Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.</li>
<li>The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold</a> making up the bulk of it. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/butong-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44212:1" rel="noopener">Butong</a> and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.
The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with Zijin Gold making up the bulk of it. Butong and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.
The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.


HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Samsung Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  a wave of smallish HK IPOs was launched late in the week.</li>
<li>On the placement front, deals have started to flow in across the region after a somewhat quiet war and earnings driven rest.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front,  a wave of smallish HK IPOs was launched late in the week.
On the placement front, deals have started to flow in across the region after a somewhat quiet war and earnings driven rest.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (23 March 2026)-Samsung, Kingboard, JRE, Chery, Zijin, Butong, Delton, NSing, FS

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15457:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP)</a> trade is to short or long-sell into exuberance. Shorts should wait until the pump exhausts itself (or appears to).</li>
<li>At 0.34x forward P/B, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> is cheap. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> at 0.33x is also inexpensive. But HK IP drags. Ger exposure to the stub.</li>
<li>Elliott sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-o-s-k-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20717:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (9104 JP)</a> as undervalued. Best to be long than short on an outright basis, but there is not a lot of detail out there yet.</li>
</ul>


The Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP) trade is to short or long-sell into exuberance. Shorts should wait until the pump exhausts itself (or appears to).
At 0.34x forward P/B, Swire Pacific (19 HK) is cheap. Swire Properties (1972 HK) at 0.33x is also inexpensive. But HK IP drags. Ger exposure to the stub.
Elliott sees Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (9104 JP) as undervalued. Best to be long than short on an outright basis, but there is not a lot of detail out there yet.


Last Week In Event SPACE: TEPCO, Swire, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines. CK Hutchison

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$18.15bn (US$2.3bn). Most stocks will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices in the Hang Seng family.</li>
<li>Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$18.15bn (US$2.3bn). Most stocks will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices in the Hang Seng family.
Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$2.3bn Trade

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>We continue to expect no index changes for March 2026. However, we estimate there to be around US$862mn in one-way flows triggered by capping.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2026 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
We continue to expect no index changes for March 2026. However, we estimate there to be around US$862mn in one-way flows triggered by capping.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the March 2026 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 13th February 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar26: No Changes Likely; US$860mn One-Way; Announcement Next Week

China

Chery Automobile is a Chinese automobile manufacturer that designs, develops, manufactures, and sells passenger vehicles, automotive parts, and components. It offers internal combustion engines and new energy vehicles under brands such as CHERY, JETOUR, EXEED, iCAR, and LUXEED. The company is headquartered in Wuhu, Anhui, China, and was founded in 1997.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Chery (9973 HK)

HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Butong is down 12% today as the cornerstone investor shares become freely tradeable. Bigger cornerstone lock-up expiries this week for Chery Auto...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas ECM Weekly (23 March 2026)-Samsung, Kingboard, JRE, Chery, Zijin, Butong, Delton, NSing, FS

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week In Event SPACE: TEPCO, Swire, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines. CK Hutchison

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$2.3bn Trade

There are no constituent changes but float and capping changes result in one-way turnover of 2.6% and a round-trip trade of US$2.3bn. Shorts are...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Mar26: No Changes Likely; US$860mn One-Way; Announcement Next Week

Geely Auto (175 HK) and Chery Automobile (9973 HK) are interesting cases. Deciding their suitability for HSTECH is a highly-subjective call and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)