SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust.</li><li>US Fed Fund Rates outlook turned dovish, with expectations of 75bps cuts by 2026 due to weak consumer gauges.</li><li>Larger-cap S-REITs averaged 4.8% returns, outperforming smaller-cap counterparts, supported by institutional inflows and index weightings.</li></ul>

S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust.US Fed Fund Rates outlook turned dovish, with expectations of 75bps cuts by 2026 due to weak consumer gauges.Larger-cap S-REITs averaged 4.8% returns, outperforming smaller-cap counterparts, supported by institutional inflows and index weightings.

S-REITs That Bucked Recent Market Downturn

<ul><li>CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's net property income grew by 3.4% to S$1.2 billion in FY24, with DPU increasing 1.2%.</li><li>Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust's Q3 FY25 revenue was S$223.7 million, down 7.4% year-on-year due to overseas headwinds.</li><li>OUE REIT's FY24 revenue rose 3.7% to S$295.5 million, with a 10.7% positive rental reversion for office assets.</li></ul>

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's net property income grew by 3.4% to S$1.2 billion in FY24, with DPU increasing 1.2%.Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust's Q3 FY25 revenue was S$223.7 million, down 7.4% year-on-year due to overseas headwinds.OUE REIT's FY24 revenue rose 3.7% to S$295.5 million, with a 10.7% positive rental reversion for office assets.

REIT Watch - Diversified S-Reits offer portfolio resilience with stable 2024 operating performance

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market</li>
<li>3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations</li>
<li>The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle</li>
</ul>


We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market
3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations
The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle


LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul><li>Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar Hotel for $400M in a strategic move to shift focus and secure a profitable deal.</li><li>CapitaLand shifts Tan to commercial REIT and hires Yong to lead Malaysia Trust, showing active leadership changes within the company.</li><li>CapitaLand India Trust initiates $54M Hyderabad IT Park revamp, signaling a significant investment in the Indian real estate market.</li></ul>

Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar Hotel for $400M in a strategic move to shift focus and secure a profitable deal.CapitaLand shifts Tan to commercial REIT and hires Yong to lead Malaysia Trust, showing active leadership changes within the company.CapitaLand India Trust initiates $54M Hyderabad IT Park revamp, signaling a significant investment in the Indian real estate market.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> at the close of trading on 15 March.</li>
<li>Other global index trackers will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> at the close on 15 March.</li>
<li>There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) will need to sell Emperador (EMI SP) at the close of trading on 15 March.
Other global index trackers will need to sell Emperador (EMP PM) at the close on 15 March.
There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.


STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

Singapore

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust operates as a retail estate investment trust. The Compnay invests in retail and office properties and integrated developments. Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust serves clients in Asia Pacific.

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

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Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

S-REITs That Bucked Recent Market Downturn

S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust. US...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Diversified S-Reits offer portfolio resilience with stable 2024 operating performance

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust's net property income grew by 3.4% to S$1.2 billion in FY24, with DPU increasing 1.2%. Mapletree Pan Asia...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

We think Singapore REITs are well positioned for a re-rating, on the back of steep interest rate decline, accelerated M&As and recovery in the...

Jacob Cheng

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.

CapitaLand makes strategic moves in Asia real estate market, including sale of Kowloon project, leadership changes, and investment in Hyderabad IT...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

The STTF ETF will need to sell Singapore listed Emperador at the close on 15 March. Global passive portfolios will be selling Emperador in the...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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