Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> could be deleted as the lowest ranked current index constituents.</li>
<li>There are three other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold and a change in the free float could result in the stocks being deleted.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.</li>
</ul>



JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU) and Charter Hall (CHC AU) could be deleted as the lowest ranked current index constituents.
There are three other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold and a change in the free float could result in the stocks being deleted.
Short interest has been increasing on JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU), Charter Hall (CHC AU) and Lendlease Group (LLC AU) and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Deletes & Capping Increase Turnover

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO activity appears to be picking up across the region, with deal in Japan, Hong Kong, US and Indonesia being lined up.</li>
<li>Placements as well picked up pace, despite the ongoing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>'s mega deal set to suck liquidity out of the system for a while. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO activity appears to be picking up across the region, with deal in Japan, Hong Kong, US and Indonesia being lined up.
Placements as well picked up pace, despite the ongoing Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)'s mega deal set to suck liquidity out of the system for a while. 


ECM Weekly (12th Mar 2023) - Meituan, Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, JFW, Ventia, Doosan, DXN, DPC

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsales-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU)</a> aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at 28.2 days of three month ADV. </li>
<li>The use of proceeds will be to acquire 40% of Webmotors SA and strengthen its balance sheet. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU) aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at 28.2 days of three month ADV. 
The use of proceeds will be to acquire 40% of Webmotors SA and strengthen its balance sheet. 
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Carsales Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Following up on a Decade-Old Acquisition

Temple & Webster Group Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.</li>
<li>We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.</li>
</ul>


Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.
To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.
We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.


S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 9th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in QBE Insurance, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 9th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in QBE Insurance, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP, CSL.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): QBE Insurance, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP, CSL

Australia

CAR Group Limited operates as a digital marketplace for vehicles. The Company provides a diversified portfolio of brands to sell and buy cars. CAR Group serves customers worldwide.

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CAR Group (CAR AU)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Deletes & Capping Increase Turnover

There could be 2 index deletes in Sep. There are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion threshold. There are unlikely to be any adds. There will...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (12th Mar 2023) - Meituan, Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, JFW, Ventia, Doosan, DXN, DPC

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Carsales Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Following up on a Decade-Old Acquisition

Carsales.Com Ltd (CAR AU) aims to raise around US$330m (A$501m) via a renounceable entitlement offer. The deal is relatively large to digest at...

Ethan Aw

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): QBE Insurance, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP, CSL

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in QBE Insurance, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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