Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Shareholder activism emerging at Warriedar due to dissatisfaction with accepted deal</li><li>Significant drop in BOSS stock price following disappointing quarterly report and guidance update for FY26</li><li>Challenges in achieving nameplate capacity, specifically related to volume under leach, leading to increased costs and uncertainty for the company's future performance</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Shareholder activism emerging at Warriedar due to dissatisfaction with accepted dealSignificant drop in BOSS stock price following disappointing quarterly report and guidance update for FY26Challenges in achieving nameplate capacity, specifically related to volume under leach, leading to increased costs and uncertainty for the company's future performanceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Horror Week for Boss, Greatland and Liontown

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Real interest rates moving lower together with massively increasing fiscal deficits is a plus for gold.</li>
<li>Gold miners are generally poor long-term investments, but their time is close.</li>
<li>Miners’ margins are improving as revenue increases while costs decrease.</li>
</ul>


Real interest rates moving lower together with massively increasing fiscal deficits is a plus for gold.
Gold miners are generally poor long-term investments, but their time is close.
Miners’ margins are improving as revenue increases while costs decrease.


2024 High Conviction Idea -Why the Time Is Right for Gold Miners

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> entered into a scheme at 0.7629 GMD shares per VAU share + A$0.475 cash per share.</li>
<li>Genesis has long been rumoured to be a suitor for Vault because a combination of the two would create the dominant player in Western Australia’s most valuable gold-mining regions.</li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) entered into a scheme at 0.7629 GMD shares per VAU share + A$0.475 cash per share.
Genesis has long been rumoured to be a suitor for Vault because a combination of the two would create the dominant player in Western Australia’s most valuable gold-mining regions.
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Walks as Genesis Emerges as the Winner

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Telstra, National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers, Capricorn Metals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Telstra, National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers, Capricorn Metals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 8th): BHP, Telstra, National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmerson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18705:1" rel="noopener">Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-african-resources-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23518:1" rel="noopener">Pan African Resources (PAF LN)</a>’s offer (0.1493 PAN CDI shares per ERM share) fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>Unusually, the IE’s valuation (A$0.087 to A$0.139) is well below the undisturbed price (A$0.33), apparently due to low liquidity and to the DCF valuation not factoring in all the reserves.</li>
<li>The key condition is ERM shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk as the substantial shareholders will be supportive (irrevocables or high premium to their price paid).</li>
</ul>


The Emmerson Resources (ERM AU) IE considers Pan African Resources (PAF LN)’s offer (0.1493 PAN CDI shares per ERM share) fair and reasonable.
Unusually, the IE’s valuation (A$0.087 to A$0.139) is well below the undisturbed price (A$0.33), apparently due to low liquidity and to the DCF valuation not factoring in all the reserves.
The key condition is ERM shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk as the substantial shareholders will be supportive (irrevocables or high premium to their price paid).


Emmerson Resources (ERM AU): Scheme Vote on 15 June

Australia

Capricorn Metals Ltd operates as an exploration and production company. The Company specializes in the gold exploration and production services. Capricorn Metals serves customers in Australia.

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Capricorn Metals (CMM AU)

Horror Week for Boss, Greatland and Liontown

World Art Resources faces shareholder activism, Boss experiences share movement after disappointing outlook, lower uranium concentration affects...

Money of Mine

2024 High Conviction Idea -Why the Time Is Right for Gold Miners

The time is now right for gold miners as the gold price is set to move to new all time highs and margins expand creating a perfect storm for...

Rikki Malik

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Walks as Genesis Emerges as the Winner

The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and the offer arising from a competitive bidding process. This is a done deal.

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 8th): BHP, Telstra, National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Telstra, National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Emmerson Resources (ERM AU): Scheme Vote on 15 June

This is a done deal as the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.0%/6.6%.

Arun George

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