Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final ranks for potential ADDs/DELs and the resultant capping flow expectations for the HSTECH index rebal event in September 2026.</li>
<li>We expect no index changes for September 2026 but we see roughly US$1.9bn in one-way capping flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at our final ranks for potential ADDs/DELs and the resultant capping flow expectations for the HSTECH index rebal event in September 2026.
We expect no index changes for September 2026 but we see roughly US$1.9bn in one-way capping flows.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep26: Final Ranks; US$1.9bn One-Way Capping

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexchip Semiconductor  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Nexchip, an IC foundry focused on display driver ICs and image sensors, launched its IPO to raise USD 897m through an A+H listing. CICC is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Nexchip, an IC foundry focused on display driver ICs and image sensors, launched its IPO to raise USD 897m through an A+H listing. CICC is the sole sponsor.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Nexchip (晶合集成) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals from the Jan to Nov 2025 listing cohort to measure price action around the IPO+6M lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>We note that selling pressure from cornerstone selling overhang is deal-size dependent.</li>
<li>Sponsor mix further refines the screen. Pure international-sponsored deals underperformed other cohorts.</li>
</ul>


We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals from the Jan to Nov 2025 listing cohort to measure price action around the IPO+6M lock-up expiry.
We note that selling pressure from cornerstone selling overhang is deal-size dependent.
Sponsor mix further refines the screen. Pure international-sponsored deals underperformed other cohorts.


HK IPO Essential Statistics: Quantifying Lock-Up Expiry Overhang

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.</li>
<li>2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.
2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).
The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Sigenergy Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230084" rel="noopener">Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-6656-hk-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230285" rel="noopener">Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK) priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.
The IPO was discussed in Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case and Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


China

Chery Automobile is a Chinese automobile manufacturer that designs, develops, manufactures, and sells passenger vehicles, automotive parts, and components. It offers internal combustion engines and new energy vehicles under brands such as CHERY, JETOUR, EXEED, iCAR, and LUXEED. The company is headquartered in Wuhu, Anhui, China, and was founded in 1997.

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Chery (9973 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep26: Final Ranks; US$1.9bn One-Way Capping

Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK) and MiniMax (100 HK) have cornerstone lock-ups that expire on 8th July 2026. There will be upweights in HSTECH...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nexchip (晶合集成) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Nexchip's USD 897m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as its valuation....

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK IPO Essential Statistics: Quantifying Lock-Up Expiry Overhang

HK IPO Essential Stat: We studied 43 HK IPO cornerstone deals listed in 2025 to quantify the selling pressure upon lock-up expiry.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

The 2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn as the market rotates...

Brian Freitas

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

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