External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Two major players of PJM industry - Greentown Mgmt. and Central China Mgmt. (CCM) both delivered a better-than-expected new contract QoQ growth in 3Q22.</li><li>Solid growth against the sluggish property market was mainly due to pent-up demand from 2Q, incremental demand from local SOEs, LGFVs (see details in next page) and defaulted developers.</li><li>Looking into 4Q and beyond, both companies saw continuously fresh demand from defaulted names (such as Aoyuan and others) as well as LGFV (who took 45% of the land acquisitions) that could drive its long-term growth. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Two major players of PJM industry - Greentown Mgmt. and Central China Mgmt. (CCM) both delivered a better-than-expected new contract QoQ growth in 3Q22.Solid growth against the sluggish property market was mainly due to pent-up demand from 2Q, incremental demand from local SOEs, LGFVs (see details in next page) and defaulted developers.Looking into 4Q and beyond, both companies saw continuously fresh demand from defaulted names (such as Aoyuan and others) as well as LGFV (who took 45% of the land acquisitions) that could drive its long-term growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Project Management Sector – Defaulted developers + LGFV, the new demand

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li> Simultaneous deleveraging in China and protectionism/fiscal expansion in the US would shift the longstanding correlation between US inflation and Chinese growth expectations.</li>
<li>Aggregate debt growth in China exceeded nominal GDP growth by 1.3ppts in 2017 so deleveraging has not yet begun, but looks imminent as regulatory pressure intensifies.</li>
<li>The takeover of Anbang reflects a increasingly comprehensive attempt to remove opaque funding channels and implicit government guarantees that have distorted…</li>
</ul>


 Simultaneous deleveraging in China and protectionism/fiscal expansion in the US would shift the longstanding correlation between US inflation and Chinese growth expectations.
Aggregate debt growth in China exceeded nominal GDP growth by 1.3ppts in 2017 so deleveraging has not yet begun, but looks imminent as regulatory pressure intensifies.
The takeover of Anbang reflects a increasingly comprehensive attempt to remove opaque funding channels and implicit government guarantees that have distorted…


Xi and Trump Policy Priorities Imply US Inflation to Diverge From Chinese Growth

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hypermarket reshuffles as <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI Retail (DFI SP)</a></strong> exit <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH)</a></strong>; and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group  (9988 HK)</a></strong> potentially exits <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>Evidently the influence of a younger hip third-generation tycoon-scion wasn't the panacea for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener"><strong>New World Development (17 HK)</strong></a> and its ongoing issues in the HK/China property space.</li>
<li>MBK bumps the Tender Offer prices for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a></strong> by 13.6% to ₩750,000 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/young-poong-precision-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16188:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Young Poong Precision (036560 KS)</strong></a> by 25% to ₩25,000. What with the Choi's do?</li>
</ul>


Hypermarket reshuffles as JD.com (9618 HK) and DFI Retail (DFI SP) exit Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH); and Alibaba Group  (9988 HK) potentially exits Sun Art Retail (6808 HK).
Evidently the influence of a younger hip third-generation tycoon-scion wasn't the panacea for New World Development (17 HK) and its ongoing issues in the HK/China property space.
MBK bumps the Tender Offer prices for Korea Zinc (010130 KS) by 13.6% to ₩750,000 and Young Poong Precision (036560 KS) by 25% to ₩25,000. What with the Choi's do?


Last Week in Event SPACE: DFI/JD.com/Yonghui, Alibaba/Sun Art, New World Development, Austal

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongyue-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20429:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Dongyue Group (189 HK</strong>)</a>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/c-d-international-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14820:1" rel="noopener">C&amp;D International Investment (1908 HK)</a></strong>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-aoyuan-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7613:1" rel="noopener"><strong>China Aoyuan Property (3883 HK</strong>)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight include: Dongyue Group (189 HK), C&amp;D International Investment (1908 HK), and China Aoyuan Property (3883 HK).


HK CEO & Director Dealings (26th Sep 2024): Dongyue Group, C&D International, China Aoyuan Property

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into ICBC,  CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and outflows from Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into ICBC,  CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and outflows from Petrochina.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: $7.3bn of Inflows in September

China

China Aoyuan Group Limited is an investment holding company primarily engaged in real property development and sales across Mainland China and Canada. The company's diverse operations also include property investment, hotel management, property management services, and cultural tourism. It was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Price Gauge
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China Aoyuan (3883 HK)

China Project Management Sector – Defaulted developers + LGFV, the new demand

Two major players of PJM industry - Greentown Mgmt. and Central China Mgmt. (CCM) both delivered a better-than-expected new contract QoQ growth in...

CMB International

Xi and Trump Policy Priorities Imply US Inflation to Diverge From Chinese Growth

Simultaneous deleveraging in China and protectionism/fiscal expansion in the US would shift the longstanding correlation between US inflation and...

Sean Maher

Last Week in Event SPACE: DFI/JD.com/Yonghui, Alibaba/Sun Art, New World Development, Austal

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

HK CEO & Director Dealings (26th Sep 2024): Dongyue Group, C&D International, China Aoyuan Property

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong Connect Flows: $7.3bn of Inflows in September

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for September and highlight flows for ICBC, CCB, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, Xpeng and Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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