Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 2Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2026 were US$20,544 million and holdings were US$462 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, WEICHAI POWER, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, Luxshare Precision, CHAOZHOU THREE-CIRCLE, WUXI APPTEC, CAMBRICON, YUANJIE SEMI, Moutai, MIDEA.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 2Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2026 were US$20,544 million and holdings were US$462 billion.
We highlight flows for CATL, WEICHAI POWER, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, Luxshare Precision, CHAOZHOU THREE-CIRCLE, WUXI APPTEC, CAMBRICON, YUANJIE SEMI, Moutai, MIDEA.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, the mid-year listing frenzy is likely to cool down a bit in Hong Kong as company's look to refile their 1H results before launching.</li>
<li>There are quite a few lockup expiries coming up, while there were a number of placements as well over the past week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, the mid-year listing frenzy is likely to cool down a bit in Hong Kong as company's look to refile their 1H results before launching.
There are quite a few lockup expiries coming up, while there were a number of placements as well over the past week.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (6 July 2026)-SK Hynix, Luxshare, Three-Circles, Nexchip, Minimax, Dtech, Biren

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.</p>

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Chaozhou Three-Circle / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chaozhou-three-circle-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50297:1" rel="noopener">Chaozhou Three-Circle (6951 HK)</a>, a key player in electronic ceramic materials and components, will benefit from the demand and scenario upgrades in downstream sectors.</li>
<li>For FY25-28, it will generate an EPS CAGR of 26%, fueled by both revenue growth and margin expansion. Its 1Q26 earnings have already surged by 48.5%.</li>
<li>At the maximum IPO price of HK$100.30, the H-share is priced at a steep 49% HA discount. Re-rating to the global average FY26 PER will give a 21.3% upside.</li>
</ul>



Chaozhou Three-Circle (6951 HK), a key player in electronic ceramic materials and components, will benefit from the demand and scenario upgrades in downstream sectors.
For FY25-28, it will generate an EPS CAGR of 26%, fueled by both revenue growth and margin expansion. Its 1Q26 earnings have already surged by 48.5%.
At the maximum IPO price of HK$100.30, the H-share is priced at a steep 49% HA discount. Re-rating to the global average FY26 PER will give a 21.3% upside.


Chaozhou Three-Circle (6951 HK) IPO: Priced Nicely

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Luxshare Precision Industry / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> could raise up to HK$27.9bn (US$3.6bn) in its H-share offering if the Overallotment Option is exercised.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor allocation will be around 42% of the maximum offering size and those shares will be locked up for 6 months. Fast entry index inclusion probability is small.</li>
<li>The H-shares are priced at a 17.2% discount to the A-shares last close and that is tighter than other large issues. Stock Connect from the open on 6 August.</li>
</ul>



Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) could raise up to HK$27.9bn (US$3.6bn) in its H-share offering if the Overallotment Option is exercised.
The cornerstone investor allocation will be around 42% of the maximum offering size and those shares will be locked up for 6 months. Fast entry index inclusion probability is small.
The H-shares are priced at a 17.2% discount to the A-shares last close and that is tighter than other large issues. Stock Connect from the open on 6 August.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

China

Chaozhou Three-Circle Group Co. Ltd. manufactures advanced ceramics. The Company researches, develops, produces, and sells ceramic ferrules, sleeves, substrates, capacitors, and other ceramic products. Chaozhou Three-Circle Group provides its products for optic telecommunication, machinery, environmental protection, and new energy industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Chaozhou Three-Circle Group (300408 CH)

Northbound Flows (2Q2026): $20bn Inflows

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 2Q2026 and highlight flows for CATL, WEICHAI POWER, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, Luxshare Precision,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas ECM Weekly (6 July 2026)-SK Hynix, Luxshare, Three-Circles, Nexchip, Minimax, Dtech, Biren

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

Chaozhou Three-Circle (6951 HK) IPO: Priced Nicely

Chaozhou Three-Circle is poised to gain from the demand and scenario upgrades in downstream sectors. It has an encouraging earnings outlook and a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

Luxshare's H-share offering is a 22.2% discount to the A-shares last close and the company could raise US$3.6bn if the overallotment option is...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (2Q2026): $20bn Inflows

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 2Q2026 and highlight flows for CATL, WEICHAI POWER, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, Luxshare Precision,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas ECM Weekly (6 July 2026)-SK Hynix, Luxshare, Three-Circles, Nexchip, Minimax, Dtech, Biren

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

Chaozhou Three-Circle (6951 HK) IPO: Priced Nicely

​Chaozhou Three-Circle is poised to gain from the demand and scenario upgrades in downstream sectors. It has an encouraging earnings outlook and a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for US$3.6bn Offering; Tighter H/A Discount

Luxshare's H-share offering is a 22.2% discount to the A-shares last close and the company could raise US$3.6bn if the overallotment option is...

Brian Freitas

Chaozhou Three-Circle is poised to gain from the demand and scenario upgrades in downstream sectors. It has an encouraging earnings outlook and a...