Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.</li>
<li>We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.</li>
</ul>


The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.
We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.
We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.


Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD2,069.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,447mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Delta Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 17th. The aggregated holding was USD2,069.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,447mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology, Nanya Technology, Delta Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD2,311.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,528mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, Kinsus Interconnect Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD2,311.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,528mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, Kinsus Interconnect Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 3rd): TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Formosa Plastics, Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, China Development Financial, China Steel, Compal Electronics, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Formosa Plastics, Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, China Development Financial, China Steel, Compal Electronics, MediaTek.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Jun): Formosa Plastics, Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, China Steel

Taiwan

Catcher Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures aluminum and magnesium die casting products which are used in notebook computers, cellular phones, and hard disk drive bases.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Catcher Technology (2474 TT)

Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

Japan is the latest major country to break out, and we are buyers. Japan continues to be considerably further along in the bottoming process...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 17th): TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Nan Ya Plastics, Unimicron Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 3rd): TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Jun): Formosa Plastics, Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, China Steel

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Formosa Plastics, Yang Ming Marine, TSMC, China Development...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)