Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>Carlisle is a market-leading manufacturer of highly engineered building envelope products, with a dominant position in the North American commercial roofing market.</li>
  <li>The company is strategically focused on higher-growth, higher-margin businesses, having recently divested non-core assets. This aligns with their 'Vision 2030' plan, which targets significant earnings per share growth.</li>
  <li>While facing near-term headwinds from a softer construction market and destocking, Carlisle's long-term outlook is supported by favorable trends in energy efficiency, re-roofing, and a strong track record of operational excellence through the Carlisle Operating System (COS).</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  Carlisle is a market-leading manufacturer of highly engineered building envelope products, with a dominant position in the North American commercial roofing market.
  The company is strategically focused on higher-growth, higher-margin businesses, having recently divested non-core assets. This aligns with their 'Vision 2030' plan, which targets significant earnings per share growth.
  While facing near-term headwinds from a softer construction market and destocking, Carlisle's long-term outlook is supported by favorable trends in energy efficiency, re-roofing, and a strong track record of operational excellence through the Carlisle Operating System (COS).
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.</li>
<li>Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


Index Committee's discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.
Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.

Dell Technologies (DELL US) is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&amp;P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.


S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies (DELL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/williams-sonoma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11383:1" rel="noopener">Williams Sonoma (WSM US)</a> is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-airlines-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1" rel="noopener">American Airlines Group (AAL US)</a> is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.</li>
</ul>



Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the 'Multiple Share Classes' criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.

Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations' inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.

American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.


S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/holcim-ltd-7f60ceaa-51af-4f85-ac5f-114595eb04f3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27916" rel="noopener">Holcim (HOLN SW)</a> spun off its construction materials and solutions business into a standalone company on Friday, June 20th.</li>
<li>The new company is called <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amrize-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45209" rel="noopener">Amrize (AMRZ US)</a>. </li>
<li>The first day of trading will be Monday, June 23, 2025.</li>
</ul>



Holcim (HOLN SW) spun off its construction materials and solutions business into a standalone company on Friday, June 20th.
The new company is called Amrize (AMRZ US). 
The first day of trading will be Monday, June 23, 2025.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Apollo Global Management  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>The rankings used for the December 2024 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (4th December 2024) opening prices. Announcement date will be 6 December after the close.</li>
<li>Inside we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review. </li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
The rankings used for the December 2024 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (4th December 2024) opening prices. Announcement date will be 6 December after the close.
Inside we take a final look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the rankings for the upcoming review. 


Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal - Final Predictions

United States

Carlisle Companies Incorporated manufactures and distributes construction materials, transportation products, and general industry products.  The Company manufactures a variety of products for the roofing, real estate, construction, trucking, food-service, aircraft manufacturing, lawn and garden, and other industries.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Carlisle Cos (CSL US)

Primer: Carlisle Cos (CSL US) - Sep 2025

Carlisle is a market-leading manufacturer of highly engineered building envelope products, with a dominant position in the North American...

αSK

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Weekly Update (AMRZ, LION, FTV)

The AMRZ spin-off aims to capitalize on the higher valuation multiples of US building supply companies compared to their European counterparts.

Richard Howe

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal - Final Predictions

The S&P500/400/600 rebal data "fixed" on 4 Dec open. The announcement will be made post-close 6 Dec. Applovin is up 900% in a year and is a top...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Primer: Carlisle Cos (CSL US) - Sep 2025

Carlisle is a market-leading manufacturer of highly engineered building envelope products, with a dominant position in the North American...

αSK

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

S&P ​Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dimitris Ioannidis

S&P 500 September Forecasts: Saved by the Dell?

​Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Weekly Update (AMRZ, LION, FTV)

The AMRZ spin-off aims to capitalize on the higher valuation multiples of US building supply companies compared to their European counterparts.

Richard Howe

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24 Rebal - Final Predictions

The S&P500/400/600 rebal data "fixed" on 4 Dec open. The announcement will be made post-close 6 Dec. Applovin is up 900% in a year and is a top...

Travis Lundy

S&P Index Committee's discretion reduces predictability of index changes. Identifying patterns and types of changes, narrows down the addition...

Dell Technologies is the biggest candidate for inclusion in the S&P 500 with forecasted demand of ~$7bn and ~4 days of volume. Uncertainty arises...