US IPOs and Secondary Offerings, IPO Boutique

IPO Boutique

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings

For more than 20 years, we have been providing research, analysis, commentary and ratings on US Equity Capital Markets to institutional investors (US IPOs and Secondary Offerings). Our vast network of contacts across the Equity Capital Markets and attention-to-detail sets us apart from our competitors.

Since 2012, we have achieved a successful hit rating on 89% of Buy-rated IPOs. The collective “Buy” ratings averaged a first trade of 16.3% above issue.Our Neutral Rated Deals averaged just 2% above the issue price at first trade.

Our written research includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

In addition, we provide a high-touch premium desk access which includes analyst access, as well as real time insights on US IPOs as well as secondary offerings.

IPOs and Secondary Offerings

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chagee’s IPO surged early but collapsed, falling nearly 70% from its debut high amid intense market and China-based issuer volatility.</li>
<li>Weak U.S. sponsorship and a sales miss triggered sustained selling pressure, pushing CHA far below its $28 issue price.</li>
<li>The deal highlights 2025’s unforgiving IPO environment, where consumer and China-linked listings face sharp downside risk when momentum fades.</li>
</ul>


Chagee’s IPO surged early but collapsed, falling nearly 70% from its debut high amid intense market and China-based issuer volatility.
Weak U.S. sponsorship and a sales miss triggered sustained selling pressure, pushing CHA far below its $28 issue price.
The deal highlights 2025’s unforgiving IPO environment, where consumer and China-linked listings face sharp downside risk when momentum fades.


Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chagee-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45011:1" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US) </a>raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. </li>
<li>Chagee is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Chagee Holdings (CHA US) raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. 
Chagee is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We recently visited Guangzhou city, a tier one city in China, on a vacation trip. </li>
<li>One of the malls that we visited happened to have several listed tea chain stores.</li>
<li>We took a snapshot of the shop traffic and noted the difference in locations of various stores. We also ordered tea drinks from two of these stores.</li>
</ul>


We recently visited Guangzhou city, a tier one city in China, on a vacation trip. 
One of the malls that we visited happened to have several listed tea chain stores.
We took a snapshot of the shop traffic and noted the difference in locations of various stores. We also ordered tea drinks from two of these stores.


Chinese Tea Chain: An Impromptu Snapshot Visit at Sunac Mall - Mixue, Chagee, Goodme, ChaPanda

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma</li>
<li>In this cut, we look through the <em>bubble </em>in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
In this cut, we look through the bubble in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time


Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

A Value Investing Journal, Acid Investments

Acid Investments

A Value Investing Journal

I love stonks and I love rambling. Sometimes, I feel it unfair to subject those around me with the inundation of my thoughts, so I tweet and I spill ink on here. Jokes aside, I love investing and edgy ideas; I hope to become a better investor and this is my journal to that end. I will be sharing value/special situations I come across organically or through other blogs/13F and I hope to provide a variant analytical view to said situations. I hope to receive constructive feedback and let’s grab some of dem benjamins together!

<ul><li>Last week, I wrote a quick article flagging the seemingly absurd valuation discrepancy of Chagee vis-a-vis beverage peers on the HK stock exchange i.e. Mixue and Guming, as well as Luckin Coffee on the OTC markets.</li><li>Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst coverage and the firm has yet to report its Q1 25 results so it’s just really stuck in no-man’s land.</li><li>I postulated then that delisting risk was an overhang on Chagee, a Chinese ADR, but lo and behold, it appears that the market has shrugged off a large portion of it for the large cap Chinese tech companies.</li></ul>

Last week, I wrote a quick article flagging the seemingly absurd valuation discrepancy of Chagee vis-a-vis beverage peers on the HK stock exchange i.e. Mixue and Guming, as well as Luckin Coffee on the OTC markets.Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst coverage and the firm has yet to report its Q1 25 results so it’s just really stuck in no-man’s land.I postulated then that delisting risk was an overhang on Chagee, a Chinese ADR, but lo and behold, it appears that the market has shrugged off a large portion of it for the large cap Chinese tech companies.

Part 2: What Could Go Wrong at Chagee (CHA)

United States

Chagee Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides a wide range of freshly-made tea drinks. Chagee Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Chagee Holdings (CHA US)

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk

Chagee's IPO soared then plummeted, showcasing the harsh reality of the 2025 IPO market for consumer and China-based companies.

IPO Boutique

Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization

Chagee raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. In this note, we will talk about...

Nicholas Tan

Chinese Tea Chain: An Impromptu Snapshot Visit at Sunac Mall - Mixue, Chagee, Goodme, ChaPanda

We recently visited stores of 4 listed tea chains in a mall, noting the differentiation of the stores in terms of their positioning.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

Part 2: What Could Go Wrong at Chagee (CHA)

Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst...

Acid Investments

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk

​Chagee's IPO soared then plummeted, showcasing the harsh reality of the 2025 IPO market for consumer and China-based companies.

IPO Boutique

Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization

Chagee raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. In this note, we will talk about...

Nicholas Tan

Chinese Tea Chain: An Impromptu Snapshot Visit at Sunac Mall - Mixue, Chagee, Goodme, ChaPanda

We recently visited stores of 4 listed tea chains in a mall, noting the differentiation of the stores in terms of their positioning.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

​Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

Part 2: What Could Go Wrong at Chagee (CHA)

Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst...

Acid Investments

Chagee's IPO soared then plummeted, showcasing the harsh reality of the 2025 IPO market for consumer and China-based companies.

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!