Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There were further updates on the Simandou iron ore mine, <a href="https://www.mining.com/web/iron-ore-shakeup-begins-as-simandous-first-boat-heads-for-china/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">which commenced operations</a><a href="https://www.mining.com/web/iron-ore-shakeup-begins-as-simandous-first-boat-heads-for-china/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> </a>last week, igniting bearish sentiment and taking iron ore prices down 3% WoW to 103 USD/ton.</li>
<li>Demand, though, for higher-grade material remains strong, resulting in a widening spread between 65 and 62 Fe to almost 16 USD/ton (from 12-13 USD/ton a week ago). </li>
<li>We favor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenix-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7405:1" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU)</a> for its high growth profile and potential to increase production from 1.5 million tons to around 10 million tons. </li>
</ul>


There were further updates on the Simandou iron ore mine, which commenced operations last week, igniting bearish sentiment and taking iron ore prices down 3% WoW to 103 USD/ton.
Demand, though, for higher-grade material remains strong, resulting in a widening spread between 65 and 62 Fe to almost 16 USD/ton (from 12-13 USD/ton a week ago). 
We favor Fenix Resources (FEX AU) for its high growth profile and potential to increase production from 1.5 million tons to around 10 million tons. 


Iron Ore 65-62 Spread Widens, Despite The Commencement of Simandou Shipments

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (17 Nov)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (10 Nov)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CSL, Mineral Resources, Bluescope Steel, ALS, Vicinity Centres Re.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CSL, Mineral Resources, Bluescope Steel, ALS, Vicinity Centres Re.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): CSL, Mineral Resources, Bluescope Steel, ALS

<ul>
<li>
Context: The<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stanmore-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15252:1" rel="noopener">Stanmore Resources (SMR AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/champion-iron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19734:1" rel="noopener">Champion Iron (CIA AU)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Stanmore Resources (SMR AU) and short Champion Iron (CIA AU) targets a 9% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: TheStanmore Resources (SMR AU) vs. Champion Iron (CIA AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Stanmore Resources (SMR AU) and short Champion Iron (CIA AU) targets a 9% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Statistical Arbitrage Targeting 9% Upside

Australia

champion Iron Limited is a exploration company. The Company acquires, explores and develops properties for iron ore deposits.

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Champion Iron (CIA AU)

Iron Ore 65-62 Spread Widens, Despite The Commencement of Simandou Shipments

Updates on Simandou iron ore ramp-up and other key drivers; we name Fenix Resources (FEX AU) our top sector pick and outline the investment case.

Sameer Taneja

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (17 Nov)

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (10 Nov)

Statistical methodology identifies 15 pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): CSL, Mineral Resources, Bluescope Steel, ALS

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, Mineral Resources, Bluescope Steel, ALS,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM