Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>HK Alpha portfolio gained 2.22% in September, outperforming its benchmark by 5.36%. Since inception, the portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 66% to 93%. HK ALPHA is up 14.35% YTD.</li>
<li>The Sharpe ratio stands at 1.22, compared with a benchmark of 0.56 since inception. This higher Sharpe ratio is driven by excess alpha, which represents more than 50% of returns.</li>
<li>The portfolio gained in the healthcare and energy sectors in August, while exposure to materials and communication services dragged on performance.</li>
</ul>


HK Alpha portfolio gained 2.22% in September, outperforming its benchmark by 5.36%. Since inception, the portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 66% to 93%. HK ALPHA is up 14.35% YTD.
The Sharpe ratio stands at 1.22, compared with a benchmark of 0.56 since inception. This higher Sharpe ratio is driven by excess alpha, which represents more than 50% of returns.
The portfolio gained in the healthcare and energy sectors in August, while exposure to materials and communication services dragged on performance.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2026)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 16.26% in January resulting in a 6.2% outperformance to its benchmark.  The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 48% to 63% since inception on 10/1/24.</li>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha has generated 50% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.79 since inception.  The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 28%.</li>
<li>At the end of January, we reduced positions in the materials, communications, and conglomerate sectors and added positions in the food, energy, and manufacturing sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 16.26% in January resulting in a 6.2% outperformance to its benchmark.  The portfolio has outperformed HK indexes by 48% to 63% since inception on 10/1/24.
Hong Kong Alpha has generated 50% of its return from alpha and has a Sharpe ratio of 1.79 since inception.  The portfolio's annualized mean excess return is 28%.
At the end of January, we reduced positions in the materials, communications, and conglomerate sectors and added positions in the food, energy, and manufacturing sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (January 2026)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF</a> will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the VanEck Gold Miners ETF will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.
Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.
The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, raised HKD 2,968.0m (USD 378.2m) and will list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, raised HKD 2,968.0m (USD 378.2m) and will list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (2899 HK)</a> is seeking to become the largest shareholder in dual-listed (and currently privately-owned) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chifeng-jilong-gold-mining-co-ltd-6fd36a89-829f-4b46-ad2e-8900f649f679" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45015:1" rel="noopener">Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Zijin Mining's subsidiary, Zijin Gold (not the listco), will buy 242mnn A shares of Chifeng Gold from its single largest shareholder, Li Jinyang, and concert party Zhejiang Hanfeng, at RMB41.36/share.</li>
<li>Concurrently, Zijin Gold has proposed subscribing to 311mn new H shares of Chifeng Gold at HK$30.19/share. If all goes to plan, Zijin Mining will hold 25.85% in Chifeng Gold.  </li>
</ul>



Zijin Mining Group (2899 HK) is seeking to become the largest shareholder in dual-listed (and currently privately-owned) Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693 HK).
Zijin Mining's subsidiary, Zijin Gold (not the listco), will buy 242mnn A shares of Chifeng Gold from its single largest shareholder, Li Jinyang, and concert party Zhejiang Hanfeng, at RMB41.36/share.
Concurrently, Zijin Gold has proposed subscribing to 311mn new H shares of Chifeng Gold at HK$30.19/share. If all goes to plan, Zijin Mining will hold 25.85% in Chifeng Gold.  


Chifeng Jilong Gold (6693 HK): Zijin Mining Seeks Controlling Stake

China

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, beneficiation, and sale of gold and other non-ferrous metals such as zinc, lead, copper, and molybdenum. The company also operates in polymetallic mining and comprehensive resource recycling, including waste electrical and electronic product dismantling. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 1998.

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Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2026)

We made mid-month changes in the portfolio yesterday. We sold 148, 6185, 3696, 3759, 669 and 2268. We added 322, 2319, 1579, 6186, 9633, 2688,...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (January 2026)

At the end of January, we began to move out of materials and tech and into early cycle sectors. We continue with mid-month exposure adjustments: we...

David Mudd

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

The GDX ETF will change benchmarks at the close on 19 Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8%; round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO Trading

Transsion raised USD 378m in net proceeds to list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026. We are cautious on debut performance given weak subscription.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chifeng Jilong Gold (6693 HK): Zijin Mining Seeks Controlling Stake

Depending on your gold viewpoint, the consolidation of resources and output is, to me, positive amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and safe-haven...

David Blennerhassett

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