Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>The base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with a smaller supply surplus than usual, as tighter Asian and Group III balances leave less supply available to absorb further disruptions</li></ul><ul><li>The base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with less surplus than usual, after the third-quarter slowdown failed to produce the usual supply build.</li><li>China and India are putting more pressure on available barrels, with China's Group II balance tightening as India's demand extends its recovery.</li></ul>

The base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with a smaller supply surplus than usual, as tighter Asian and Group III balances leave less supply available to absorb further disruptionsThe base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with less surplus than usual, after the third-quarter slowdown failed to produce the usual supply build.China and India are putting more pressure on available barrels, with China's Group II balance tightening as India's demand extends its recovery.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 11 Sep '26

<ul><li>Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America.</li><li>Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June, a second straight monthly decline, after rising for three straight months to April.</li><li>Asia's lubricants demand outside China fell 2% in June, a second straight monthly decline.</li></ul>

Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America.Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June, a second straight monthly decline, after rising for three straight months to April.Asia's lubricants demand outside China fell 2% in June, a second straight monthly decline.

Global Base Oils Supply Surplus Shrinks In June

<ul><li>Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months.</li><li>Americas supply dipped as plant maintenance in Brazil combined with US output falling to a 14-month low.</li><li>Middle East supply fell to its lowest level in more than seven years, with a slump in Group III shipments outweighing a rise in flows from Saudi Arabia.</li></ul>

Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months.Americas supply dipped as plant maintenance in Brazil combined with US output falling to a 14-month low.Middle East supply fell to its lowest level in more than seven years, with a slump in Group III shipments outweighing a rise in flows from Saudi Arabia.

Global Base Oils Supply Falls To 16-Month Low In June

<ul><li>Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal demand starts to recover</li></ul><ul><li>Middle East disruption is leaving the US short of the Group III volumes it normally receives, tightening its balance at a time when summer surplus would otherwise move to export markets.</li><li>Wide US arbitrage is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, adding to established Group III flows.</li></ul>

Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal demand starts to recoverMiddle East disruption is leaving the US short of the Group III volumes it normally receives, tightening its balance at a time when summer surplus would otherwise move to export markets.Wide US arbitrage is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, adding to established Group III flows.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 4 Sept '26

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chevron’s revenue is forecasted to rise by 7.9% QoQ and EPS by 36.2% QoQ, driven by higher crude prices and stronger upstream realisations.</li>
<li>Chevron expects a USD 1.6–2.2 billion QoQ uplift in upstream earnings from higher oil prices, though downstream and hedging-related timing effects could temporarily weigh on overall results.</li>
<li>There is no clear winner between strategies, with both straddles and calendar spreads succeeding in 4 of 9 quarters, while both underperformed in Q2 2025 amid broad IV compression.</li>
</ul>


Chevron’s revenue is forecasted to rise by 7.9% QoQ and EPS by 36.2% QoQ, driven by higher crude prices and stronger upstream realisations.
Chevron expects a USD 1.6–2.2 billion QoQ uplift in upstream earnings from higher oil prices, though downstream and hedging-related timing effects could temporarily weigh on overall results.
There is no clear winner between strategies, with both straddles and calendar spreads succeeding in 4 of 9 quarters, while both underperformed in Q2 2025 amid broad IV compression.


[Pre-Earnings Flash] Chevron Supported by Oil Rally Amid Elevated IV Levels

United States

Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company with operations in countries located around the world.  The Company produces and transports crude oil and natural gas.  Chevron also refines, markets, and distributes fuels as well as is involved in chemical operations, mining operations, power generation and energy services.

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Chevron Corp (CVX US)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 11 Sep '26

The base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with a smaller supply surplus than usual, as tighter Asian and Group III balances leave...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Supply Surplus Shrinks In June

Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America. Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June,...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Supply Falls To 16-Month Low In June

Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months. Americas supply...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 4 Sept '26

Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal...

Base Oil News

[Pre-Earnings Flash] Chevron Supported by Oil Rally Amid Elevated IV Levels

Chevron's revenue and EPS set to rise due to higher crude prices, but downstream and hedging effects may impact overall results. Trading...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 11 Sep '26

The base oils market is approaching the fourth quarter with a smaller supply surplus than usual, as tighter Asian and Group III balances leave...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Supply Surplus Shrinks In June

Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America. Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June,...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Supply Falls To 16-Month Low In June

Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months. Americas supply...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 4 Sept '26

Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal...

Base Oil News

[Pre-Earnings Flash] Chevron Supported by Oil Rally Amid Elevated IV Levels

​Chevron's revenue and EPS set to rise due to higher crude prices, but downstream and hedging effects may impact overall results. Trading...

Mint Finance

Chevron's revenue and EPS set to rise due to higher crude prices, but downstream and hedging effects may impact overall results. Trading...