Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng (489 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austindo-nusantara-jaya-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2208:1" rel="noopener">Austindo Nusantara Jaya (ANJT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shengjing-bank-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:96:1" rel="noopener">Shengjing Bank (2066 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-heavy-industries-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">HD Heavy (329180 KS)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-mipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">HD Mipo (010620 KS)</a>. .</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carenet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4001:1" rel="noopener">Carenet Inc (2150 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashimori-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13918:1" rel="noopener">Ashimori Industry (3526 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Dongfeng (489 HK), Austindo Nusantara Jaya (ANJT IJ), Shengjing Bank (2066 HK), and HD Heavy (329180 KS)/HD Mipo (010620 KS). .
Key updates/news took place on Santos Ltd (STO AU), Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), Carenet Inc (2150 JP), and Ashimori Industry (3526 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, Mayne Pharma, Shengjing Bank, Carenet, Austindo Nusantara, Ashimori

RPMGlobal Holdings Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rpmglobal-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16492:1" rel="noopener">RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU)</a>, a mining software technology provider, has entered into a trading halt ahead of a rumoured tilt from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caterpillar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:697:1" rel="noopener">Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)</a>.</li>
<li>No price has been made public; although local media are reporting an Offer Price of $5/share, a 32.6% premium to undisturbed. </li>
<li>Shares will be suspended until the 2nd September. Earlier this year, RPMGlobal transitioned to  a pure-play software company after offloading its advisory division.</li>
</ul>



RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU), a mining software technology provider, has entered into a trading halt ahead of a rumoured tilt from Caterpillar Inc (CAT US).
No price has been made public; although local media are reporting an Offer Price of $5/share, a 32.6% premium to undisturbed. 
Shares will be suspended until the 2nd September. Earlier this year, RPMGlobal transitioned to  a pure-play software company after offloading its advisory division.


RPMGlobal (RUL AU) In Caterpillar's Crosshairs

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs.</li><li>Most players expect the impact will materialize starting from 3Q should the tariffs be in place.</li><li>Based on the numbers provided, Komatsu (6301 JP, NR) seems to be taking a relatively large hit among the major names. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs.Most players expect the impact will materialize starting from 3Q should the tariffs be in place.Based on the numbers provided, Komatsu (6301 JP, NR) seems to be taking a relatively large hit among the major names. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Major global players’ forecast about tariff impact

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The US treasury and dollar markets have proven to be key participants in US trade negotiations.</li>
<li>In a battle of wills, Trump and Xi delay direct negotiations between the world's two largest economies.  Time is on China's side as consumer confidence plummets in US.</li>
<li>Regardless of the results of the trade negotiations, the co-dependent support dynamic for the US equity, dollar, and treasury markets is broken.</li>
</ul>


The US treasury and dollar markets have proven to be key participants in US trade negotiations.
In a battle of wills, Trump and Xi delay direct negotiations between the world's two largest economies.  Time is on China's side as consumer confidence plummets in US.
Regardless of the results of the trade negotiations, the co-dependent support dynamic for the US equity, dollar, and treasury markets is broken.


The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects.</li><li>Sales and revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year to $16.1 billion, primarily attributed to a shortfall in Construction Industries and Resource Industries, partially offset by growth in Energy & Transportation.</li><li>The company achieved an adjusted operating profit margin of 20%, in line with expectations, despite the revenue decrease.</li></ul>

Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects.Sales and revenues decreased by 4% year-over-year to $16.1 billion, primarily attributed to a shortfall in Construction Industries and Resource Industries, partially offset by growth in Energy & Transportation.The company achieved an adjusted operating profit margin of 20%, in line with expectations, despite the revenue decrease.

Caterpillar Inc.: What Is Their Market Position & Competitive Strategy in Construction Industries? - Major Drivers

United States

Caterpillar Inc. designs, manufactures and markets construction, mining and forestry machinery. The Company also manufactures engines  and other related parts for its equipment, and offers financing and insurance. Caterpillar distributes its products through a worldwide organization of dealers.

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Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, Mayne Pharma, Shengjing Bank, Carenet, Austindo Nusantara, Ashimori

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

RPMGlobal (RUL AU) In Caterpillar's Crosshairs

RPMGlobal has entered trading halt ahead of a rumoured Offer from Caterpillar. No price has been made public; although local media are reporting a...

David Blennerhassett

Capital Goods - Major global players’ forecast about tariff impact

We have summarized the selected global machinery manufacturers’ estimates about the impact of US tariffs. Most players expect the impact will...

CMB International

The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!

US treasury and dollar markets are key participants in US trade negotiations.The co-dependent support dynamic for the equity, dollar, and treasury...

David Mudd

Caterpillar Inc.: What Is Their Market Position & Competitive Strategy in Construction Industries? - Major Drivers

Caterpillar delivered mixed results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting both strengths and weaknesses in various operational aspects. Sales...

Baptista Research

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