Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Six Australian stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.</li>
<li>Upcoming earnings announcements could add volatility and shape short-term trade outcomes.</li>
<li>Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.</li>
</ul>


Six Australian stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.
Upcoming earnings announcements could add volatility and shape short-term trade outcomes.
Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.


Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

<ul>
<li>Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group (CAR AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seek-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:676:1" rel="noopener">Seek (SEK AU)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>Highlights: Going long CAR Group and short Seek targets a 7% return.</li>
<li>Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>


Context: The CAR Group (CAR AU) vs. Seek (SEK AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
Highlights: Going long CAR Group and short Seek targets a 7% return.
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long CAR Group (CAR AU) Vs. Short Seek (SEK AU): Statistical Arbitrage Play with ~7% Target Return

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 28th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR, Macquarie.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 28th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR, Macquarie.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-asx-dec-24-few-index-changes-but-high-impact" target="_blank" rel="noopener">final expectations</a>.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations.
In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.


Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

Australia

CAR Group Limited operates as a digital marketplace for vehicles. The Company provides a diversified portfolio of brands to sell and buy cars. CAR Group serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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CAR Group (CAR AU)

Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

Pair trade opportunities arise across top ASX names such as CBA, NAB, Westpac, JB Hi-Fi and Xero as price ratios deviate.

Gaudenz Schneider

Long CAR Group (CAR AU) Vs. Short Seek (SEK AU): Statistical Arbitrage Play with ~7% Target Return

A fresh trade entry signal: after stabilizing between the two-Standard Deviation (open) and one-SD (close) bands, the price ratio has again crossed...

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

ASX 50 ADD CAR Group (CAR AU) and ASX 200 ADD Clarity Pharma (CU6 AU) are high-impact names with more than 5x ADV to buy.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

Pair trade opportunities arise across top ASX names such as CBA, NAB, Westpac, JB Hi-Fi and Xero as price ratios deviate.

Gaudenz Schneider

Long CAR Group (CAR AU) Vs. Short Seek (SEK AU): Statistical Arbitrage Play with ~7% Target Return

A fresh trade entry signal: after stabilizing between the two-Standard Deviation (open) and one-SD (close) bands, the price ratio has again crossed...

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

ASX 50 ADD CAR Group (CAR AU) and ASX 200 ADD Clarity Pharma (CU6 AU) are high-impact names with more than 5x ADV to buy.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (1 Dec)

​Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies twelve pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative...