Market Strategist, RW Advisory

Ron William

Market Strategist

RW Advisory

RW Advisory, founded by Ron William, a market strategist with 20+ years of experience, offers macro/tactical research and advisory to a wide range of financial institutions.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Surface Strength, Underlying Fragility: Despite record highs in U.S. equities, narrow market breadth, inter-market divergences, and macro-cycle pressures signal growing instability beneath the surface.</li>
<li>Rising Tail Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire) and shifting U.S. trade policy (potential 70% tariffs) threaten to disrupt market momentum and trigger volatility.</li>
<li>Prepare for Inflection: Timing models and liquidity indicators point to a Q3 turning point; investors should rebalance toward quality, raise cash, and deploy tactical hedges ahead of possible late-year turbulence.</li>
</ul>


Surface Strength, Underlying Fragility: Despite record highs in U.S. equities, narrow market breadth, inter-market divergences, and macro-cycle pressures signal growing instability beneath the surface.
Rising Tail Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire) and shifting U.S. trade policy (potential 70% tariffs) threaten to disrupt market momentum and trigger volatility.
Prepare for Inflection: Timing models and liquidity indicators point to a Q3 turning point; investors should rebalance toward quality, raise cash, and deploy tactical hedges ahead of possible late-year turbulence.


US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>The 90-day pause in tariffs between China and the US provides “tremendous” opportunities</li>
<li>The headline volatility allows investors to scale in and out of positions</li>
<li>Where we could be wrong in assuming the bear market is still on</li>
</ul>


The 90-day pause in tariffs between China and the US provides “tremendous” opportunities
The headline volatility allows investors to scale in and out of positions
Where we could be wrong in assuming the bear market is still on


Overview #26 -Is the Bear Market Over, and Are We Back to the Races?

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

<ul><li>Market experiencing steepening yield curve, potentially indicating higher inflation and stronger growth</li><li>Stocks rallying, with significant moves in earnings yield and small caps</li><li>Asia and Europe markets up, Dow, S&amp;P, Nasdaq, and Russell all posting gains; Gold and Bitcoin down, Oil up, Vix down</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Market experiencing steepening yield curve, potentially indicating higher inflation and stronger growthStocks rallying, with significant moves in earnings yield and small capsAsia and Europe markets up, Dow, S&amp;P, Nasdaq, and Russell all posting gains; Gold and Bitcoin down, Oil up, Vix downThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Bitcoin, Buffett, and the Barbarians at the Gate | Ep. #020 - The New Barbarians Podcast

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>This week the only thing that mattered was tariffs.</li><li>In my recommendation update section, I will provide some commentary on which recommendations are most impacted by tariffs.</li><li>On April 9, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension of increased tariffs on most imported goods, maintaining a base tariff of 10% during this period.</li></ul>

This week the only thing that mattered was tariffs.In my recommendation update section, I will provide some commentary on which recommendations are most impacted by tariffs.On April 9, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension of increased tariffs on most imported goods, maintaining a base tariff of 10% during this period.

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Drops greater than 5% on a Friday are rare, we examine historical returns after such events.</li>
<li>We revisit 1987 price action and reconstructed VIX levels to add historical context.</li>
<li>With circuit breakers now in place and political volatility elevated, we assess what today’s sell-off might mean for the next trading day.</li>
</ul>


Drops greater than 5% on a Friday are rare, we examine historical returns after such events.
We revisit 1987 price action and reconstructed VIX levels to add historical context.
With circuit breakers now in place and political volatility elevated, we assess what today’s sell-off might mean for the next trading day.


SP500: Friday Sell-Offs, the VIX, and a Bit of 1987

United States

The VIX Index is a financial benchmark designed to be an up-to-the-minute market estimate of the expected volatility of the S&P 500® Index, and is calculated by using the midpoint of real-time S&P 500 Index (SPX) option bid/ask quotes.

Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX INDEX)

Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index

Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX INDEX)

US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Markets are soaring, but risks are rising. This must-read report reveals hidden cracks, key timing signals, and strategies to protect gains ahead...

Ron William

Overview #26 -Is the Bear Market Over, and Are We Back to the Races?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at whether the worst is over for markets

Rikki Malik

Bitcoin, Buffett, and the Barbarians at the Gate | Ep. #020 - The New Barbarians Podcast

Alex Fleiss, CEO of Rebellion Research, discusses the current twist steepener regime in the market, with the yield curve steepening due to the...

William Mann

Weekly Update (AMS, LION, Tariffs)

This week the only thing that mattered was tariffs. In my recommendation update section, I will provide some commentary on which recommendations...

Richard Howe

SP500: Friday Sell-Offs, the VIX, and a Bit of 1987

Rare Friday drops of over 5% prompt analysis of historical returns, including 1987 crash and current market conditions, to provide context on the...

John Ley

US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Markets are soaring, but risks are rising. This must-read report reveals hidden cracks, key timing signals, and strategies to protect gains ahead...

Ron William

Overview #26 -Is the Bear Market Over, and Are We Back to the Races?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at whether the worst is over for markets

Rikki Malik

Bitcoin, Buffett, and the Barbarians at the Gate | Ep. #020 - The New Barbarians Podcast

Alex Fleiss, CEO of Rebellion Research, discusses the current twist steepener regime in the market, with the yield curve steepening due to the...

William Mann

Weekly Update (AMS, LION, Tariffs)

This week the only thing that mattered was tariffs. In my recommendation update section, I will provide some commentary on which recommendations...

Richard Howe

SP500: Friday Sell-Offs, the VIX, and a Bit of 1987

​Rare Friday drops of over 5% prompt analysis of historical returns, including 1987 crash and current market conditions, to provide context on the...

John Ley

Rare Friday drops of over 5% prompt analysis of historical returns, including 1987 crash and current market conditions, to provide context on the...