Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 13 adds, 2 deletes and 1 listing change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in September. There are capping and float changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 14.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$2.5bn. There are 12 stocks with over 3x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that will have same-way flows from other index trackers at the same time, and the impact will be amplified.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 adds, 2 deletes and 1 listing change for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in September. There are capping and float changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 14.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$2.5bn. There are 12 stocks with over 3x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
There are multiple stocks that will have same-way flows from other index trackers at the same time, and the impact will be amplified.


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: 13 Adds, 2 Deletes; US$2.5bn Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Taylor Collison

Taylor Collison

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Taylor Collison is a leading financial services firm, providing advice & wealth creation strategies to private & institutional investors and corporate clients throughout Australia. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Catalyst has had a positive start to FY25, as record-high gold prices provide the backdrop to a stable yet impressive performance at Plutonic UG Mine.</li><li>Through the organic development of three additional mines along the Plutonic Belt, the Company has mapped out plans to double gold production from 100 to 200koz per year while decreasing AISC from ~A$2,666/oz (FY24a) towards A$2,100 in FY27 (Ce).</li><li>If CYL executes this strategy it will position itself amongst the top gold producers within Western Australia. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Catalyst has had a positive start to FY25, as record-high gold prices provide the backdrop to a stable yet impressive performance at Plutonic UG Mine.Through the organic development of three additional mines along the Plutonic Belt, the Company has mapped out plans to double gold production from 100 to 200koz per year while decreasing AISC from ~A$2,666/oz (FY24a) towards A$2,100 in FY27 (Ce).If CYL executes this strategy it will position itself amongst the top gold producers within Western Australia. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Catalyst Metals (CYL) - Recent Performance Setting the Stage for Future Growth

<ul>
<li>There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF</a> will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the VanEck Gold Miners ETF will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.
Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.
The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Ramelius Resources, Brambles, Evolution Mining, Regis Resources.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Ramelius Resources, Brambles, Evolution Mining, Regis Resources.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 19th): Northern Star Resources, Ramelius Resources, Brambles

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Gold equities have seen a significant run up in price, with strong earnings being reported in the past few months.</li><li>Despite the increase in gold price, generalist investors have been slow to enter the gold market, causing some skepticism about the sustainability of the price above $3,000.</li><li>However, industry experts believe there is still room for growth in the gold market, with potential for more retail and institutional investors to enter the space and drive margins higher.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold equities have seen a significant run up in price, with strong earnings being reported in the past few months.Despite the increase in gold price, generalist investors have been slow to enter the gold market, causing some skepticism about the sustainability of the price above $3,000.However, industry experts believe there is still room for growth in the gold market, with potential for more retail and institutional investors to enter the space and drive margins higher.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold Miners That Actually Compound (Greg Orrell)

Australia

Catalyst Metals Ltd. operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company explores for and mines molybdenum. Catalyst Metals serves customers in Australia.

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Catalyst Metals (CYL AU)

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: 13 Adds, 2 Deletes; US$2.5bn Trade

There are 13 adds, 2 deletes, float and capping changes for the GDXJ. There are multiple stocks that have passive flows from the Fglobal, ASX and...

Brian Freitas

Catalyst Metals (CYL) - Recent Performance Setting the Stage for Future Growth

Catalyst has had a positive start to FY25, as record-high gold prices provide the backdrop to a stable yet impressive performance at Plutonic UG Mine.

Taylor Collison

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

The GDX ETF will change benchmarks at the close on 19 Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8%; round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. Adds...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 19th): Northern Star Resources, Ramelius Resources, Brambles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Ramelius Resources,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gold Miners That Actually Compound (Greg Orrell)

Gold miners are experiencing strong earnings and profit margins due to the rise in gold prices, but generalist investors are slow to enter the gold...

Money of Mine

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52-week Range

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