected to be delivered in the remaining months of 2022. Management also flagged alignment with Digitalisation with the Cloud, AI Analytics, Cyber business to triple to &gt;S$500m by 2026.</li>
</ul>
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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-05/table%202.PNG' alt='The full 30 STI stocks are tabled below.' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>The full 30 STI stocks are tabled below.</div>




Singapore’s 1Q22 GDP expanded 3.7% YoY, continuing the above trend momentum seen in 2021 with 7.6% growth. The GDP forecast for the full 2022 year is currently 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range. Manufacturing was again a key driver, expanding 7.1% YoY in 1Q22, extending 15.5% growth in 4Q21.


The STI has gained 3.4% in the 2022 YTD, with reinvested dividends boosting the total return to 5.5%. This has coincided with 30 constituents booking S$538 million of net institutional inflow. Singtel which reported FY22 results on Friday led the net institutional inflows of all SGX-listed stocks in the 2022 YTD, with S$666 million of net buying. 


As many as 11 of the STI stocks have generated double digit percentage gains in the 2022 YTD. These stocks are Sembcorp Industries (44%), Jardine C&amp;C (43%), Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (40%), Keppel Corp (37%), City Dev (25%), CapitaLand Invest (19%), Singtel (16%), SATS (16%), ST Engineering (11%), UOB (11%) and Singapore Airlines (10%).

 

 

The STI has generated a 5.5% total return in the 2022 YTD, outpacing the FTSE Developed Index which has generated an 11.0% decline in total return in SGD terms. With average total returns of 4.6%, the trio of DBS Group Holdings, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and United Overseas Bank have had the most impact on the STI performance due to their leading, heavy weightage. United Overseas Bank has led the trio in the 2022 YTD, with double-digit total returns of 11.4%. Globally, banks have seen just one-third of the declines of the technology sector, with index performances significantly influenced by their technology stock weights.

Asides from United Overseas Bank, there have been another 10 STI constituents that have generated double-digit total returns over the first 21 weeks of 2022. These 10 stocks, represent as many as seven sectors and are tabled below.



      
    
    10 STI constituents that have generated double-digit total returns over the first 21 weeks of 2022


Globally, Energy and Utilities stocks have been the strongest sectors for the 2022 YTD, while Indonesia has been among the strongest emerging stock markets in the 2022 YTD. This has coincided with Sembcorp Industries and Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage leading the STI over the past 21 weeks. Meanwhile the regional re-openings, have also coincided with City Developments, CapitaLand Investment, SATS and Singapore Airlines posting double digit percentage total returns in the 2022 YTD. 

On Friday, Singapore Telecommunications reported its FY22 (ended 31 Mar) underlying net profit improved 11% YoY to S$1.92 billion, mainly lifted by Bharti Airtel’s resilient turnaround. Singapore Telecommunications is pursuing an ongoing strategic reset to develop new growth engines in ICT and digital services aiming transform NCS into an Asian B2B digital services champion, and NCS-originated revenue was up a record 9% in FY22 as NCS has continued to diversify its revenue streams, with Digital, Cloud, Platforms and Cyber revenue now contributing 49% of total operating revenue, up from 41% last year.

 

Singapore GDP forecast to grow 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range.

Last week, Singapore’s 1Q22 GDP was reported to grow 3.7% YoY, continuing the above trend momentum of 2021 at 7.6% YoY growth.


The GDP forecast for 2022 is currently 3.0% to 5.0%, with growth likely to come in at the lower half of the forecast range. The manufacturing sector expanded 7.1% YoY in 1Q22, extending the 15.5% growth in 4Q21, while construction grew 2.1% YoY, easing from the 2.9% YoY growth in 4Q21. Services Producing industries expanded 4.2% YoY, similar to the 4Q21 pace of 4.4% YoY growth, and led by growth in the real estate, information and communications and professional services segments.


For professional services the GDP report noted that “the rollout of the Vaccinated Travel Framework, alongside the easing of border restrictions in regional economies, is likely to boost the growth of the professional services sector as firms in segments like consultancy and legal can now better engage their overseas clients. Similarly, air travel and visitor arrivals are expected to pick up more quickly than earlier projected, thereby accelerating the recovery of aviation- and tourism-related sectors like air transport and arts, entertainment &amp; recreation”.


On a cautionary note, the report also maintained the external environment continues to be a challenge with the Russia-Ukraine conflict, global supply disruptions, monetary policy tightening and continued impact of COVID, and thus the growth outlook for some outward-oriented sectors in the Singapore economy has weakened. For instance the report noted that “as China is a key market for petroleum and chemicals products from Singapore, its economic slowdown is likely to adversely affect the growth prospects of Singapore’s chemicals cluster and the fuel &amp; chemicals segment of the wholesale trade sector”.

 

Singapore’s April Industrial Production Up 6.2% YoY

The Singapore 1Q22 GDP report noted last week that “the electronics cluster is expected to expand more strongly than earlier projected, bolstered by robust global demand for semiconductors from the 5G and automotive markets, as well as cloud services and data centres”. Last week, Singapore’s April Industrial Production was reported to grow 6.2% YoY, with transport engineering and electronics growing 17.2% YoY and 10.4% respectively. This means Singapore’s industrial production has gained ~7% in the first four months of 2022, following the ~13% growth of 2021.  

 

The STI includes two Singapore-based manufacturers – Venture Corporation and ST Engineering.



Venture Corporation has declined 2.0% in the 2022 YTD, after a similar 1.9% decline in total return 2021. On 29 April, Venture reported its growth momentum continued from 2021, with a 30% YoY increase in 1Q22 revenue to S$889M on robust demand from customers in the Lifestyle &amp; Wellness, Advanced Payment Systems, Advanced Industrial and Instrumentation, Test and Measurement technology domains. Additionally, the company highlighted that several iniatives from its R&amp;D Labs have enabled it to mitigate supply chain disruptions and expand its capabilities to fulfil more orders.



ST Engineering has generated an 11.5% total return in the 2022 YTD after a 2.3% gain in 2021. On 13 May, ST Engineering highlighted it had secured S$2.4B in new contracts in 1Q22, with an overall robust order book of S$21.3B, incl. $1.6B from TransCore and S$5.8B expected to be delivered in the remaining months of 2022. Management also flagged alignment with Digitalisation with the Cloud, AI Analytics, Cyber business to triple to &gt;S$500m by 2026.




      
    
    The full 30 STI stocks are tabled below.

STI Maintains 5.5% YTD Total Return as Economy Grew 3.7% in 1Q22

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Three plus months ago I wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a>'s proposed restructuring Scheme in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/capitaland-capl-sp-restructuring-is-big-but-still-vague-lots-of-fine-print-to-read" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:49463" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP) Restructuring Is Big But Still Vague. Lots of Fine Print to Read.</a>The proposed construct was complicated, and difficult to value, and required reading a lot of fine print, only some of which we had available. Little did I know how much fine print there would be. Late Friday night Capitaland <a href="https://investor.capitaland.com/newsroom/20210716_203319_C31_W6Z3Q02B78EAPQP3.1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had received SGX-ST approval to list <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-investment-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33774:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland Investment Management (CAPINVEST SP)</a>. Saturday night, Capitaland released its <a href="https://investor.capitaland.com/misc/20210717_1143_SchemeDocument.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme Document</a>. It is 922 pages of fine print. There is an <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SCR21050093AmazonIntroDoc.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=675106" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Introductory Document</a> which is shorter. It is 744 pages. There is also a brief 8-page <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/17072021CapitaLand%20to%20seek%20Shareholders%20approval%20of%20proposed%20restructuring.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=675108" target="_blank" rel="noopener">press release</a> and an <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/CL_Despatch_Notices_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=675107" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Announcement of the Scheme Meeting</a>.The deal as announced at the time is the same now. We have more timing details. The restructuring involves the controlling holder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> (CLA Real Estate Holdings - ultimately that is Temasek) buying out the real estate development business of Capitaland in return for S$0.951/share of cash and 0.155* units/share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> where the parent's stake will fall. <div class="content-remarks">* the CICT distribution is actually 0.1546727 shares of CICT per share of Capitaland, but fractional entitlements will be disregarded so using 0.155 is probably fine</div>Investors who own CAPL, assuming that the 10 August EGM approves the deal, will get shares in Capitaland Investment ("CLI") which is a kind of SpinCo, the cash, and the CICT units. The Value of that consideration as per the Scheme Document is S$4.102/share with the idea that the CLI portion itself will have a per-share Value of 1.0x NAV which will be S$2.823/share. Importantly, that is a pro-forma NAV as per 31 December 2020. The Scheme Document itself contains an Independent Financial Advisor letter to the Independent Directors which comes to the conclusion that the Assessed Value of the Consideration was S$4.56-4.99/share, which was well above the S$4.102/share in the document, coming to the conclusion that it is "fair and reasonable". Given that the value of the 0.155 shares of is S$0.3248 per Capitaland share (though assessed value is slightly higher), and the cash is unchanging at S$0.951/share, that means the major difference between S$4.102/share and S$4.56-4.99/share is the idea that CLI is worth S$3.19-S$3.62/share rather than S$2.823/share (the difference here is the FY20 dividend).That's where the rubber hits the road. So we take a closer look below the fold.

Three plus months ago I wrote about Capitaland (CAPL SP)'s proposed restructuring Scheme in Capitaland (CAPL SP) Restructuring Is Big But Still Vague. Lots of Fine Print to Read.The proposed construct was complicated, and difficult to value, and required reading a lot of fine print, only some of which we had available. Little did I know how much fine print there would be. Late Friday night Capitaland announced it had received SGX-ST approval to list Capitaland Investment Management (CAPINVEST SP). Saturday night, Capitaland released its Scheme Document. It is 922 pages of fine print. There is an Introductory Document which is shorter. It is 744 pages. There is also a brief 8-page press release and an Announcement of the Scheme Meeting.The deal as announced at the time is the same now. We have more timing details. The restructuring involves the controlling holder of Capitaland (CAPL SP) (CLA Real Estate Holdings - ultimately that is Temasek) buying out the real estate development business of Capitaland in return for S$0.951/share of cash and 0.155* units/share of Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) where the parent's stake will fall. * the CICT distribution is actually 0.1546727 shares of CICT per share of Capitaland, but fractional entitlements will be disregarded so using 0.155 is probably fineInvestors who own CAPL, assuming that the 10 August EGM approves the deal, will get shares in Capitaland Investment ("CLI") which is a kind of SpinCo, the cash, and the CICT units. The Value of that consideration as per the Scheme Document is S$4.102/share with the idea that the CLI portion itself will have a per-share Value of 1.0x NAV which will be S$2.823/share. Importantly, that is a pro-forma NAV as per 31 December 2020. The Scheme Document itself contains an Independent Financial Advisor letter to the Independent Directors which comes to the conclusion that the Assessed Value of the Consideration was S$4.56-4.99/share, which was well above the S$4.102/share in the document, coming to the conclusion that it is "fair and reasonable". Given that the value of the 0.155 shares of is S$0.3248 per Capitaland share (though assessed value is slightly higher), and the cash is unchanging at S$0.951/share, that means the major difference between S$4.102/share and S$4.56-4.99/share is the idea that CLI is worth S$3.19-S$3.62/share rather than S$2.823/share (the difference here is the FY20 dividend).That's where the rubber hits the road. So we take a closer look below the fold. 

Capitaland Restructuring - Be Careful Not to Price In the NEXT Restructuring Too Soon

Singapore

CapitaLand Investment Limited is a leading global real asset manager with a strong Asia foothold. It manages funds across diversified real asset classes including retail, office, lodging, industrial, logistics, business parks, wellness, self-storage, data centers, private credit, and special opportunities. Headquartered in Singapore, the company was listed in 2021.

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CapitaLand Investment (CLI SP)

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