Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener">Nextdc Ltd (NXT AU)</a> aims to raise around US$366m via a fully underwritten institutional placement, along with another US$133m via a non-underwritten SPP.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, most of which have done ok. Although this one appears to be a bit opportunistic.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Nextdc Ltd (NXT AU) aims to raise around US$366m via a fully underwritten institutional placement, along with another US$133m via a non-underwritten SPP.
The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, most of which have done ok. Although this one appears to be a bit opportunistic.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


NEXTDC Placement - Good Track Record but Seems Opportunistic

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a>, which are two relatively large listings coming up. </li>
<li>Placement were flowing through again this week, across the region.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we looked at Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) and Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN), which are two relatively large listings coming up. 
Placement were flowing through again this week, across the region.


ECM Weekly (9th Sep 2024) - Midea, Bajaj Housing, Carote, Western Digital, Challenger, CICT, Premier

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>AP Liberty (Apollo) is looking to raise US$318m from trimming its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16870:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Ltd (CGF AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Apollo’s stake in the firm dates back to Jul 2021, when the investor first acquired a 18% stake in the firm for A$720m. </li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


AP Liberty (Apollo) is looking to raise US$318m from trimming its stake in Challenger Ltd (CGF AU).
Apollo’s stake in the firm dates back to Jul 2021, when the investor first acquired a 18% stake in the firm for A$720m. 
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Challenger Limited Placement - Discount Isn’t Enticing Enough for a Surprise Selldown

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

National Australia Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NAB reported its 3Q24 results with slightly lower profit, but major divergence inside the figures </li>
<li>The bank shows a staggering decline in credit costs in 3Q24, which means the results were flattered</li>
<li>This is despite a very sharp rise in bad loans in major segments, corporate and residential mortgages, up around 50% YoY annualized in 3Q24</li>
</ul>


NAB reported its 3Q24 results with slightly lower profit, but major divergence inside the figures 
The bank shows a staggering decline in credit costs in 3Q24, which means the results were flattered
This is despite a very sharp rise in bad loans in major segments, corporate and residential mortgages, up around 50% YoY annualized in 3Q24


NAB - Profit Slightly Down in 3Q, Credit Costs Collapsed, but Bad Loans Are Rising Significantly

<ul>
<li>NAB holds significantly more maturing debt in the coming year than its largest 3 peer banks in Australia and also more than the 3 banks in Singapore, by comparison</li>
<li>The bank has grown its business loans aggressively, which can see lumpy bad loans in a poor economy, with high unseasoned loans, yet its HoH credit costs were flat</li>
<li>CRE loans are meaningful at NAB, adding another risk to maturing debt at the top of the rate cycle with what appears to optimistic credit costs in recent results</li>
</ul>


NAB holds significantly more maturing debt in the coming year than its largest 3 peer banks in Australia and also more than the 3 banks in Singapore, by comparison
The bank has grown its business loans aggressively, which can see lumpy bad loans in a poor economy, with high unseasoned loans, yet its HoH credit costs were flat
CRE loans are meaningful at NAB, adding another risk to maturing debt at the top of the rate cycle with what appears to optimistic credit costs in recent results


NAB - Maturing Debt AUD40bn | At Top of Rate Cycle | With High Unseasoned Loans, CRE Loans

Australia

Challenger Limited is an investment management firm  The Company offers annuities and other retirement income products as well as manages assets for domestic and international clients.

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Challenger Ltd (CGF AU)

NEXTDC Placement - Good Track Record but Seems Opportunistic

Nextdc Ltd (NXT AU) aims to raise around US$366m via a fully underwritten institutional placement, along with another US$133m via a non...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (9th Sep 2024) - Midea, Bajaj Housing, Carote, Western Digital, Challenger, CICT, Premier

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Challenger Limited Placement - Discount Isn’t Enticing Enough for a Surprise Selldown

AP Liberty (Apollo) is looking to raise US$318m from trimming its stake in Challenger Ltd (CGF AU). In this note, we run the deal through our ECM...

Clarence Chu

NAB - Profit Slightly Down in 3Q, Credit Costs Collapsed, but Bad Loans Are Rising Significantly

NAB reported its 3Q24 results with profit down slightly, but the figure is exaggerated with sharply lower credit costs, despite much higher bad...

Daniel Tabbush

NAB - Maturing Debt AUD40bn | At Top of Rate Cycle | With High Unseasoned Loans, CRE Loans

NAB has more maturity debt than large peers, which can mean worse NIM impact when refinancing at the top of the rate cycle. Business loan growth...

Daniel Tabbush

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