Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Financial Select Sector SPDR F / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market remains in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the SPX and Russell 2000, as discussed in last week's Compass (Oct. 25).</li>
<li>Longer-Term, this is still a bear market until the S&amp;P 500 and IWM can break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs, and markets could easily test their lows again.</li>
<li>With that said, there are signs that suggest breakouts above YTD downtrends/200-day MAs could be coming. Catalysts include the FOMC announcement on Wednesday, followed by midterm elections on Nov. 8.</li>
</ul>


The market remains in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the SPX and Russell 2000, as discussed in last week's Compass (Oct. 25).
Longer-Term, this is still a bear market until the S&amp;P 500 and IWM can break above their respective YTD downtrends/200-day MAs, and markets could easily test their lows again.
With that said, there are signs that suggest breakouts above YTD downtrends/200-day MAs could be coming. Catalysts include the FOMC announcement on Wednesday, followed by midterm elections on Nov. 8.


Bear Market Rally Continues; Financials/XLF Reversing YTD Downtrend; Small-Caps at 11-Month RS Highs

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.</li>
<li>Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.</li>
<li>As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass report has begun.
Over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&amp;P 600 Small Caps) display bullish 2+ month inflections.
As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their 200-day MAs.


Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Currently, there is a tug of war between economists and Wall St. banks debating about the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate move and how fast inflation will abate to allow the Federal Reserve to ease off its tightening cycle. </li><li>The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument. </li><li>The debate continues over the “R” word (recession) and whether the US economy is now in one.</li></ul>

Currently, there is a tug of war between economists and Wall St. banks debating about the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate move and how fast inflation will abate to allow the Federal Reserve to ease off its tightening cycle. The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument. The debate continues over the “R” word (recession) and whether the US economy is now in one.

I hope everyone had a nice weekend! Globalization Reset and the “Pendulum Swing” Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital released another excellent memo last week that talked about the “pendulum” of globalization and how the Ukraine crisis could represent a new global pivot to re-thinking energy and supply chain dependencies.

I hope everyone had a nice weekend! Globalization Reset and the “Pendulum Swing” Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital released another excellent memo last week that talked about the “pendulum” of globalization and how the Ukraine crisis could represent a new global pivot to re-thinking energy and supply chain dependencies.

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. At the moment it is difficult to point to any problems in the market aside from increasingly bullish sentiment from market participants and the worry that things are getting overheated and over-extended. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Large-Cap, Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Small-Cap, Metals, Steel, Integrated, U.S., and Aluminum.

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. At the moment it is difficult to point to any problems in the market aside from increasingly bullish sentiment from market participants and the worry that things are getting overheated and over-extended. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Large-Cap, Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Small-Cap, Metals, Steel, Integrated, U.S., and Aluminum.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Too Good To Be True?

United States

Chart Industries, Inc. is a global manufacturer of equipment used in the production, storage, and end-use of hydrocarbon and industrial gases. The Company's products include vacuum-insulated containment vessels, heat exchangers, cold boxes, and other cryogenic components.

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Chart Industries (GTLS US)

Bear Market Rally Continues; Financials/XLF Reversing YTD Downtrend; Small-Caps at 11-Month RS Highs

The market is still in bear market rally mode, and our price target remains the 200-day MAs on the $SPX and $IWM. $XLF YTD downtrend reversal, $XLV...

Vermilion Research

Another Bear Market Rally Begins; Indexes and Sectors With Bullish 2+ Month Inflections

The bear market rally we have been discussing since Sept. 27 has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes $SPX $QQQ $NDX...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 8/8

The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bullfinder- Week of 3/28

On Friday, the EU and US announced a major liquefied natural gas deal that will likely have a transformational impact on energy security.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Too Good To Be True?

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks...

Vermilion Research

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