Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.</li>
<li>2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index ended on 31 March, the changes will be announced on 22 May and implemented on 5 June.
2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn (US$3.1bn).
The forecast adds have benefited from the AI theme while the forecast deletes have dropped as software application companies continue to be hit by expected AI disruption to business models.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sigenergy Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigenergy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44468:1" rel="noopener">Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230084" rel="noopener">Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sigenergy-6656-hk-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:230285" rel="noopener">Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Sigenergy Technology (6656 HK) priced its IPO at HK$324.20 per share, raising gross proceeds of approximately US$562 million. The shares will begin trading on 16 April.
The IPO was discussed in Sigenergy IPO: The Investment Case and Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive.


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.</li>
<li>The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold</a> making up the bulk of it. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/butong-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44212:1" rel="noopener">Butong</a> and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.</li>
<li>The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 companies that listed in August and September 2025 where the lock-up for cornerstone investors ends in the next 5 weeks.
The total lock-up expiry across companies is HK$50.3bn (US$6.45bn) with Zijin Gold making up the bulk of it. Butong and Jiaxin International have a lock-up for pre-IPO investors too.
The cornerstone investor lock-up expiry will increase the number of free float shares between 29-78% and some of the stocks could come under pressure ahead of the expiry.


HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Samsung Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  a wave of smallish HK IPOs was launched late in the week.</li>
<li>On the placement front, deals have started to flow in across the region after a somewhat quiet war and earnings driven rest.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front,  a wave of smallish HK IPOs was launched late in the week.
On the placement front, deals have started to flow in across the region after a somewhat quiet war and earnings driven rest.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (23 March 2026)-Samsung, Kingboard, JRE, Chery, Zijin, Butong, Delton, NSing, FS

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15457:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP)</a> trade is to short or long-sell into exuberance. Shorts should wait until the pump exhausts itself (or appears to).</li>
<li>At 0.34x forward P/B, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> is cheap. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> at 0.33x is also inexpensive. But HK IP drags. Ger exposure to the stub.</li>
<li>Elliott sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-o-s-k-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20717:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (9104 JP)</a> as undervalued. Best to be long than short on an outright basis, but there is not a lot of detail out there yet.</li>
</ul>


The Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP) trade is to short or long-sell into exuberance. Shorts should wait until the pump exhausts itself (or appears to).
At 0.34x forward P/B, Swire Pacific (19 HK) is cheap. Swire Properties (1972 HK) at 0.33x is also inexpensive. But HK IP drags. Ger exposure to the stub.
Elliott sees Mitsui O.S.K. Lines (9104 JP) as undervalued. Best to be long than short on an outright basis, but there is not a lot of detail out there yet.


Last Week In Event SPACE: TEPCO, Swire, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines. CK Hutchison

China

Chery Automobile is a Chinese automobile manufacturer that designs, develops, manufactures, and sells passenger vehicles, automotive parts, and components. It offers internal combustion engines and new energy vehicles under brands such as CHERY, JETOUR, EXEED, iCAR, and LUXEED. The company is headquartered in Wuhu, Anhui, China, and was founded in 1997.

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Chery (9973 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Style Rotation Drives AI Additions & Software Deletions

The 2 constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.5% and in a round-trip trade of HK$24bn as the market rotates...

Brian Freitas

Sigenergy (6656 HK) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers' market sentiment has increased since the IPO launch. The retail and international subscription rates are above the median of large HKEx...

Arun George

HK: Cornerstone/Pre-IPO Lock-Up Expiries in Feb/March

Butong is down 12% today as the cornerstone investor shares become freely tradeable. Bigger cornerstone lock-up expiries this week for Chery Auto...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas ECM Weekly (23 March 2026)-Samsung, Kingboard, JRE, Chery, Zijin, Butong, Delton, NSing, FS

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Last Week In Event SPACE: TEPCO, Swire, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines. CK Hutchison

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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